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2021-06-07 07:35 by Karl Denninger
in Editorial , 1061 references
[Comments enabled]  

Ok folks, why are people still putting up with anything when it comes to the whole Covid nonsense at this point?

For how long have I gone over this data?  Coming up on 18 months now.  Governors, Mayors and others have had every opportunity, and plenty of science has developed and been published, showing that:

  • If you're not morbid, most of which is due to lifestyle, you're not at particular risk.  You're far more-likely to die in a car accident.  Yes, it can kill you.  You can be run over while getting your mail too, but you don't live in fear of that.

  • Children are at nearly-no risk and neither are healthy adolescents and young adults.

  • Even healthy very old people are at little risk.

Now if you're fat and/or diabetic, well, then you're at quite a lot of risk.  But let's cut the crap folks; most people who are diabetic are Type II and that's a lifestyle disease, as is obesity.  You get there through voluntary decisions.  Therefore the additional risk you take is yours, not anyone else's.  Never mind that those morbidities make you a lot more likely to die from other causes too.

NY has been publishing this data since the pandemic started and for people who have none of a relatively-short list of underlying illnesses the number of people who have died even at age 75+ is seven.  Between 65-74 the count is nineEven Alameda County in California is now admitting they wildly overstated death counts and are walking it back.  The CDC itself has admitted that a third or so of the adolescents and children who are claimed to have been hospitalized or died "of" Covid were not plausibly actually killed, in whole or part, by the disease.  Indeed the CDC just got caught lying again by making a claim that there is a "rise" in young people being hospitalized.  They cherry-picked the dates; the data is that there never was a serious hospitalization rate among young people and it is currently plummeting just like it is for everyone else. 

Even at the highest levels of Covid in late December among the 5-17 year old group hospitalizations were running slightly above one person per state per week.


Further, of those from 5-17 the number of persons who were admitted to the hospital and died, from March 1 2020 through March 31st, 2021 was....... wait for it...... NINE.  Yes, a literal NINE nationwide.  Another nine under 5 died.  That's right -- 18 children in total from 0-17 year olds died of Covid-19 all the way back to March of 2020.

If that's not enough further review in a recent study the CDC did itself found that about a third of those were misclassified and had no plausible connection to Covid-19 actually killing the person in question.

That's a statistical zero risk of death if you are in that age bracket (17 and under) and get Covid.  There are roughly 75 million persons under the age of 18 in the United States; this means their risk of death from Covid-19 since March of 2020 is roughly 1 in 4 millionTo put context on this you're roughly one thousand times (there is a lot of variation with age and sex) more likely to die of something else in that age bracket provided you make it out your first year.  Why your first year?  Because roughly 5,500 per million infants die in their first year from all causes combined which is a stunning 20,000 times the rate that Covid-19 kills them.

In addition for those under 50 the percentage of hospital admissions ending in death was 2.4%.

There is no material risk of dying of Covid if you are under 50 and this is with zero early drug intervention which we know works so can we cut the crap folks?  This isn't my data it's the government's official data.

The AARP confirms this; 95% of those who died were 50+ but 64.6% of the Covid-19 alleged cases have been in people under 50.

Yet now the CDC is attempting to scare kids and adolescents into taking jabs through flat-out lies.

Why hasn't the CDC been banned from Twitter and Facebook for "medical misinformation"?  They are the publishers of this data and yet they are knowingly lying about their own data!

Now are there an awful lot of seniors who are fat and/or diabetic?  You bet.  But there are also many who are not and Covid doesn't kill them often, if at all.  

There is no reason for anyone to put up with any more of this bull****.  After almost a year and a half of being gaslighted, lied to up and down the line by every so-called "expert" under the sun, having treatments suppressed to the point that discussing them gets you thrown off social media sites and doctors sanctioned or threatened with loss of their licenses and professional associations please explain to me why the people of this nation haven't gotten tired of their loved ones being deliberately sacrificed -- that would be called murder, by the way -- and shoved all of this bull**** up the government's ass?

Nor is there any reason for anyone to get a jab for anyone else's benefit; these are not fully-tested and documented products, no matter what someone tries to tell you and again, the FDA's own documents in the form of the actual EUAs say so.  Any claim otherwise is ALSO a lie; these shots are lightly tested and there is plenty of evidence that more than one of the original safety claims made for them are now known false.

Does this means the jabs are proved dangerous?  Not necessarily, but the data certainly seems to say they are for some percentage of those who take them.  Never mind the insane number of people on this system and elsewhere who are reporting either their loved ones or someone they know quite well got the jab and within hours or days had extremely serious medical issues arise with zero prior history of medical trouble, frequently with doctors refusing to enter it into VAERS.  Once is a coincidence, twice is an oddity but when it keeps happening sorry folks, any claim that there's no connection between those events is flat-out bull****.

The question when it comes to something like mass-vaccination is always this: How many people do we need to treat to prevent one serious disease course vs how many people get a serious adverse event from the treatment?

We do not have the numbers for the serious adverse events associated with the jab as they're not being reported.  Without a numerator you cannot even begin to estimate an actual risk, but if you think about the number of people who are active on my forum and then their immediate associates and friends, to have even one or two such reports of serious (as in "hospital or worse") adverse events connected with these events ought to be enough to cause anyone to think twice before saying "Yes".  Without informed consent, and obtaining that requires a full and fair disclosure of what's known and not known, you have no right to give anything to anyone.

At this point anyone who wants the vaccine can have it, and if you believe it works and is safer than the disease for you that is up to you.  But the serious adverse event risk is material; perhaps a few in a thousand doses administered or even, perhaps, a couple per hundredThe risk of you having a serious adverse event from Covid if you are not morbid is, to the best of our ability to determine at this point, less than the risk of taking the jab and that does not account for the fact that you are not certain to get the disease.

You are certain to take the risk when you get jabbed.

Never mind this report -- where are the life insurance companies?  If there's one group of people who have their crap dialed in when it comes to who's going to die and how often it's those folks.  Oh not you specifically of course, but statistically, you bet.  These companies do not lose money and they don't make stupid bets either.  Every one of their bets collects a small amount of money and when they're wrong very large amounts go out their door.  If they are not changing rates and forcing jabs to get coverage or surcharging you if you don't get the jab then this much is absolutely certain: Covid-19 is non-event from a life insurance perspective -- in other words, whether they think you'll die of it

If that line of business says it's crap then its crap.

For those of us on Team Reality we're well past the point where we should be putting up with this bull****, any of it, especially when one considers that there are early treatments that work.  With those early treatments the risk of bad things happening if you get Covid is even less.  If someone gets the flu in a nursing home they give everyone else Tamiflu.  Why?  Because you hit viral diseases early and hard with safe drugs, that's why.  We know there are multiple safe drugs that work in this regard too and India has now conclusively proved it by literally collapsing their case rate in days through early treatment, where the one province that refused saw their rate skyrocket instead.

We're well past the time when we must play I AM THE MONEY GOD, as one of the respondents to a previous Ticker pointed out.

In other words the man with the wallet calls the tune; exactly nothing, other than a handful of things such as groceries, are truly a necessity and it is time to make all of these ghouls pay for their bull****, if they do not drop it and recant, IN SPADES.


  • We won't just not wear a mask, you won't either.  Nor will anyone else, whether an employee or customer.  A mask in a business used to mean someone was about rob the place.  In other words no, your employees will not wear them nor will you let customers wear them.  They're banned.  Period.  Put up the sign and mean it.

  • We will not discuss vaccinations or immunological status. My medical history and decisions are none of your damned business.  That's between myself and my doctor.  You ask me and I will both refuse to answer and immediately ask when you last had anal sex since obviously you like things -- such as that rat bastard liar Fauci -- up your ass.  Then you will see my back -- walking out the door with my wallet snapped closed.

  • The ambiance you used to have, and the amenities, are all going to be back as they were if you expect my patronage.  If not then forget it.  The plexiglass bull**** at the bar, the cash register, wherever?  Take it down.  If you run a hotel and used to offer a hot breakfast buffet, where is it?  No daily maid service in said hotel?  GTFO.  Pool or hottub is still closed?  BITE ME.  Want me to take a cruise? It's the same as it was in 2019, including the boarding procedures and questions.  No, I will not take a test first nor present proof of anything.  Got arrows on the floor and circles at 6' distances?  Get rid of them all -- now.  No more bull****.  Period.  I don't give a **** what the CDC thinks; they're proved liars so if you want to listen to them then you're a proved liar too and can **** OFF.

In short it's 2019, all of it.  No, we're not going to compromise.  We're not going to have a debate.  These are demands, not an opening bid or a set of requests and you will meet all of them or get nothing.

You may have a good or service to offer but I have money, and you need me to come in the door and spend it -- I DO NOT need you.  At all.  I have other options and places to spend my money and I will choose them if you do not comply with every one of the above demands -- with a smile.

I will not compromise; if you offer 99% of what I expect that is the same as zero.

I will not entertain any debate on the matter.

You will comply or you will get zero.

In fact, you may well get less than zero because I will actively, through every legal means available to me, encourage others to demand that all of what we used to enjoy return without exception and to walk out until you provide it.

And further, I will enjoy and indeed relish and celebrate every minute of watching your firm, and hopefully you, go underwater and drown in bankruptcy for the abuse you attempt to heap on both customers and employees.


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2021-06-06 09:17 by Karl Denninger
in Editorial , 223 references
[Comments enabled]  

It's over folks.

All it takes is one.

In a news release touting "comeback for summer sales", Royal Caribbean said guests were strongly recommended to set sail fully vaccinated. 

However, those who were unvaccinated or unable to verify vaccination would have to go through testing and other protocols, which the cruise line said it would announce at a later date. 

Which will be, I predict... nothing.

And here's why -- Florida's law as of July 1st, which is before their first sailing, fines businesses $5,000 for each person who they demand evidence of vaccination from.

So no, they can't ask in a way that matters.  If they try to segregate you in that fashion it's $5,000 per person who they obtain the information from and use.  If they attempt to play fast and loose with this they'll lose.  Notice they're not talking about what protocols and testing at this time -- it's simply yet another threat to try to get you to take the jab.

**** 'em.

These ships hold thousands; this is thus a several million dollar fine per sailing.  Ain't gonna happen.

I'll bet Carnival will be right behind them, and in addition there's another wrinkle too; nobody as customers are going to put up with constraints on shipboard life, such as masks and such.  If it's not the experience people expect, especially considering that there's none of that crap anywhere else in the country anymore there will be lots of empty ships and bankrupt cruise lines.

Oh sure, some of the old folks will go anyway, and not care.

But not many, especially if there are "social distancing" and "mask" requirements.  I personally like cruises but I will not book anything if I will be expected to wear masks, distance and cannot go to the buffet, bar, casino or lounge in the hottub with a drink.  Sorry, that's non-negotiable and I'm not taking the jab either.  It's my money and if you want it you will provide the experience I expect and have had in the past or I'll spend the money somewhere else.  I will not considering booking such a cruise until and unless it is clear I'll get that experience and the representation is made in writing and thus is enforceable.

I predicted the crazy would end, and it is.

It's not completely over yet, but it only takes one leg to get kicked out from under a three-legged stool and it's over.

All of this has gone one direction now for months.  Expecting it to not continue, including the folding of those screaming for "muuuuhhhh mandates!" is the wrong-way bet.  Place it if you'd like but I'll take the under on that.

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2021-06-03 14:21 by Karl Denninger
in Editorial , 444 references
[Comments enabled]  

Hoh hoh listen to this... (the quote is in the video, not the text -- and now I have reports CNN changed the video.  Go figure, but the quote is real.  **** CNN.)

"They're afraid of a big medical bill and that's stopping them from getting vaccinated."

They should be afraid of that.

The shot is "free."  The side effects, including really bad ones that might happen and run up a $100,000+ medical bill, are your problem.

Oh, you have "insurance"?  That's nice.  What's the annual deductible and out-of-pocket maximum?  You pay that.  If it goes on more than through the end of the year?  You pay it again.

What if the bill never ends because whatever it does to you never goes away?  That's your problem too.

Is there a solution to this?  No, other than "don't give people not-fully-tested things" eh?

Now about all those unmentionable and cheap treatments that work just as well and don't have that problem because they have been tested and used for decades.... but oh wait, you scared the living Hell out of the entire nation on a fraud that there were no such treatments, so now what short of admitting the lies and then taking responsibility for a half-million dead Americans?  Oh Fauci and the rest won't do that, will they?

Remember folks, this is CNN, the lefty hive-mind perspective.


Go sit on a dildo Joe-n-Ho, and while you're at it stick up one up in the air for Trump too, who is just as responsible for the fear porn if not more-so.

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2021-06-02 14:41 by Karl Denninger
in Editorial , 8691 references
[Comments enabled]  

So Biden wants to try to bribe, cajole and even canvass people to take the potential-death stab?

One word: No.

Four more: Get Off My Lawn

Why?  Because the evidence is that effective drugs were deliberately withheld and the safety of these shots is being overstated.  Between the two the risk:reward calculation for healthy persons cannot be established to clearly be on the "do it" side.  If you're old and morbid then it's tougher, but especially for young, healthy adolescents and adults the odds are minuscule of trouble if you get infected, they're even smaller if you immediately use medical countermeasures we know work and, in addition, because natural immunity is broad and includes the nucleocapsid portion of the virus (the vaccines do notit is much more-likely to be effective against any variations that may arise where the shots may either not work or worse, damage or destroy any existing natural immunity you have in favor of their "solution."

Since I'm in that group -- I'm a healthy adult and I have access to and will immediately use countermeasures if I think I'm infected, and have been successfully engaged in the use of prophylaxis for more than a year now my answer to such a solicitation is NO.  I have not lived in fear or apprehension since this started and I still don't.  Simply put the shot scares me more than the virus does.

This is not broad-based when it comes to vaccines in general; for most the data is in and the risk:reward benefit is clear, convincing and with the exception of extraordinary circumstances comes down on the side of taking the shot.  I've had 'em and so has my daughter, with damn good reason.

But specific to this shot and this virus it is not established and on the evidence never will be because I and everyone else have been lied to for over a year and we're still being lied to.  Under the basic rules of evidence once lied to every other thing that person says can, and probably should, be disregarded.  Ask anyone who's sat on a jury.  You cannot convince me the lies have ceased until and unless every single person responsible for withholding those treatments and drugs from the 500,000+ Americans who died, including the 175 here in my county, pay for those deaths with appropriate punishment for mass-manslaughter and all the data on all sides is out in the open.  In the case of the shots even if the lies are punished, and you know damn well they won't be to get the data on the shots will take many years.

Given the Fauci FOIA email release it is now conclusively proved that rat bastard has been lying since this whole thing started on masks, on transmission, on all of it.

That's bad enough but now we have something much worse -- now we're talking origins and intent, which China itself just put on the table.

China has recently said in their state media that the country must prepare for nuclear war following multiple calls, including out of Biden, for a Covid probe into the Wuhan lab.

Newsweek isn't exactly a "right wing" magazine you know.

Why would you be concerned about nuclear war unless you know damned well the probe, if you can't obstruct it, will prove you unleashed the virus -- not on accident by being stupid but on purpose?

An accident doesn't get you nuked.  It might get you sanctioned, it might get all your Treasuries incinerated, it might even get you embargoed with every firm in the US forced to pull out of there and return manufacturing and development to the US.  It might mean a cut-off of agricultural exports to China.  It could lead to any or all of those not just by the US but by other nations too.

It other words it might mean a lot of things and some of them you definitely would not like but it would not get you nuked.

But an intentional biological attack?

THAT might get you nuked.

And maybe it should.

What do you think China just admitted to folks?

There's this in the Fauci archives, which appears to describe exactly how Covid-19 was constructed.  Valid?  I don't have the chops to know but the apparent author is on Twitter and has authenticated it.


Oh, you think it's a good idea we have Biden in office?  Is that so.  He's not compromised with his son and their shady dealings over there, is he?  What if Xi told him to get people jabbed "or else" and the shots are the primer for the weapon?  Fanciful?  I would rate this tinfoil garbage and likely banhammer anyone raising it on my forum except for the fact of the Biden family being compromised with previous China issues, including billion dollar deals that Hunter made with no logical purpose other than bribery within our government.  Let me guess -- you think Trump isn't compromised by the CCP as well?  Then explain why he didn't actually pull a single bit of production back from China over the three years before the pandemic hit -- including, specifically, medical devices (e.g. masks) and drugs.

Maybe that will keep you up at night.

Still glad you got jabbed?

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There are people I consider quite-sane who are very convinced the "world" is going to require "vaccine passports" and that we better all get on board and fight it now (how, by the way, other than saying "go screw goats" -- or are those folks proposing something rather violent?)

You're all nuts.

That doesn't mean some people won't try it.  Sure they will.  Like a condo board; "show us your papers or wear a mask!"

My answer: Tell them to go blow a goat and, if they try to fine you, sue them in both their corporate and personal capacities.


Because they'll lose, that's why.  The mental (and legal) gymnastics of attempting to create a "two-tier" ownership structure retroactively years after you bought the place would be worth the price of the lawsuit all on its own.  Not even a vote of the owners likely blunts this as that simply gets all who vote for it sued in their individual capacities.  You didn't buy into a two-tier society and there's no force of law behind this sort of thing so there you have it.

A purely-private business?  Consider suing them too; the ADA prohibits this sort of thing if it can reasonably be considered a disability, which, by the way, it is as soon as they start labeling people.  But frankly, the better option unless you just want to stick it in their ass is to take your business somewhere else.  Make it hurt immediately as I've done with places that have been MaskHoles since this whole thing started.  You want to order me to leave because I won't show you a card or wear a mask, that's fine.  See this nice cart full of stuff?  It isn't getting bought; your competitor who has a brain will get the business instead.  Ball game?  Don't need it.  Concert?  Ditto.  Go ahead, play the game and we'll see how it works out.  My bet is you wind up in bankruptcy court.

Employers?  We'll see there too.  I think there's a legal problem there too (and already lawsuits are starting), but frankly, given how tight the labor market is screw them tooif they pull that crap get another job and quit the old one.  Around here anyone who seriously attempted that could be trivially emptied of employees and it wouldn't even dent the Help Wanted signs.  It's easier to tell an employer to blow goats than suing them and you can probably get a raise out of it.  What's not to like?

Colleges?  If you're already in the program then definitely sue them.  Your course book from the date you matriculated is a contract.  No, they can't say "well stay remote" either; that wasn't what you both agreed to.  Contracts, once entered into, bind both sides.  Now if they want to refund all of your money paid thus far, ok, that's a reasonable settlement of your differences.  Transfer out and take the cash to pay for the rest of your schooling somewhere sane.  All good.  We have some very fine universities here and in Florida where such measures are banned.  We're not alone either.  If you were intending to enter college this fall change where you go and tell them why.  Make it hurt, in short -- right in their bank account.  If you're one of those snowflakes who insists on this place or that, well, that's on you.  I can't help it if you're either stupid or smitten but I can hold it against you later on when you try to get a job.

No, the problem that will force the end of this part of the Covid stupidity is this:

There are multiple states that have banned all these things either by Executive Order or Act of the Legislature and thus there will be a control group.  Even employer mandates in such states are likely illegal as employment at-will does not extend to firing you in violation of public policy, which the state has set either through E/O or legislation.

There's an election coming up in a year and change too.

And do remember: All, and I do mean all, of the doom predictions for Florida and Texas when they dropped their mask and capacity mandates didn't play out.  In fact, exactly the opposite; Florida and Texas both outperformed the mandate-keeping states.

The mask and capacity mandates didn't play out because masks never worked.  We knew that decades ago.  We know that viruses are transmitted in aerosols, that emitted breath has an inverse-log distribution for particle size which means there are thousands of times more aerosol particles than droplets, that the aerosols are not filtered by anything less than an N95 and that only on inhalation, as when you exhale the pressure pushes it away from your face and creates gaps.  I pointed all of this out in the summer of 2020 on a repeated basis and it's not about what I think or what some so-called computer model says it's physics.  In fact the particle distribution is a lot like smoke (e.g. cigarettes, etc.) which is why nobody in their right mind thinks you can wear an N95 to fight a fire; you strap on a SCBA pack and bring clean air with you.  It's also why "filtered" cigarettes, which incidentally have a hell of a lot more depth to their filter than a mask does, do not stop you from getting lung cancer.  In short if you can smell what someone emits beyond whatever "mitigation" might be in use by a potential source you can be infected.

Now we have the same basic problem -- flat-out stupidity -- show up with the "next step" -- the stabs.  Yes, for some people it's worthwhile.  Clearly.  If you're at high risk from Covid, just as with the flu, they probably pencil out on the balance between risks and benefits.

But the idea of a "passport" is that they protect someone else who also has been stabbed because by definition the imposition of one in a given place means everyone in your vicinity has had the jab.  Think about how stupid that is for a minute and it should instantly become clear.  When it comes to health care environments since adults can all choose and have been able to for months (including patients) where's the problem?  Simply put such a measure is nothing more or less than a demand for control, particularly as the people doing it do not recognize natural immunity.  The correct response to that is "**** you" in each and every case.

nation can make an argument for it, as they can with conditions on entry into their country for anything else.  Why?  Because you might bring something in that their people are not immune to.  They may not be able to access a vaccine, or they may be at some other sort of risk you're not.  Nations make rules all the time for entry and that's one of the realities of being a sovereign; if some nation wants to ban people from entry if they have green hair, are gay or have only one functional eye they can do that; the constraint does not have to be logical and there is no right under International Law, as a non-citizen of that nation, to enter or remain in another country.  Businesses and other places within a nation aren't nations.  Indeed, states are explicitly prohibited from doing this sort of thing for travel between them; Congress has the sole power to regulate interstate commerce under the Constitution.

In the US anyone who wants a jab can get it at this point.  So what's the point of a "passport" where everyone has to have had it?  There is no point to it at all.  If you make no exceptions (which by the way the ADA requires if your business accommodates the public) then by simple logic there is no point because everyone has had the shot and therefore there is nobody to be protected who isn't already protected to whatever extent the protection works.

In other words the logic is stupid and cannot possibly prevent anyone other than someone who chooses to accept the risk of infection from taking said risk.  But wait -- this place "prohibits" entry without one, that one doesn't.

Thus said risk accepting person is still going to accept the risk and there's nothing you can do about it.  Suck it up, buttercup.

All such a "passport" establishes is that the person imposing it is a Nazi; they believe they have the right to dictate medical procedures to be imposed on others.  That's flat-out Josef Mengele garbage.

I thought we got rid of that crap after WWII?

If you don't believe the shot works then why did you take it?  If you believe you have the right to be protected without taking the risk of the jab yourself then we've established what you are -- you're one of those snowflakes who thinks you have to own other people in total.  Never mind that since you refused it yourself you can't go into the venue or other place anyway so in that case the so-called "passport" is worthless to you since you won't have one.

But if you do believe the shot will protect you why do you care if someone else has it or not?  Why do you care if they wear a mask or not?  If they get sick that's their problem, not yours -- right?

Contemplate this: There is no logic behind such, nor any epidemiological argument for it either.  It will not stop a single person from getting infected who chooses to accept the risk of being infected nor will it stop a single person who took the stab and had it work from getting it because they're immune.  Further, if there are people who took the stab and got no or an inferior response from it mandates like this actually raise the risk that they'll be exposed and get sick because you can still get the virus but the odds go up that your infection will be entirely asymptomatic.  While asymptomatic transmission is rare it happens and not knowing you have something means you won't stay home, where if feel sick you probably will.

People always love to point to those who "can't" be vaccinated for this reason or that but that's stupid too because the same applies to someone who's got leukemia yet we haven't demanded flu vaccine cards from everyone to go to the store, ball game or similar every single year and there are a whole bunch of people who get cancer each and every year.  An infection during their treatment could easily kill them and they know it.  They take precautions during their illness; they don't expect you to do so for that which is unique to them.

All of this will collapse as it will prove stupid in the next few months or, perhaps, it'll be much worse than just a collapse.

Contemplate what else is coming out.  Someone FOIA'd Fauci's emails.  There are some real stunners in there, including an apparent congratulations on Fauci cock-blocking the Wuhan Lab leak hypothesis.  If that's not a smoking gun please explain what might be.  Another contains Fauci being reasonably sure the virus is in aerosols (duh) which, of course, means masks are worthless.  Still another has Fauci recommending mask wearing be voluntary; this is in April of 2020.  There are also some rather, uh, coincidental sequences in the virus and a patent.  And then there's the weak sauce out of Vietnam with yet another scarient game that is being attempted.

Meh.  As I pointed out in this article there's never been a respiratory pandemic that has more than two waves and lasts more than two years.  Might this one be the one?  Sure.  And the dollar may collapse tomorrow too, but I wouldn't take the bet.

If there is no widespread intermediate and longer-term very bad outcomes from the jabs then the screaming will just collapse.  By the end of the year it will be clear to everyone: Whatever curve we have in states where some places have imposed such a mandate, the states that have absolutely banned them such as Florida will do no worse.  Indeed the very real probability, from the data back to December, is that Covid was over and other than the very high-risk persons who got a personal (and large) benefit there was never a reason to roll these things out in the first place because there was never going to be a second big surge next winter.  History says this is the most-probable when you look at other respiratory virus pandemics through time; they become endemic and never manage to get through more than two winter seasons.

In other words you put up with it and walked around preening about your magic shot in terms of impact on society as a whole for exactly nothing, and the data will conclusively demonstrate this by the end of 2021.  Yes, you may get personal benefit from being jabbed -- but it's yours, just as it is with the measles shot which anyone with a brain chooses to take because the data there is clear and convincing: That vaccine is much safer, by a factor of a hundred or more, than the measles.  With this one we do not yet know.

The long knives will come out for the politicians and business people who imposed mandates at that point, just as Texas and Florida essentially forced the drop of all the capacity limits and mask mandates everywhere else after the repeated wait two weeks mewling turned into a continued cliff-dive in cases, hospitalizations and deaths.  Not one of the projected claims of doom played out at all.

Why the long knives?  Because businesses will have turned away customers and possibly permanently pissed off some percentage of the population who live there that refused to go along.  The loss will be for absolutely nothing, it will result in bankruptcies and if you think the political blowback from that won't be meaningful you're dead wrong.  It will be and it will be serious too.  Tell me why, once again, all those other states magically dropped mandates after the Texas prediction turned out to be garbage?  Uh huh.

The worse scenario is that there are one or more serious intermediate and long-term risks that start getting people who took these jabs at a rate that they cannot be suppressed.  That's the risk of "Warp Speed" and ignoring or even burying therapeutics in order to rush these shots out to the public.  That appears to already be happening in terms of short-term effects -- plenty of people are winding up dead or in the hospital hours or days after being jabbed.  The CDC continues to claim there's "no connection" but that's crap and anyone with a brain in their head knows it. Indeed even the CDC is trying to slowly and carefully walk that back.  They can't quantify the risk right now just like I can't, but they know it's there.  The unanswered question is all about relative risk.

If those who did this on their own without coercion get hit by nasty long-term side effects, well, that sucks but it was a free choice to take the jab before the long-term data was in and we could all see it.  It is not my place to tell people what to do and I suspect that when all is said and done the people will pretty-much see it that way.  They may get very angry with politicians and socialites who "urged" they do it, but in the end the data was there, people like myself did publish it, it wasn't hard to find and if you decided not to look or wrote everyone talking about it off as kooks it's your fault and your consequence.

In those places that coerced the jabs, however, it could be a very different story.  Permanent injuries or death in those groups may not stop with someone saying well, he was stupid and while it sucks Jack is (dead/blind/paralyzed/had to have a heart transplant) but he decided the attitude may well be "You bastard (politician, employer, sports venue, whoever) forced him to do this and thus you killed or disabled him."

The sane will not take that bet because there's no way to handicap it at present and once made you can't take it back.  If someone is disabled or dies you could well be held personally accountable whether through legal means or foul, and whatever justification you might have been able to point to for doing it is going to go "poof" by the end of the year just like the mask and capacity limit garbage did.  It's one thing to cause a bunch of bankruptcies in your city, it's quite-another if people die as a direct result of your policies.  There are already plenty of politicians who don't sleep well at night as a result of what they did with nursing homes.  How would you like to be the business owner who gets to join them forevermore in sleepless nights when one of your 25 year old employees that runs marathons drops over dead from a heart attack?

Simply put you have multiple states that are not going to go along with enabling this garbage and thus there is, and will be, a control group you cannot get rid of.  Thus the "urging", which as of July 1st will fail as Florida as of that date absolutely bans such requirements with $5,000 fines per-person coerced -- including in the private sector.

Now add to that the supply disruptions, high inflation, housing shortage, all the people who get hosed when the rent moratorium ends, apparent email evidence of Fauci and others conspiring with a CCP-run facility to cover up what happened and roughly 300,000 of the 500,000 dead Americans were essentially slaughtered for profit.  From where I sit you've got a truly explosive combination stuffed in that shack.  In fact, it sort of looks like this I think:

Place your bets condo associations, businesses, cruise lines, airlines, baseball parks and other venues.

Once those chips go in you can't take them back out and coercing someone who was willing to accept the person risk of infection, if it turns out badly and proof develops that your mandate did nothing, is not going to turn out well for you.

I'm predicting those on the other side of this are going to lose.

My bet's made; feel free to place yours.

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