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User Info 2021: The Year In Review, And A Wee Light In The Tunnel; entered at 2021-12-27 09:34:26
Bluto
Posts: 3194
Registered: 2021-07-10 FEMA Region 4
Quote:
They absolutely lose the Senate and I'll give it 50/50 they lose The House.


Just curious on why you see it like that? Everything I've read suggest the exact opposite, with the Dems losing the House being a near 100% certainty, but them losing the Senate being 50/50.

Granted, I have recently read the Dems are doing slightly better than expected in re-districting thanks to egregious gerrymanders in Illinois, New York, and California, but we are only talking a few seats there.

If the GOP replicates the 12-point swing in VA/NJ between 2020/2021, I've read where that translates into 50 House seats and 5 Senate seats flipping.
2021-12-27 09:34:26