If there's one take-away from the results of 2022's war (politics, at least thus far) is this: Trump is a crappy General and if he's not ditched 2024 is doomed.
Of course anyone with a brain knew this after 2020; the man was a gutless bully which also was obvious to anyone who had one bit of common sense well back to 2016, but then again neither the media or anyone else in the political punditry wanted to either admit or discuss it.
January 6th was the culmination of man without a sack from top to bottom, and yet still a huge part of the population continued to buy kneepads, to the point that there was a severe shortage of them for those who wanted them for mundane reasons -- like work in their attic or replacing their roof.
Yet two years after that fiasco -- a man who maintained he was cheated yet lacked the sack to arm up and go prove it, yet claimed to be "the guy" who should sit in the left seat with his finger on the button of nuclear holocaust for the world, a good part of the GOP voter base still bought his obese, germophobic BS.
Tuesday, November 8th, 2022 has now come gone. We'll see if that fantasy has finally been broken.
The usual recriminations are out. Kansas had an independent on the ticket who got about 2% of the vote. Milton Wolf is blaming said candidate in Kansas for all the abortions and breast-chopping off girls that are likely in the state over the next four years. Notice what's missing and what's present: Only "approved" parties have a right to run for office and those who run don't have the responsibility to put forward a winning platform on their own; if someone else runs and the "preferred" person by someone's view loses it's not the losing candidate's fault they lost.
Here's what people don't want to face: The extremes of abortion on both sides are a political third rail; nobody except for the nutjobs is in either of those camps. The GOP tried to spin the Roe-v-Wade decision as a mandate to ban abortion entirely under all circumstances and got their teeth kicked in -- justly so. If they had left it alone as a state-specific issue and come out strongly for that, rather than trying to press the USSC win onto the national stage several races, including Pennsylvania's Senate race and Michigan's Governor, would have been walk-off victories. Instead both were losses and in that regard the Republicans literally sucked-started a political shotgun.
If you run on "abortion is murder" -- or can credibly have that position pinned on your campaign you lose. Note that murder is a very-specific word; murder is always and everywhere a criminal offense carrying long prison sentences or capital punishment. It therefore leaves no woman who can find any reason to undergo such a procedure, ever and under any circumstance, any possible path to vote for you since you are by your clear statement threatening to throw her in prison. Would you vote to voluntarily go to prison?
There are plenty of people who try to link this to things like an ectopic pregnancy, which is never viable and, unless removed, is almost-certain to kill the woman. That's BS and everyone knows it; there is not one so-called "trigger law" that mandates that a woman die if such was to happen and no such law would be constitutional. However there are myriad other corner cases that remain -- and attempting to label all of them murder is how you lose elections.
The Republicans continue to refuse to face this fact and boy did they amp it up this time -- with the entirely-expected results. No more than a tiny single-digit percentage of child-bearing age women will agree that there are no circumstances under which she might want to terminate a pregnancy short of her being dead if she doesn't and will accept being convicted of murder and thrown in prison if any of those other circumstances -- like being raped, for example, or if the fetus is discovered to be horribly defective and cannot possibly live a reasonable life by any rational definition, never mind bankrupting both her and her partner before dying horribly -- arise.
If you're one of the people pressing that position in public, no matter the venue but especially if you were doing it in a political context you are the reason that the election turned out the way it did. You caused it; you cheered it on and stoked the crazy, now you get to live the curse.
The really ugly part of that stupidity is that it meant we had no political debate at all about what is arguably the fiscal issue on the table and one that threatens to blow up the Federal Government within the next few years.
Tell me, America: How many candidates ran on a platform that had as its primary feature ending the medical monopolies and, as a result, adding 15% to your actual disposable personal income?
Oh yeah, there would be side effects: One in five, roughly, would lose their job and of course they would be vociferously opposed. But the other 80% would have basically the entire Bidenflation economic impact removed from their personal finances and not just once -- permanently. What percentage of those people do you think would have voted for said candidate, assuming he or she didn't blow their own head off by bringing abortion into it?
ALL OF THEM.
There was not one candidate who did so that I'm aware of.
Not one Democrat (of course), Republican or Libertarian for that matter who ran on something like this.
Nor did anyone that I've seen actually run on enacting legislative hard-stops on ever pulling any of the 2020 crap again including against their own authority should they try to do it. DeSantis claims he did but in fact he closed things just like everyone else and while now taking credit for "reopening faster" the fact is that he has not stated that he was wrong originally. Of course there is also his refusal to enforce the fines in his pet legislation, including against entirely-intrastate entities such as The Straz in Tampa where there was no federal jurisdictional question. Therefore it must be concluded that he doesn't think he was wrong, he not only supports he demonstrably abuses laws through selective enforcement and further, despite having the capacity to prohibit blockage of treatments by pharmacists and physicians that has not been taken care of either.
Where were the candidates, incumbent or otherwise, stating clearly that no more of that crap will happen, ever again, period?
Zero incumbents who actually did slaughter people -- including shoving Covid-positive patients into nursing homes when we knew damn well that was rather likely to kill the residents, lost their job. It certainly doesn't help that the Republicans ran a caricature of Satan in several contests, including Michigan -- but the fact remains that in those states where that sort of insanity happened at their specific direction and said governor was on the ballot they were all reelected. Ditto for those who cost kids two years of education (I remind you that they all cost the kids a full semester, basically.) Never mind the "squad" folks who want to get rid of cops -- and we've been witness to entire areas of cities burned to ash over the last two years, along with skyrocketing crime. Pritzker, who signed and in weeks will implement a ban on cash bail, was reelected despite Chicago's weekly "shot clock" standing as evidence for how bad it already is.
People are trying to spin DeSantis' win as some sort of referendum on "freedom." It was no such thing; Crist was a and remains a washed-up nutjob who had no realistic chance in the first place. The "bench" issue with crazies is not uniquely Republican and as such DeSantis' win is equivalent to what would have happened if he ran against Bozo The Clown so spare me the accolades.
I thought we'd probably wake up and find ourselves with a clear GOP majority in both the House and Senate, and as a result there would likely be a nice market rally (gridlock tends to produce one) with a deferment of the Trump question for another few months, albeit with him likely announcing intent within a week or so.
While the House appears to be definitely GOP even with undecided races, the Senate is, as I pen this, undecided although I don't see how the GOP loses all three of the remaining to-be-decided contests. Nonetheless without at least two wins its still 50/50 with Kamala as a tiebreaker and it shouldn't have been close.
All of that happened because Trump was in the game and the GOP's bench was both garbage and spewed crap about throwing women in prison -- but for the Oz debacle in PA Fetterman would have been roadkill three months ago. He wasn't, and the reason he wasn't is that a literal nutjob -- yet another celebrity cardboard cutout -- was on the ballot opposing him.
Further, and perhaps most-importantly: If you back anything of the current "GOP" power structure at this point, including most-particularly those who took in and spent hundreds of millions of dollars on the promise of a "red tsunami" and instead produced a bit of blood-tinged piss -- you're nuts.
We, like every other nation's citizens, get the government we deserve. Unfortunately what we now deserve plausibly includes the black flag going up. That's by no means certain yet, but the odds have risen dramatically -- and our actions, and inactions, are why.
It's always darkest just before it goes pitch black.