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2024-05-17 07:10 by Karl Denninger
in Editorial , 460 references
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I'm talking to employers here.

See, I used to be one.

Thing is this: I didn't care if there were a dozen folks on the floor who couldn't think their way out of a paper bag, so long as they could do the job.  That didn't matter much because there were plenty of those people and the job was easy.  But -- there is a set of core competencies that every business must have and you must enable those who have it to get rid of the idjits on the floor who get outside their lane and think they're hot shit when they're not, because otherwise you're doomed.

No, green hair, six sets of LGBTQRSTVP++ and four pronouns does not make you other than a rote worker.

Boeing got some lessons in this recently, if you recall.  They fired all the assholes, most of which were white men and who gave a shit if the plane actually had the bolts in the doors installed.  If you fucked around on the assembly line one of them would catch it and rip you a new asshole.  Do it more than once and you probably were out on the street.  Bitch about it when your ass got chewed and you were definitely out on the street.

Management supported this and as a result their aircraft doors tended to be properly installed.

Detroit learned this the hard way and nearly got destroyed by refusing to do it.  They fired the assholes and permitted the jackasses who liked to go out for lunch, drink a sixpack between two of them and smoke a joint on top of it -- and then go back to the factory and try to bolt together cars.

To say that was a disaster would be quite the understatement.  Of course smelling like a sixpack and a doobie didn't bother anyone at the turnstile in front of the plant because sir union didn't give a crap about the boozed and doped up employees and neither did management.  Heh, what you do on your own on the weekend is your business but come to work sober because otherwise the cars fall apart inside of 30,000 miles -- if they start at all.  By the way this isn't a baseless allegation either; the local news crews followed these jackwads several times and got them on video going through the drive-through beer place, then going to the local park and guzzling the beer while passing the joint around!

You'd think after the first or second one of those there'd be a steely-eyed dude in a suit sniffing everyone who came through the turnstile after lunch; smell like beer or a joint, fired you are.  Nope.

Then comes Covid.  "Work from home" sounds delightful but it really was arbitrage.  The degree of arbitrage varied from person to person but nowhere was there more of such than in high-cost areas such as California, Chicago and similar.  Housing, transportation, business clothing, lunch -- all costs that went into salary computations and offers but then the employee arbitraged it out and expected the employer to keep their pay the same -- while the employer had a nastily-expensive office building to pay for that was now empty.  The bleating about being "more productive" isn't the employee's decision to make -- but they thought it was and could enforce it.  Well, no.

The basic problem through the last 30 or so years is that management has gotten the idea that everyone is a robot.  Uh, no again.  You can automate a lot of things if its cheaper than paying some schlub but at the end of the day human intuition and observation when it comes to process wins -- if you let it.  The problem is that corporate culture has to be there at that level and if it isn't then the rest makes no difference at all as the insane run the asylum.

Witness the game in play here.  UNC Chapel Hill has several professors who are employees of the State and university threatening to withhold grades earned -- not from rioters for misconduct that is under review by the University for possible sanction up to and include expulsion but against non-participants in said "demonstrations" because the university is not kowtowing to protestor demands.

They not only have no right to do that as the students contracted for a class and a clear representation of their work in the form of a grade it is wild-eyed insubordination as the professors have both a written and profession-based agreement on THEIR performance In any employment situation where there is an actual command and control infrastructure along with expected behavior and standards of conduct every single person involved in threatening that would be instantly dismissed with prejudice, for cause, including forfeiture of all benefits including unvested retirement.  No warnings, no apologies, no bullshit -- go ahead and sue you'll lose and we'll counter-sue for malicious destruction of our reputation and take your house.

Instead the university issued a "stern letter."

May I ask how well a "stern letter" will work to keep the water clean and safe in your community, the toilets flushing and the power on?

No folks, "stern letters" are not the way it works.  If you pull something like this you get your ticket punched -- period.

You will want some of us assholes -- like myself -- back I suspect, and probably quite soon.

My terms will be simple: None of this bullshit will be tolerated, you'll put it in writing, and if you violate your representations to me in that regard no matter the reason and yes, that includes alleged "government mandate" you'll be paying me a huge severance immediately sufficient to cover every single penny I would have otherwise expected to earn for a period of many years, in cash, right here and now.

No?  You decline?

Fine with me -- may your toilet back up and your own shit run all over the floor.

By the way if you wait until the shit is running all over the floor or the lights are not working, thinking you can get away with refusing said terms my wage demand to come back and make it work again will have tripled.

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2024-05-12 07:00 by Karl Denninger
in Editorial , 3719 references
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There is a "severe gap" in the number of available vaccine doses compared to the level of current need, said UNICEF on its website.

"Between 2021 and 2023, more doses were requested for outbreak response than the entire previous decade," UNICEF noted.

Outbreak response?

You don't vaccinate into an outbreak of anything.  Of course we knew this decades ago and then immediate forgot it when Covid showed up.

Also note they try to blame "climate change" (bullshit); cholera is a bacterial disease that occurs as a result of eating shit.  Literally eating shit, typically through water source contamination.

The answer to the problem is not "vaccination" it is clean water sources and sewage or septic disposal of human feces.

That's why we don't typically have a problem with it in the United States today; there is no routine shot given for it in the US because there is no value to it.  Don't eat shit and you won't get it.  In fact this is why polio is basically gone too; it, like cholera, is transmitted through consumption of feces.

Was IPV (Salk's vaccine) even relevant in the evolution of that disease in the United States and worldwide?  Not really, because it is not sterilizing.  That is you could get it and transmit it to others but just as with cholera how you got it is the same -- to get it you have to eat shit.

Interrupting the transmission is thus a function of first-world water and waste handling.  Succeed at that and there is no cholera -- or polio for that matter.  Fail at it and you have a problem.

Further, since cholera is caused by a bacterium for those places that still use communal wells as a water source personal or household, at-point-of-use water filtration is both sufficient and effective.  This is typically not true for viruses (e.g. polio) but a decent filter is good enough to prevent bacterial contamination.  Filters of sufficient quality for consumption are inexpensive.

Bacterial contamination is serious business for people like me who enjoy back-country hiking.  Getting the craps is bad if you're at home and have an effectively-unlimited water supply to make up the fluid loss, and ready access to salt (electrolytes.)  In the back-country that same case of the trots can kill you if you're effectively immobilized by it and get severely dehydrated.

Cholera is on the smaller side of bacteria but a 0.2-.0.5 micron filter is effective.  I also carry Chlorine Dioxide as a secondary treatment and use it because viruses can also be present and while they're not much of a "in the wild" problem they are when people are around, and, well, people are around these days in the so-called "back-country" and some of them are disgusting and do not keep their bodily waste away from water sources adequately -- or at all.

Nonetheless the issue here is not (as Faux Snooz's headline claims) a function of immunization.

The problem is clean drinking water sources and insuring human waste does not get into the water system.

We didn't end cholera in the US and the rest of the western world with "vaccination" and those who claim this is the proper approach or try to use this as an example of "medicine good, go get more stabs" are lying and said lies get people killed.  The answer to these problems is, as we know in the western world, to stop shitting in the road and resolve clean and sanitary water access issues.  That in turn means stop living like fucking apes and that means society has to produce more than it consumes so the surplus can go to basic infrastructure -- like flush toilets and segregated water and waste systems.

Again you can't vaccinate out of an outbreak.  We've known this for over 100 years and the people peddling this crap are badly in need of being skullfucked.

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2024-05-06 09:00 by Karl Denninger
in Editorial , 274 references
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You won't like this opinion -- I guarantee it.

Nonetheless its true.

Why did the King, in days of old, get out in front of his troops on his horse, with his superior barding and the best of swords? Why didn't he go hide in his castle while his army prosecuted the war?

He didn't do that out of valor.

He did it because he knew that if his army lost the other side would come to his rather-obvious place (its not like you can hide a castle!), kill him and every other person in his family line except perhaps the women and girls who would be raped and forced to bear the children of those who vanquished him.

He thus had every reason to do everything he could to prevent that, and if he was going to lose he might as well lose big right up front because the outcome for everyone else was not in doubt.

This also meant he didn't go to war in the first place unless he really had to because while you might have numerical and tactical superiority things go wrong in a war as soon as the first shot, sword or arrow is loosed.  Your intelligence gathering can be wrong, you can be flanked, the other side may have allies you don't know about or just plain old-fashioned bad luck, such as weather, can screw you and there's nothing you can do about any of that.

You want less war?

Then advocate for and accept that everyone on either side, especially any politician but also including all civilians are always and everywhere legitimate targets of the other side.  Fuck the laws of war and fuck anyone who says otherwise.

There has never been a war where civilians are not absolutely responsible for the waging of said war.  Even in times of old the horse had to be fed as did the soldier, the armor, arrows and swords had to be made, the ore or trees had to be dug, harvested, forged and worked, the tents and mess kit had to be created, maintained and tended and so on.

Every bullet, missile, bomb, tank, airplane, drone, communications device and similar in a modern military action was created and assembled by civilians either in whole or part.  Exactly zero tanks, planes or ships move a single millimeter without fuel, lubricants and parts and all of that is created by civilian infrastructure.

Every single one of those firms in the modern world is funded and operates as a result of the capital markets so each and every banker, every single institution of such and similar are all personally liable and responsible for each and every single act of war in every single case.

Every single person on both sides and any entity or nation that supplies them, every institution and especially every politician and all of their family members and property are all legitimate military targets when a conflict is underway in each and every case.

Would Biden and Congress commit funds and equipment to Ukraine if it was clearly understood that the Russians would consider every one of them, and their children and spouses along with their property to be legitimate military targets and if spies or other infiltrators could get into the United States they would be targeted and destroyed?

Would we have had an open border with Mexico for the last three years if this was the consequence of our involvement?

Would any of this have happened in the first place if back in 2014 McCain's entire family was slaughtered like pigs and all their homes and property burnt to ash for his advocacy ON THE GROUND at Maidan by members of the losing side who infiltrated (or worse, were already present) in the United States?

Is there anything wrong with Russia finding a way to get people into the United States and burning Zelenskyy's property here in the US?  No.  He is the chief belligerent in that conflict just like Putin is so yes, if the other side can do the same thing to Putin, well, that's the price of war.

You want less war then you want much more of this.

Today not one single member of the House, not one single member of the Executive, not one single executive in the Defense Industry or banking system fears being tied up, forced to watch their spouse and children be raped and/or murdered and then executed themselves with all their property burnt to ash.

Yet that was the penalty in days of old when you lost -- and often before you lost, if things went poorly and they could get to you.

The acts and decisions of old weren't really about "noble choices"; that is a convenient fantasy run in tales of old.

Knights and Kings of old in fact did what they did simply because they understood the risk and thus only if it was worth it did you undertake the action of going to war in the first place.  Sometimes you had to -- you judged that indeed it was worth it -- and thus you did so, damn the consequences.

War is as old as humankind and that will never change.

But what we can change is to force skin back into the game for those who actually are responsible for the capacity and actual waging of war by advocating for and fully understanding that if you commit to war that is the potential price for each and every person in the society involved and if that's not acceptable then you stop the government from waging said war no matter the personal cost since every single person can only die once, you will die anyway if you refuse to act and thus you might as well die for a just cause rather than an unjust one.

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2024-05-05 07:00 by Karl Denninger
in Editorial , 18880 references
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From CNN:

There were about 3.6 million babies born in 2023, or 54.4 live births for every 1,000 females ages 15 to 44, according to provisional data from the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Center for Health Statistics.

You can look at this however you'd like but there is an underlying and very-seriously negative problem in here that nobody wants to acknowledge: If we do not address not only the rate but the balance of who's having kids and what they're inculcating in those kids we're screwed, and we do not have years or decades to do it either.

Simply put only the productive children -- that is, those who grow up and then produce more than they consume can keep a society going.  Some percentage of children are never going to be productive and for those who are unproductive simply due to bad luck its not their fault nor that of their parents -- fortune just is that way, and a just society doesn't treat them like a deformed puppy and cull them.

But you cannot make up for the lack of said productive children in your society by throwing open the borders and inviting "everyone" in.  Those who come here with their first act as a criminal one are demonstrably unfit right up front to fit into a social order that has "law-abiding" as any part of its requirement.  Oh sure, some will change their minds but their general mental position, which is "screw the law, I want mine" is not one you can permit on a mass-basis if you want to have a society at all.

There's an "interview" going around of a Biden advisor tying himself in knots verbally trying to explain the entire premise of government finance.  He makes the often-repeated claim that the government cannot go bankrupt because it can "print money."

Nobody can print money.  Not the government, not industry, not banks, not The Fed nor you.  NOT EVEN GOD can print money because money is the outcome of productive activity by humans.

But anyone can emit credit.  The only requirement to do that is the capacity to find someone else who believes you will produce something of value later worth at least as much as what is lent.  That's it.  You do it when you take a mortgage to buy a house or take out a loan to buy a car.  I do it when I take my Discover card out of my wallet to buy gasoline.  In days of old many taverns allowed you to do it for a drink, writing your name down and how many drinks you'd consumed.  They did that because they believed you would come settle the tab come payday, which you got in exchange for performing actual work of value for someone.

Today this is almost-all abstracted through a third party of some sort but the bottom line hasn't changed.  The same thing is true at a local, state or national level but of course the Federal Government (and State governments) are "more believed" than you as an individual because the Federal Government can tax you and nearly everyone pays those taxes without having to having to be threatened with being jailed or shot first.  That is in virtually every case you file and pay your taxes and for most they're withheld automatically so its actually somewhat of a pain in the ass not to pay.  This is the premise on which the government can issue bonds and thus borrow.

The abstraction layer, with you whipping out a credit card or the government issuing bonds, makes it all appear to be some sort of magic.  It is not.  The clowns running the "MMT" scam are lying and they know it, as I demonstrated on Lauren Lister's show quite-adequately in a two-up debate on air over a decade back, and for anyone who wants to take me on in this regard -- I'm up for a rematch anywhere, anytime, in any forum.  The truth is no different than the tavern 100 years ago.  You can print the credit for that drink because the owner of the bar believes you'll pay, and while he knows a few people won't because they can't the loss is small enough that he can absorb the occasional deadbeat and remain in business, and by allowing you to emit that credit you spend more than if you would have had to save it first.

In short money and credit both spend the same but they are not the same and governments can never create money because government is, by definition, a consumer of resources to provide common goods and services.  Government does not produce; it provides necessary functions (e.g. collective security, otherwise known as a "military") by distributing the production of individuals.

As you shift the percentage of people who will earn the money (by performing a useful task for someone at less renumeration than its value, which is of course necessary because otherwise they'd be stupid to hire you) toward those who do not and will not the percentage of losses goes up.  But this is not instantly apparent -- well, not unless you look, and in fact we do look and its reported all the time.

The national debt exists because there are more freeloaders in greater size than there are producers who provide more value than they extract. As with all exponential functions this looks like a free lunch when you start but if you don't cut it out the end is always disaster as the system in question collapses.  That this will occur if you keep at it is mathematical fact and mathematics are never false nor can they be voted upon or changed by political whim.

To fix this you have to change the incentives.

You have to cut off the freeloaders -- all who do not produce more than they consume -- and, those who are not citizens must be forced to leave -- right here, right now.

You have to incentivize citizens to form stable, bonded heterosexual pairs that, with only one of them working and the other raising children can do so with an economic surplus and demonstrate that such a surplus is possible to obtain in such a system so their children see that from their first moment of sentience forward.  No, not everyone will succeed, but a critical fraction must succeed because you must inculcate that in the next generation or you get the degenerate behavior we have now.  This in turn means that the cost of assets to do so must have their speculative premium reduced or entirely eliminated and thus collapse in price.  Yes, this means houses and other living units for openers.

If you demonstrate to children that you can blow up a two-parent home with kids and fuck up everyone's life for your own adult perversions, whatever they might be, why would those children go down that road when they don't believe it will work out?  Yes, some people do willingly smash their finger with a hammer, but a logical person calls such an individual mentally incompetent because they are!

In addition we had better roll back all of the things we've changed in terms of what go into children that have produced a fifteen percent educational disability rate.  That is either real and we did it and had better stop it right now under penalty of death for those who have and are doing it or its false and we're screwing both the kids and the parents -- and in the latter setting the example that your odds of being bankrupted by having a child are roughly one in seven!  Any middle-class couple would be nuts to produce kids with that set of odds and especially to have a second one when that second child has a one in seven chance of screwing not just the adults but the existing normal child!

There is no simple, one-answer prescription for all of this but all of these issues must be addressed right here, right now, with no excuses accepted.  The idea that banning abortion, for example, will "do it" is functionally insane.  A woman who chooses to abort a child obviously is in a position where she believes that having said child is a bad decision.  The "cheap and easy" answer is "ban the procedure" where the real problem is that you don't want to fix the underlying reason she thinks having the kid is a bad decision.

Well, here we are with a wide-open border and a crap-ton of people coming in -- and what's worse is that the vast majority of those currently having kids -- including those coming here through said open border are in fact not productive beyond their consumption and proof of this is found in the wildly-escalating National Debt.

We don't have 10, 20 or 30 years to reverse this.

We must reverse it right now because it takes about 20 years to grow a human from conception to adulthood and if we don't reverse it now there will be no ability to keep this crap up long enough to reverse what is about to happen at all.

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2024-05-04 07:00 by Karl Denninger
in Editorial , 405 references
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We seem to have a view that courts, including the Supreme Court, have some delegated power to decide the Constitutionality of an action.

That's false, and in fact the Federal Court system itself admits they made it up.

The best-known power of the Supreme Court is judicial review, or the ability of the Court to declare a Legislative or Executive act in violation of the Constitution, is not found within the text of the Constitution itself. The Court established this doctrine in the case of Marbury v. Madison (1803).

Note clearly what they admit: They invented that as a "doctrine" in 1803; no component of the Constitution actually granted such a power.

Article VI establishes the Constitution as the Supreme Law of the land.  Nowhere is there an exception or "wordsmithing" allowed -- that is, no matter what some court might say, the Constitution, being Supreme, is declarative.

For instance the entire claimed "authority" to search communications of Americans without a warrant under FISA is per-se unconstitutional because the 4th Amendment contains no exceptions -- not for terrorism or any other reason, including even an active war.

It does not matter what Congress passes or the Supremes say: That law is void, period.

Now of course they will be happy to try to throw you in prison for it, but the fact remains that its void.

We, the people, are the ones charged with enforcement because per the Constitution any power not delegated to the Federal Government is held by the States or the People, depending on whether same would be constructed against one or the other.

The 14th Amendment incorporated the entirety of the Constitution against the States, which until that time had no such requirement; that is, a State could, until that time, under its own Constitution search without a warrant.  That went away in 1869.

Indeed of the Constitution's protections only habeas corpus can be suspended (Article I, Section 9, Clause 2) -- there is no other right that is held by the people that can abrogated by a mere act of Congress.

Yet here we are.

We have both "laws" that are wildly in violation of the Constitution (virtually all gun constraints other than those on interstate commerce, which is a delegated federal power), FISA and similar as it applies to "general warrants" or even warrantless searches which violate the 4th Amendment and blatant and outrageous refusal to execute existing laws whenever it suits the administration or Department of Justice's whims (e.g. 8 USC 1324 on illegal immigrants, 15 USC Ch 1 against virtually every medical and pharmaceutical provider in the nation and more) never mind the just-heard case of Sarbox being "uniquely" applied intentionally out-of-scope (on which I have a separate article.)

None of that is Constitutional and no decision of any court, including the Supremes, can make it so.  Indeed the 14th Amendment makes clear that unequal prosecution, which many defend as a "right of discretion" does not exist and that such an agency and all their employees are in fact committing felonies in each and every case which they willingly refuse to prosecute.

The last thirty or so years have shown conclusively that the Supremes are part of that problem -- but its not really their fault because they never had the power in the first place when it came to whether something is within the black letters of the page in the Constitution -- we did and still do.

The question becomes this: Are we willing to enforce it, or are we going to sit back and let our nation be overrun by scams and invaders as we have for the last three decades to the point that our entire economy and political system collapses?

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