The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.
NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, BONDS OR FUTURES.
The author may have a position in any company or security mentioned herein. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.
Market charts, when present, used with permission of TD Ameritrade/ThinkOrSwim Inc. Neither TD Ameritrade or ThinkOrSwim have reviewed, approved or disapproved any content herein.
The Market Ticker content may be sent unmodified to lawmakers via print or electronic means or excerpted online for non-commercial purposes provided full attribution is given and the original article source is linked to. Please contact Karl Denninger for reprint permission in other media, to republish full articles, or for any commercial use (which includes any site where advertising is displayed.)
Submissions or tips on matters of economic or political interest may be sent "over the transom" to The Editor at any time. To be considered for publication your submission must include full and correct contact information and be related to an economic or political matter of the day. All submissions become the property of The Market Ticker.
Considering sending spam? Read this first.
The jury is in and the data is incontrovertible.
We have all "lived with" Covid19 now for six months. The majority of the nation has reached suppression levels. FL, TN, TX, AZ, SC, MS, GA, LA and more. There are a few states (and counties within states) that have not; Hawaii and South Dakota are two notable ones.
Now that we are here we can take a worst-case scenario for a county that has reached suppression and compare it with other things. I will use mine, since we're here and we have a jackass for a county Mayor who has refused to drop his obscene mask order.
From the state health dept.: there are 2,219 confirmed and probable cases, 20,160 negative tests, 1,713 recoveries, 494 active cases, 81 hospitalizations since the outbreak, and 12 deaths in Sevier County due to COVID-19.
Ok, that's our baseline. The last death was quite a little while back, so we are not exactly stacking up bodies like cordwood.
The general assumption we'll make, which we know isn't true, is that the deaths are actually "due to" Covid19. Due to how the CDC counts deaths, by their own admission only 6% of them are entirely due to Covid19. In fact the CDC admits, in their own data, that over 5,100 accidents, suicides and poisonings are counted as "Covid19" deaths -- which is outright fraud. I will note that for every other disease or condition there must be causality demonstrated; that is, in the chain of events leading to death on the death certificate (which almost-always has as the "last" or "most-imminent" item respiratory or circulatory failure) the condition must be present. The CDC is not doing this with Covid and that's an outrageous and criminal overstatement of the mortality this virus causes.
But I'll give you entire 12 deaths, because even if every last one of them was ultimately caused by the virus, it still doesn't matter.
Over a four year, pre-Covid period, as documented by the Tennessee Department of Health, 4,200 people died in this county, or about 1,050 a year. This is above my "best guess" of 0.85% (we have about 100,000 people here) but it is what it is. That 15% discrepancy may be a lot of fat or just unhealthy people; who knows. It doesn't matter; dead is dead.
What does matter is that on average 26 people a year in this county die from influenza and pneumonia.
Now we have not, in this county, shoved the virus into nursing homes and similar environments. We might do it in the future, but for now we haven't. And if you do not do that it is now proved, as we've reached suppression and thus no longer can take a logarithmic spike in either cases or deaths, that this virus is no worse in terms of the risk of death than the flu.
The debate is over folks.
That other counties and states have not achieved this means they, either through malfeasance or intentional action, killed people.
And this, my friends, is without the use of early intervention as I noted in my last Youtube video.
There is no emergency and never was, absent the willful and intentional actions of individuals in both governments and health care. Period. The evidence is clear, it is unequivocal and it cannot be questioned. We have clearly reached suppression in this county.
More to the point this is in exact correlation with Sweden, which locked down nothing and yet 50% of their deaths occurred due to not protecting the people in nursing homes as well. Take those back out as negligent homicide and you find that this bug is....... the flu.
Sweden typically loses 2,700 people a year to influenza and pneumonia, almost exactly half of the number that Covid19 has killed.
There is no argument for any mandate, anywhere, in any form. Not for vaccines, not for masks, not for anything. Absent intentional action that is known to likely cause (and does cause) the death of people through gross negligence, specifically by refusing to deal with the fact that this virus is transmitted in crap and nursing homes have ~40% of their residents incontinent, which means you cannot allow the virus into such a place under any circumstance or it will kill people -- and this means you must lock in the staff -- this virus is in fact no worse than the flu and, if you treat early with any of the the treatment modalities that we have every reason to believe will work including HCQ and Ivermectin (more data coming by the day on that) aggressively and early we can likely cut that death rate down even more-dramatically meaning this virus is less lethal, likely by about half, than the flu.
The debate is over folks; the math is what it is and any government official who tries to do anything to constrain anyone in their business or personal life beyond the boundaries of a nursing or hospital facility should be ignored and, if they try to enforce same, they should be treated exactly as you would any felon who is attempting to kidnap or kill you.
The insanity must end right here and now.
The evidence is not just overwhelming it is irrefutable.