We have some pretty relevant data in South Korea. They ramped up vaccinations between May 25 and June 19 or so, since when the numbers have stagnated. About 30 percent of people have one shot and 8 percent have both. Reported case rate has been spiking since June 21, is now well beyond the winter peaks and still going up. Deaths remain very low. Looks just like Britain despite low vaccination rate, evidence that observed absence of deaths is not the vaccine but the variant. Maybe evidence that vaccinating old people who probably comprise the jabbed helps too.

Doctors in Israel and America are also reporting a very high rate of colds and RSV among children. People will say lockdowns suppressed winter transmission thus eroded naturally maintained herd immunity but it's still a very striking thing to see in Summer and possibly related to the vaccine.

What concerns me more, though, is something like the Chicken disease - since we now know vaccinated people shedding enormous amounts of virus that would otherwise be very symptomatic are not symptomatic thus disabling natural selective pressures that would tend to diminish viral lethality, and may even incubate something more serious.

So I worry the vaccine may become necessary at some point for that reason, and I wonder whether acquiring a controlled natural infection may be a good idea.