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2019-10-05 09:25 by Karl Denninger
in Earnings , 266 references Ignore this thread
Here We Go Again
[Comments enabled]

Sigh....

Yeah, they say, it's all angry white men doing all the murdering.

Uh, no.

75% of the American population is white by last count, ~12.5% Hispanic, ~12.3% black and 3.6% Asian, roughly.  Those are the major represented groups.

So it lines up like this:

75% of the population committed 3,308 murders.

12.5% of the population committed 1,576 murders.

And finally, 12.3% of the population committed 6,318 murders.

Adjusting for population the absolute murder ratios (lower is less-likely to murder) were 4,410.67, 12,608 and 51,365.

Taking the lowest likelihood to murder as the "baseline" (white people) as "1" if you're Hispanic you're 2.86 times more likely to murder and if you're black you're 11.65 times more-likely to do so.

This ignores the "unknown" (unsolved) murders, of which there are many.  But it is a pretty good bet that the division doesn't change much in that regard.

For sex you're 7.14 times more likely to murder if you're male than female. Big shock.

Cut the crap folks -- right now -- when it comes to the "nasty white dude" nonsense.

It simply is not true -- not even close.

Then there's weapons.

6,603 murders by pistol, 297 by rifle, 235 by shotgun and 3,130 by gun but type not specified.

However, 1,515 were by knife and 672 by hands, feet, and other human instruments (e.g. pushed off bridge)

In other words before you ban "nasty black rifles" you need to ban both knives and fists.

Incidentally you'd think that if you don't want to be murdered stay out of the cities.  All but 3,268 murders were committed in one.  If you stay out of non-suburban cities as well then there are only 684 murders left.  Roughly 16.4 million people live there however -- and when you adjust for population the risk isn't that much lower.

In other words "diversity" matters much more than location.  Another inconvenient truth.

None of this fits the narrative, of course..... so you can expect the slime to ignore it.

But facts just are, and since it's your ass maybe you shouldn't ignore it.

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Peterm99
Posts: 6648
Incept: 2009-03-21

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Good Ticker: short, sweet, and to the point.

Unfortunately, you'd never hack it as a mainstream so-called "journalist", as you rely too damn much on actual facts.

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". . . the Constitution has died, the economy welters in irreversible decline, we have perpetual war, all power lies in the hands of the executive, the police are supreme, and a surveillance beyond Orwells imaginings falls into place." - Fred Reed
Click
Posts: 615
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Frankly, I don't believe in the accuracy of any of the agencies' (public or private) reports on demographics - especially when it comes to the racial makeup of America.

And, moreover, it all depends on what you mean by "white race".

I tend to think that Whites are no longer a super majority - not even close. So I tend to look favorably on demographic reports like this one: "Currently, the United States is 60.4% white."

http://worldpopulationreview.com/countri....

Be the racial percentage as it may be, there is no question in my mind that the black race is far more tribal and prone to violence. And I don't have to read any statistical analysis to prove to myself who the most ****ed-up race in America is...

Having said that, I absolutely agree with Ayn Rand that "it is not a man's ancestors or relatives or genes or body chemistry that count in a free market, but only one human attribute: productive ability. It is by his own individual ability and ambition that capitalism judges a man and rewards him accordingly.

No political system can establish universal rationality by law (or by force). But capitalism is the only system that functions in a way which rewards rationality and penalizes all forms of irrationality, including racism."

Once again I'm going to point out the root problems of widesoread poverty and crime in 2019: the cause is SOCIALISM, including but not limited to welfare, SSI, Medicaid, Medicare, the public school system, subsidized heat, water, rent, student loans, etc. and a massive government bureaucracy that is expanding to meet the needs of the bureaucracy. Add to that corporate welfare, endless credit expansion from the Federal Reserve and out-of-control military spending .... etc.. and what to do have?

You have one big fat ****ing deep-ass swamp surrounded by a very dangerously thick jungle. And the Black Tribe is doing what black people do best in a jungle, even a concrete jungle. Right?

Really, somebody ****ing tell me what their problem is. Blacks aren't totally ****ing stupid - not all of them. It's not bad genes. So what is it? I personally think blacks do very poorly in a Utopian Great Society - for whatever reason The Tribe is just so much more ****ed up in a collectivist swamp...

Finally, the White Race is done. As I mentioned in the beginning, I don't believe Whites have too long to go before they are a minority and their once beautiful culture is looted. And I think that non-white illegal immigrants number over 50 million, not 12 like the government reports or close to 30 million like some universities are reporting. Those numbers are ****ing crap.

White people you're time is done. 1950s was the best you'll ever know. And Western Civilization and the race who built it are in serious decline and ready to fall... This won't be pretty, at all.

Got guns? Food? A place to bug out to? If not, when the total collapse arrives you may have to kill an illegal with your bear hands and eat him raw... How's that for a keto diet?
Radiosity
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Sunny UK
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"Yeah, they say, it's all angry white men doing all the murdering."

I suspect this might well be true before too much longer. It depends how far they're willing to be pushed before finally snapping. The only question that really remains is... 1776? Or 1930s Germany? From the Jewish point of view.

Personally, I tend to agree with Click, it'll be boxcars and showers before 1776 becomes a likelihood. By then it'll be too late of course.
Flyanddive
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Detroit
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There are a significant amount of Hispanics that are reported as white on their criminal case. I highly doubt that anyone who was white, was reported as any other race. These crime stats are not accurate for white people.
 

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"I've seen people go into real poverty trying to pretend to be rich."
Kgmqt
Posts: 160
Incept: 2013-08-19

Minnesota
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You also have to consider the fact that if somebody wants to murder somebody else, the weapon used can be fungible. If pistols were outlawed and magically removed from society tomorrow, that does not mean there would be 6603 fewer murders. Maybe some number fewer, but not 6603.

The government is good at making this type of assumption, that changing policy will perfectly alter behavior in one case, or not alter in another. Behavior always modifies and then your projections change. Like increasing taxes 5% does not get 5% revenue increase.
Greyhound
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Minority violence is much valued by the system just as are illegals and the opioid crisis. Crime and social problems are their bread and butter and must be carefully seeded and tended to like a garden to produce fear and funding and new laws. It is guerilla warfare by proxy waged by the government against the law abiding. "Real ID" had a long time to gain acceptance until there was enough illegals to make it seem "necessary". A nice national database of every law abiding person in the U.S. Majority violence is not desired, however, as that is a threat to them.
Mannfm11
Posts: 5602
Incept: 2009-02-28

DFW, Tx
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The biggest repeated lie out there, even worse than left lies about their opponents is the Dangerous White Supremacist. I think if you took out redneck murders of other rednecks, in middle sized and small towns, you would find only a minimal amount of white murder at all. I haven't looked at the figures, but I would venture, if you took out murder-suicides and other killings related to male-female relationships, you would find very few white murders left. I suspect they call justified homicide murder, there would be few white on black murders or white on any other ethnic group left.

The bull****ters passed an anti-lynching bill. When was the last time a group of whites lynched a black person? I'm sure we would have heard about it over and over again for 2 years. The last noteworthy incident I recall happened about 20 years ago, maybe 100 miles south of here, when 2 white guys fresh out of prison tied a black guy to the back of their auto and drug him to death. That can probably be tied to the gangs that go on in prison, where the races bind together out of necessity. I have met some white guys that have been in the pen. Whether you call it white supremacy or something else, it is an us against them or them against us situation. Who cares which side creates it. I'm sure the Mexicans have their own gangs, as a group of them escaped and killed a cop here years ago and took flight to Colorado. They were bad guys.

The left has put a target on white males. If you are a white male, you are basically tempting suicide or slavery, if the left prevails. We have white privilege. Where? Ask some of these poor rednecks in the small towns where their privilege is. Most of them have been replaced by Mexicans or had their wages destroyed. I'm tired of the **** and recognized these blow hard communist racists as the enemy.

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The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.---John Kenneth Galbraith
Mannfm11
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I make the point that a large number of Mexicans are white. Not many Indians survived the white man coming to Mexico, due to epidemic. Take a look at the ruling class in Mexico or most other Latin countries. They are as white as Italians and Spaniards and any other dark skinned European, with a dose of native American. A couple of generations, you don't know the difference. Others are clearly natives. South America is even whiter, again Spaniard, German or Portuguese. Those that aren't are black or mixed black more than indigenous.

I suspect it takes some Hispanics to make up a 70% white. I would also think it takes a few Arabs and other middle easterners as well. Again, dark hair. The Caucasian race is named after an area around the Caspian Sea. People confuse Muslim as a race. I wonder how many hundred million black Catholics there are?

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The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.---John Kenneth Galbraith
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