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User Info Uh, That's Not A Conspiracy Theory; entered at 2021-11-02 12:40:06
Tickerguy
Posts: 185172
Registered: 2007-06-26
@Mightymosin - It does not appear to be an individual risk. That's the shocker in this; I assumed it was, that the variable was individual metabolic response, and since you can't control THAT, you're rolling dice with no controls to help with risk stratification.

The data says otherwise. The odds of the people at highest risk concentrating across a few lots when the sample size is 100 million+ people is flat-out ridiculously improbable -- on the order of the Earth being wiped out by an asteroid tomorrow at Noon.

Remember that nearly everyone on the 2-dose regimes is going to get two DIFFERENT lots, simply because TIME separates them and in a mass-vaccination campaign the first one they get will be depleted in supply and the supply replaced. The odds of that being the same lot are VERY low. This adds even more evidence to the scale that the issue is NOT individual susceptibility in any meaningful way.

Last modified: 2021-11-02 12:42:15 by tickerguy

2021-11-02 12:40:06