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2025-01-15 08:25 by Karl Denninger
in Corruption , 336 references
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The California fires have laid bare, for those who can think anyway, the sheer scale of the scams, grift and frauds that every American deals with silently and -- in many cases without even thinking about it -- every single day.

They've got a "public works" employee who makes $750,000 a year.  How many ordinary people in LA make $750,000 a year?  Exactly how do you justify a salary nearly double that of the President of the United States when you can't manage to keep fire hydrants full of water under pressure when there is a fire?

The Fire Chief, who publicly stated that LGBTQRS++++ and "equity" were the most important things in her department, and even went further and when questioned on this, since there are basically zero women who can pass firefighting physical standards designed to insure you can carry a grown man down a ladder out of a 2nd story window if required that "if that happens then the man shouldn't have been there" -- and this was good for a total pay in 2023 of $439,772.39.  Oh by the way, the next two down the ladder in the Fire Department in terms of salary are paid $331,371 and $403,577 respectively for a total of roughly one million in salary and benefits.

None of those three nor anyone else in LA's alleged "engineering" departments thought that buying sea-scooping aircraft was advisable even though dropping water from the air is one of the best ways to fight fires that are not adjacent to a public street simply because there are no pipes there -- and in the case of LA there is an inexhaustible source of water right there called an "ocean."

How many IQ points do you need to look out over the city and county you were hired to manage and observe lots of combustible materials in places where a truck cannot easily get -- or get to at all?  It appears however many IQ points that requires none of these three possessed them!

Apparently none of these people also had the IQ points between them to figure out that a public campaign demanding that fire mains not connected to the domestic supply lines and sequential pumping stations to reservoirs up on top of the hills be installed -- even where they could be quite cheaply, such as right on the Pacific Coast highway and beach!  HDPE, the common pipe used today for mains, is heat-welded, thus has no couplers to fail and is impervious to corrosion including by salt water.  You cannot use domestic water mains for large-scale firefighting -- they're adequate for a single house fire but not for widescale fires because (1) as each house burns and fails the entrance pipe to it is destroyed and once a few of those houses burn the system is open and pressure will collapse as it goes beyond the maximum design demand and the number of hydrants you wish to use exceeds the capacity to fill them.  Empty reservoirs don't help but the fact is you need large fuel-driven pumps to drive pressure through dedicated fire mains for such service which are not connected to the domestic supply mains and thus will not go "open line" and suffer a pressure collapse as houses and businesses burn.  Yes, such a system is expensive but wildfires have always been inevitable in that part of the country.

Further, none of those three nor anyone else in LA's alleged "engineering" or public safety departments believed that getting the fuel off the forest floor or forcing the electric company, which enjoys rights of way granted them by said government to remove all trees that could contact power lines, clear the ground under said lines of all combustible material and invest in replacement of aging poles and attachments so when there is a windstorm (1) the lines don't come down and (2) if that fails there is nothing to ignite.  Oh by the way they also did not force said utility to invest in the capacity to monitor for arcing on said transmission system and disconnect any portions of it where it occurs.  Arcing produces a very distinctive electrical signature that looks like nothing else and thus can be detected and interdicted if you look.  That this occurs is in fact why all newer homes have to have arc-fault breakers on the panel for all bedroom circuits because arcing causes fires and people do stupid things like run extension cords under rugs.

So now in addition to not having any resources to fight said fires the same public works people refused to mitigate human ignition of fire which is the cause of basically all (>90%) of wildfires in that part of the country!  The reason is simple: Dry lightning, which is the natural cause of fire, is extremely rare in that area.

Instead of actually mitigating risk and then having infrastructure in place to deal with the problem if the mitigations fail despite best effort everyone out there who is trying to save their own scalps from well-justified gallows that should be under construction right now by the residents blames "climate change" -- which is outrageously false and should get these people executed on the spot as it is nothing more than a rank admission of their own culpability and grift.

Don't kid yourself that this is only about certain people in LA -- or for that matter California.  Its not.  While at a State level Californians voted for a bond issue to provide billions of water storage and transport for firefighting -- which many years later resulted in zero being spent on that and presumably blown on other things like housing and providing medical care to "migrants" at a national level Congress appropriated billions for rural Internet connectivity several years ago that has not connected a single person to the Internet.  Since money is all fungible the truth is that it was stolen and spent on other things -- like EBT cards and $500/nt hotel rooms for illegal aliens rather than its intended purpose.

Never mind the CR that was just passed including $100 billion for hurricane relief and now FEMA is kicking people in WNC out of hotels so, as Biden has assured California, he can divert (that is, steal) the $100 billion and give it to the very same chuckle****s who are responsible for the fire having occurred and their inability to effectively respond to it because hiring lesbians who can't actually hump the gear to fight a fire was the stated goal of the fire chief!

Congress' response to this?  A shrug of the shoulders; they appropriated the money and could claw it back before its spent on something other than its claimed appropriated purpose.  But they haven't and won't so spare me about how "your" chuckle**** Congress-critter is somehow "better" than the ones representing all the various blue zoos.  I will toast any death by freezing should it occur to any of them and/or any of their family members, yes, including their children since they seem to think that's perfectly ok for those in WNC they voted to assist and then sat on their ass and played with their genitals, probably while watching porn and/or fantasizing about sexually abusing children as the current Administration boasts that they're going to steal the money.

Now look at firms like Blackrock which is up to its neck in various schemes such as "ESG" in allocating funds which incidentally a recent court decision against American Airlines says is illegal under ERISA.  This is egregiously unlawful in that ERISA is clear in the responsibility of plan administrators as fiduciaries to the plan members and permits no other superseding goal.  That act was malicious as ERISA was long in existence before the "ESG" crap started and the law is both clear and unambiguous so where are the criminal indictments against Blackrock and others?  Oh by the way note this from the decision:

But the pilots failed to prove a violation of the statute’s prudence rule, he said, because the airline “acted according to prevailing practices and in a manner similar to other fiduciaries in the industry.” That’s true even though those standards may stem from BlackRock’s “alarming degree of control and influence over the retirement industry"—an industry O’Connor described as “incestuous” and full of “oligopolist or cartel-like behavior.”

That's a separate felony under 15 USC Chapter 1, remember?

Well?

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2025-01-07 07:00 by Karl Denninger
in Corruption , 346 references
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.... its not one thing, its a bunch of things, all of them felonious that are linked together.

For example, look at the situation around any resort town.  Skiing is the obvious one in the news right now, but hardly the only one.  I've written on the Mackinaw City issue before (and while there is indeed skiing in Northern Michigan, there sure isn't right there!)

Ditto for Destin; I lived in that immediate area for 20 years.  The various tourist and eatery places were staffed with locals who lived in the area. This got harder and harder over the years as what was reasonably affordable on a working wage got "redeveloped" and turned into much-more glitzy rental apartments and such.  By the time I left the younger working age person had no chance, even with a roommate, of being able to reasonably afford an apartment.

So what did they do?  They brought in a huge number of J-1 visa holders; I went back not all that long after leaving and the difference over just a year's time was stunning.  Places where I had hung out to eat and drink were all full of J-1 visa employees; literally all of the patron-visible people who used to clearly be locals were gone.  I have no idea what the back (e.g. kitchen) looked like but it was shocking -- and exactly what happened in Mackinaw City.  There, incidentally, I am aware of exactly two places you can go to have a beer and a bite and have the service and others there be local, authentic people.

TWO.

Where do the J-1 visa folks live?  Obviously hot-racking in housing conditions no American would put up with but certainly its better than what they had in their original place, right?  This depresses wages directly and permanently destroys those jobs for local people unless, of course, your argument is that Americans should accept plantation-style housing as reasonable.  If that's your suggestion then may I suggest you shove a hot poker up your own ass.

The fundamental problem with this sort of thing is that a huge part of the reason to travel to and enjoy such places is the original charm of both the place and people and absent the latter the former is as fake and gay as the spambot "engagement" on social media that appears to be a beautiful young woman but is actually an ugly, fat male scammer in Indonesia or Nigeria.

If the "rich" want to do things that are fake and gay catered to by other people who embraced ****ing their own local residents up the ass, displacing them in favor of cheap imported labor, let them.  I'm not paying for inauthentic bull**** delivered by a bunch of ****ing scammers who have destroyed what used to be an excellent and authentic experience and then fraudulently peddled their "replacement" to me exactly like they replaced the people who made the experience authentic in the first place!

More-seriously however are places where active conspiracy between parties is used to bone Americans in the ass.  I'm speaking of the so-called H-1b visa mess which is absolutely not just limited to H-1bs, although there are plenty of abuses there.  This also extends into virtually every single university in the United States which accepts foreign students who pay full price and then conspire together with employers to do "OPT" post-graduation.  The F-1 visa is non-resident and does not allow work but that is subject to circumvention as well through what is called "CPT" which was intended for fields such as medical students where a certain amount of practicum is mandatory.  It has since been wildly abused including some institutions setting it up from the first day of class effectively having the "student" be employed and thus displacing a US worker.

OPT is even worse because it is an exploitation of foreign students who in fact are after a path to US residency.  The intent of allowing someone to come here to study isn't that and yet.... it is.  From OPT you can get an H-1b visa which then locks you to that employer and now the abuse train is on the track.  Of course there's also plenty of fraud in there too, but that's not the real issue.

The real issue here is that universities are all-in on this but they don't clearly and fairly disclose to Americans that they're taking debt and thus are wildly disadvantaged in the marketplace for jobs compared with the F-1 admissions who then will compete with them via OPT and H-1b employment, a path that inevitably suppresses wages.  In other words the universities and employers get together and **** young Americans up the ass.

This, by the way, is supposed to be illegal in that 15 USC Chapter 1 covers any attempt to monopolize or fix prices and labor is a thing that is priced.  You're supposed to go to prison for that **** especially when you're doing it and don't disclose up front to every American who applies to your college that you, and every other university, are deliberately screwing said American's job prospects while demanding they pay you.

Incidentally the FERAL Government then adds to this via direct conspiracy with the colleges through the FAFSA, extorting the young adult's parents.

Oh, you say, "but I'm not a white American working in tech so I don't care."  That's very nice of you to profess "I don't give a **** who gets ****ed as long as its not me" -- by the way those white Americans are choosing not to have any children because they know their kids will get ****ed so exactly who do you think will wipe your ass when you get older and gray -- or provide the funding for various things when you can't anymore?  Yeah, when you get ****ed as an indirect result of your pigheaded bull**** I will laugh at the result.

How about "climate change"?  Let's cut the bull****: The earth has been cooling for nearly 500 million years; the "recent" warming cycle -- and yes, its a cycle, began 22,000 years ago in which zero SUVs existed.  No "model" has predicted a single thing that has happened with any accuracy; every single alarmist claim has not proved up.  The recent screaming about "greater" storm impacts is a lie and there is hard scientific proof of this.

However, every piece of this policy has wildly raised your cost of living and when it comes to wind and solar have destroyed the environment on top of it; you need only look where forests have been and are being clear-cut to put in solar panels and the eyesores of both wind and solar, audiosores and wholesale slaughter of birds caused specifically by windmills, never mind that the materials used to make both are not economically recyclable at all and both forms of energy require wildly more land to host them compared with coal, natural gas and nuclear power.  Coal, in addition, can quite-easily have the thorium in it, which is what causes lung cancer from its combustion, separated out and there is 13x as much fission-based energy in said thorium as there is in the coal itself so on the economics using that for nuclear fuel is not only common sense its also makes economic sense.  If you like getting ****ed in the ass then I suppose all this "green ****" is fine but that's exactly what it is predicated on a deliberate con job that those running it use to get rich at your expense particularly when they start banning or taxing carbon-based fuels and transportation.  Every bit of it is fraud.

Now let's do "Dreamers"; the advocates say they did nothing wrong but their parents did.  Ok, let's accept that except that this excludes any person beyond the age of reason when they crossed, which is roughly 13-15 (we can argue exactly where, but it is definitely in that range if not younger.)  The first problem is that most want to extend it to 15-17 year olds who crossed illegally.  No; they knew damn well they were not coming in legally so yes, they did something wrong and they knew it.

But the larger issue is this: Let's say your father robs a serious of banks (or some other institution.)  He manages to get away with it for a while and gives you $500,000 from the robbery.  Then he dies.

You do not get to keep the money even though you didn't do anything wrong personally and every single one of the "Dreamers" got a lot from that unlawful act whether it be schooling, medical care or simply the infrastructure they enjoyed here in the United States but had no claim to.  This amounts to hundreds of thousands of dollars per person and you cannot argue they have a right to keep it -- they clearly do not any more than you get to keep the money if you Dad robs a bank and gives you some or all of it.  Those who argue otherwise are thugs who are demanding you pay for someone else's criminal act and indirectly pay those who were beneficiaries of it, specifically the Dreamers.  That's theft, yes every "dreamer" who demands this is in fact demanding to be able to steal from every citizen of this nation unless they are offering every single dollar that was spent from public funds on them during their childhood here, along with any and all evasion of legal employment and taxes that should have been paid from same which of course none of them are.  They're all lying and thieves, in short, their claims are frauds and thus **** that **** all actual Americans must refuse until and unless all those funds are paid in full by EACH such "dreamer" on an individual basis FIRST.

The basic problem with all of this winds up in collusive practices (which are illegal when they lead to price discrimination, and they do in every caseand that the state and local governments love it because it leads to increased tax collections.  The same situation exists with the medical system; it's illegal to discriminate on price in the way it is currently documented every time you get an "Explanation of Benefits" and in addition that statement, which shows a wildly-higher "original price" is an element of extortion as well in that it is a threat to screw you for 5 or even 10x the price unless you buy someone's insurance acceptable to the institution.

That addition flow of money, of course, drives up property values and thus tax revenue both directly (income taxes from people and corporations) and property taxes (more expensive property = more revenue.)  That collusive behavior of this sort is per-se felonious doesn't matter to the government, nor do the lies on the H-1b visa applications which are well-documented and each and every one of them is supposed to get the people in the firm who do it and are aware of it years in federal prison.

The only way you will ever see any of this stopped is when FEAR comes back on the table for those who commit these abuses.  The university provost doesn't fear being locked up, the employers don't fear being locked up, the doctor and hospital administrator don't fear being locked up and those providing aid, comfort, housing and similar to illegal aliens also don't fear being locked up despite felony criminal federal laws being implicated and thus the abuses continue because our government refuses to prosecute on a blanket basis.

Thus it comes down to one simple question: Will Americans demand those prosecutions, in each and every case occur and thus those people will fear going to prison and if the government continues to refuse then the question becomes whether Americans will impose punishments on those they can identify as plausibly guilty themselves and on government employees with a duty to enforce said laws who refuse because if they do neither then you and your children are not being financially raped, you are having SEX and obviously taking PLEASURE in being screwed blind BECAUSE YOU ARE CONSENTING TO IT.

When you boil it all down facts are that just in medical alone 15% of your cost of living is stolen; that's the difference between what medical care was before all the illegal scams took hold as a percentage of GDP and what it is today.  Now add up everything else such as car insurance which is wildly elevated due to illegals driving without it and schemes between car makers and insurance companies to mandate expensive things that raise cost, the various schemes that increase the cost of housing, suppress wages and similar and its entirely reasonable to believe ONE THIRD of every dollar you earn is stolen via these schemes.

By the way if you think you can evade this by, for example, telling the medical system to go blow goats and become your own doctor (which for most things is probably better than what they'll do to you anyway both in cost and results) you're wrong because every single thing you buy has all of this scam in it and while you can evade it personally for many things you can't evade the cost it adds into every other business by having it happen to everyone else, including those who work at or are in the supply chain of those firms.

In other words until and unless you force it to stop, whether peacefully or otherwise, it will continue to expand and eventually render the average American both penniless and homeless in a land where the newly-imported worker literally ****s in the street while others groom your 10 year old daughter as an intended subject of******(just look overseas in a formerly-white majority and peaceful society for an example of THAT.)

So which will it be America?

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2025-01-06 07:00 by Karl Denninger
in Corruption , 167 references
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With two possible (unproved; those accounts might be hijacked) exceptions all of these are sex spambot/deboost causing accounts.

Well, ok, to be more-precise they're either (1) bots or (2) some other artificial thing.

They're all brand new, have a couple hundred accounts they've followed and only a couple of followers (fools) in return.  They also have either no content at all of their own or a handful of sexy pictures.  Some explicitly say they're in the "massage" or "escort" sort of business and a couple claim to want a "serious" relationship.

Right, you want a "serious relationship" as a (claimed) 25 year old with a 61-year old man.

"Serious", I'm sure, is defined as "you shower me with money and I'll shower you with sex."

Leaving aside the censorship (don't you dare state -- truthfully -- that Elon has laid off people while hiring H-1bs at his companies, never mind everyone else in the tech space doing it -- and don't criticize the other "wrong" people), leave aside Elon's newest exhortation (don't ever talk about corruption; that's negative you know!) or get de-boosted and I'm sure there are also algorithmic games afoot should you go after the funding rounds from big places like Blackrock aimed at his "AI" game -- why that would probably draw an immediate banhammer!

Incidentally the tactic used here is that your association with such "ill repute" will ding your "social credit" score on X and thus your reach even though you take no affirmative action.  That is, you don't have to interact with said spambots; their mere listing of you as someone they follow "taints" your account -- or at least it used to (and probably still does.)

Therefore this is an attractive thing for those who don't like what you say (e.g. my clear statements that H-1b perjurers should all go to prison and be asset-stripped to their underwear) to attempt to destroy your "reach" with others.

In other words, suborned and intentionally ignored fraud which of course Elon spends exactly zero of his much-vaunted "AI" capability he wants everyone to "use" (really be "used by" since anything you give it now belongs to it) eradicating.  If there was any "intelligent" behind such a programmatic thing identifying and removing all of these would be trivial given that a human can spot them instantly.  Therefore its either not intelligent or Elon wants them on the platform and likes what they're doing.

The better question is why would any real company with a real product to sell pay to advertise to sex-bots?

At least neo-Nazis are people and might buy products and services..... right?

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2025-01-03 07:00 by Karl Denninger
in Corruption , 266 references
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and the crimes come in many forms.

Amazon has been accused of many shady acts in the past but I've now caught them on more than one occasion doing something quite sneaky (they didn't get me, however) and just had them try something even more-blatant.

All of this falls into the category of "bait and switch" and is a criminal offense.  That is, offering something you have no intention of delivering and then either delivering less or nothing of value for the money collected at all.

This applies to people who are not "Prime" customers, of course.

Yes, I avoid Amazon in many cases but sometimes they have what you want and others don't.  For me Prime is a crappy value; it used to be reasonable at about $100 a year but now is about twice that -- and at that price it isn't especially when their "2 day" guarantee isn't actually any good (and it isn't; they meet it a good part of the time but not all the time and if you're going to advertise it then it has to be all the time or to me its worthless.)

There's two parts to this little game of theirs.

The first one is when you order more than $35 you get "slow" delivery included.  Ok, fine.  So you do that, and then the system comes back with an email saying "Forget anything?  For the next 24 hours anything else you order ships at no charge no matter how big or small the order."

This is "free" for them on the shipping side for small stuff because they haven't actually dispatched anything and your card hasn't been charged yet -- they actually sit on the order for the 24 hours, and until they charge it and dispatch it through their fulfilment chain it costs them nothing to add more to it.  If you get alerts when your card is charged you'll see this; a "slow" order does not hit the card until the 24 hours expires.

Fine.  That's a win-win, right?  Well, it would be if Amazon was honest about it but they're not.

Let's say you add some more things to your cart and then don't check out, or abandon it part way through (let's say it says you have 12 hours left before that expires, which you can't see until you start the checkout, you close the app or window) and then come back you'll find the cart is still there but "free shipping" has disappeared.  Even if you come back to it 5 minutes later it will quite-reliably happen even though there are hours left before the original 24 hour period would expire.

If you're not paying attention (which is really easy to have happen on the mobile app) you're going to get banged in the ass for the shipping charge even though you were told anything you ordered in the next 24 hours shipped free.

I'm sure that's exactly what they're counting on happening a good percentage of the time.

But the new thing that I just had happen is even worse.

Let's say the first happens.  You then add another item and now its more than $35 worth of stuff in your cart which does qualify for a second instance of "slow" shipping (it should be free and combined with the first order, but they already ****ed you out of that.)

But -- you want it faster.  There are presented three paid options: Medium speed, basically what Prime would be on a one-off ($6.99), Right now (tomorrow) for $10.99 and of course "resume prime" for $14.99/mo and get it at medium speed.

You choose to pay the $7.00 for the one-off.  Why?  Because you really want it in 2 days and can't find it locally, that's why.

You click "Place Order" and the system comes back and tells you it will be delivered slow speed but you paid for the shipping upgrade!

They just did this to me and I instantly canceled the entire order -- that's really sneaky **** and in a just society there would be a cop at their office door with an indictment in hand for deliberate and systematic consumer fraud.

Don't tell me this sort of **** is an "error" either folks -- how come errors are never in the customer's favor?  Errors are normally distributed -- half the time it screws you, the other half the time it gives you something.

These "errors" are all one direction; they **** you in the ass every single time.

Now yes, individually this was an attempt to screw me out of $7.00 or so but that's not the point.  Times how many people per day and how often does Amazon get away with this unnoticed?

This only continues to happen because nobody ever goes to jail and worse, nobody ever has to fork it back up at a penalty rate sufficient to convince them its a bad idea to try it in the future (say, 3x the amount stolen refunded in cash to everyone they did it to over the last five years) even though Amazon knows exactly how many people they've tried this with and gotten away with it too over the last.... how many years?

If we had an Attorney General either in a State or at the Federal level that actually enforced laws then there would be a ****ing perp walk out of the offices in every state of the Union and/or this company would be shut down for systemic, programmed-in consumer fraud.

You want to find a company screwing people with impunity because nobody ever goes to jail from a big company when they do it?

Just grab any stock symbol and the odds are high you found one, whether its peddling worthless drugs, promising "free" add-on shipping to an existing order for 24 hours and then silently removing it and hoping the customer doesn't notice, collecting an upcharge for expedited shipping and then just pocketing the money while not shipping via faster means, laying off American tech workers while soliciting H-1s and said paperwork contains a statement you didn't lay anyone off in the previous or next 90 days -- and by the way it is a FELONY to lie on said paperwork and more.

I'm so ******n tired of this **** and we as a nation should absolutely not tolerate any of it from any firm, ever, PERIOD.

How much of the so-called S&P 500's "profit" is actually stolen via schemes of all sorts rather than earned by honest dealing?

PROBABLY MOST OF IT.

Indeed the only place I believe I can get a fair shake is at the local bar and grill and that's probably only because they would have to look me in the face if they decided to screw me.

"Make America Great Again" eh Mr. tRUMP?

I'll believe you're not one of the ****-headed thieves and in league with all the rest of them when I see some of these mother****ers frog-marched in handcuffs -- and not one second before.

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2021-11-02 07:40 by Karl Denninger
in Corruption , 61356 references
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There is an article floating around from The Expose that makes an explosive claim: There is a wildly statistically-significant skew in the death rate from Covid-19 vaccines by lot number.

What originally got my attention was the tinfoil hat crowd screaming about lots being intentionally distributed to certain people to kill them -- in other words certain Covid-19 vaccine lots were for all intents and purposes poisoned.  That was wildly unlikely so I set out to disprove it and apply some broom handles to the tinfoil hatters heads.  What I found, however, was both interesting and deeply disturbing.

Lots are quite large, especially when you're dealing with 200 million people and 400 million doses.  Assuming the lots are not preferentially assigned to certain cohorts (e.g. one goes to all nursing homes, etc) adverse reactions should thus be evenly distributed between lots; if they're not one of these things is almost-certainly true:

  • There is a serious manufacturing quality problem or you produced something without understanding how it would work in the body and thus failed to control for something you had to in order to wind up with reproduceable results.  That is, some lots are ok, others are contaminated, have too much or too little of the active ingredient in them, some produce wildly more spike-protein than others in the body when injected, etc.

    OR

  • Much worse, the lots are intentionally segregated to produce different results. This implies some sort of nefarious intent such as killing people on a differential basis or that the manufacturers are running unsanctioned experiments on a mass basis among the population at-large, since they know what is in each lot and intentionally varied the contents.

    OR

  • Perhaps worst of all, reports are now being intentionally suppressed, the injury and death rate hasn't changed and there are lots with one of the two above problems but it is being intentionally not reported, having been detected almost-instantly and health providers were directed to not report anything serious (e.g. death) associated with the jabs.

Now let's talk about VAERS.  You can grab the public data from it, but VAERS intentionally makes it difficult to discern differences in lot outcomes.  Why?  Because they separate out the specifics of the vax (the manufacturer, lot number, etc.) into a different file.  This means that simply loading it into Excel does you no good and attempting to correlate and match the two tables in Excel itself is problematic due to the extreme size of the files -- in fact, it blew Excel up here when I tried to do it.  But that's an external data-export problem; internally, within HHS, it is certainly not hard for them to run correlations.

Indeed the entire point of VAERS is to find said correlations before people get screwed in size and stop it from happening.

Let's step back a bit in history. VAERS came into being because back in the 1970s the producers of the DTP shot had a quality control problem.  Some lots had way too much active ingredient in them and others had nearly none.  This caused a crap ton of bad reactions by kids who got the jabs and parents sued.  Liability insurance threatened to become unobtanium (gee, you figure, after you screw a bunch of kids who had to take mandatory shots?) and thus the manufacturers pulled the DTP jab and threatened to pull all vaccines from the market.

Congress responded to this threat of intentional panic sown by the pharmaceutical industry by giving the vaccine firms immunity and setting up a tax and arbitration system, basically, to pay families if they got screwed by vaccines.  Rather than force the guilty parties to eat the injuries and deaths they caused Congress instead exempted the manufacturers from the consequences of their own negligence and socialized the losses with a small tax on each shot.

Part of this was VAERS.  We know VAERS understates adverse events because it while it is allegedly "mandatory" it is subject to clinical judgment and there is a wild bias against believing that these jabs, or any jab for that matter, has bad side effects.  In addition there is neither a civil or criminal penalty of any kind for failure to report.  We now know some people who have had bad side effects from the Covid-19 jabs have shown up on social media after going to the doctor and then tried to find their own record, which is quite easy to do if you know the lot number from your card, what happened and the date the event happened -- their doctor never filed it.  This does not really surprise me since filing those reports takes quite a bit of time and the doctor isn't paid for it by the government or anyone else, so even without bias there will be those who simply won't do the work unless there are severe penalties for not doing so.  There are in fact no penalties whatsoever.  The under-reporting does not have a reliable boundary on it, but estimates are that only somewhere between 3% and 10% of actual adverse events get into the database.  That's right -- at best the adverse event rate is ten times that of what you find in VAERS.

But now it gets interesting because VAERS exports, it appears, were also set up, whether deliberately or by coincidink, to make it hard for ordinary people to find a future correlation between injury or death and vaccine lot number.

NOTE THAT THIS EXACT CIRCUMSTANCE -- THAT MANUFACTURERS HAD QUALITY CONTROL PROBLEMS ORIGINALLY -- IS WHY VAERS EXISTS.  YOU WOULD THINK THAT IF CONGRESS WAS ACTUALLY INTERESTED IN SOLVING THE PROBLEM THIS WOULD BE THE EASIEST SORT OF THING TO MONITOR AND WOULD BE REGULARLY REPORTED.  YOU'D ALSO THINK THERE WERE STRONG CIVIL AND EVEN CRIMINAL PENALTIES FOR NOT REPORTING ADVERSE EVENTS.

You'd be wrong; the data is across two tables and uncorrelated as VAERS releases it and there is no quick-and-easy reporting on their site that groups events on a comparative basis by lot number.  While it is possible to do this sort of analysis from their web page it's not easy.

(Further, and this also intentionally frustrates analysis, VAERS keeps no record nor reports on the number of shots administered per lot, making norming to some stable denominator literally impossible.  If you think that's an accident I have a bridge for sale.  It's a very nice bridge.)

But, grasshopper, I have Postgres.  Indeed if you're reading this article it is because I both have it and know how to program against it; this blog is, in fact, stored in Postgres.

Postgres, like all databases, is very good at taking something that can be foreign-key related and correlating it.  In fact that's one of a database's prime strengths.  Isn't SQL, which I assume VAERS uses as well, wonderful?

So I did exactly that with the data found here for 2021.

And..... you aren't going to like it.

Having loaded the base table and manufacturer tables related by the VAERS-ID I ran this query:

karl=> select vax_lot(vaers_vax), count(vax_lot(vaers_vax)) from vaers, vaers_vax where vaers_id(vaers) = vaers_id(vaers_vax) and died='Y' and vax_type='COVID19' and vax_manu(vaers_vax)='MODERNA' group by vax_lot(vaers_vax) order by count(vax_lot(vaers_vax)) desc;

This says:

Select the lot, and count the instances of that lot, from the VAERS data where the report ID is in the table of persons who had a bad reaction, said bad reaction was that they died, where the vaccine is a Covid-19 vaccine and where the manufacturer is MODERNA.  Order the results by the count of the deaths per lot in descending order.

vax_lot | count
-----------------+-------
039K20A | 87
013L20A | 66
012L20A | 64
010M20A | 62
037K20A | 49
029L20A | 48
012M20A | 46
024M20A | 44
027L20A | 44
015M20A | 43
025L20A | 42
026A21A | 41
013M20A | 41
016M20A | 41
022M20A | 41
030L20A | 40
026L20A | 39
007M20A | 39
013A21A | 36
011A21A | 36
031M20A | 35
032L20A | 35
010A21A | 33
011J20A | 33
030A21A | 33
028L20A | 32
011L20A | 32
004M20A | 32
025J20-2A | 31 << -- What's this? (see below)
041L20A | 31
011M20A | 31
031L20A | 30
032H20A | 29
030M20A | 28
042L20A | 27
Unknown | 27
006M20A | 27
012A21A | 25
002A21A | 25
043L20A | 24
032M20A | 24
023M20A | 23
040A21A | 23
027A21A | 23
017B21A | 22
036A21A | 20
unknown | 19
020B21A | 19
047A21A | 19
006B21A | 18
044A21A | 17
038K20A | 17
048A21A | 15
003A21A | 15
014M20A | 15
031A21A | 15
031B21A | 15
021B21A | 15
025A21A | 14
007B21A | 14
003B21A | 14
001A21A | 13
038A21A | 13
025B21A | 13
001B21A | 12
046A21A | 12
027B21A | 11
045A21A | 11
038B21A | 11
025J20A | 11
002C21A | 11
016B21A | 11
036B21A | 11
039B21A | 10
002B21A | 10
018B21A | 10
019B21A | 10
008B21A | 10
029K20A | 10
029A21A | 10
028A21A | 9
047B21A | 9
001C21A | 9
044B21A | 8
045B21A | 8
009C21A | 8
048B21A | 8
026B21A | 8
UNKNOWN | 7
039A21A | 7
040B21A | 7
046B21A | 7
032B21A | 7
038C21A | 6
030m20a | 6
027C21A | 6
008C21A | 6
006C21A | 6
004C21A | 6
047C21A | 6
007C21A | 5
025C21A | 5
042B21A | 5
043B21A | 5
025J202A | 5  << -- Same as the above one?
052E21A | 5
003C21A | 5
030B21A | 5
030a21a | 5
016C21A | 5
017C21A | 5
N/A | 5
NO LOT # AVAILA | 5
037A21B | 5
037B21A | 5
024m20a | 4
031l20a | 4
003b21a | 4
026a21a | 4
041B21A | 4
005C21A | 4
033C21A | 4
035C21A | 4
021C21A | 4
040a21a | 4
041C21A | 4
006D21A | 4
022C21A | 4
037k20a | 4
048C21A | 4
03M20A | 3
008B212A | 3
039k20a | 3
024C21A | 3
016m20a | 3
038k20a | 3
025b21a | 3
033B21A | 3
026C21A | 3
Moderna | 3
033c21a | 3
014C21A | 3
.....

There are 547 unique lot entries that have one or more deaths associated with them.  Some of the lot numbers are in the wrong format or missing, as you can also see.  That's not unusual and in fact implicates the ordinary failure to get things right when people fill out the input.  For example "Moderna" in the above results is clearly not a lot number.  I've made no attempt to "sanitize" the data set in this regard and, quite-clearly, neither has VAERS even months after the fact with their "alleged" follow-up on reports.

But there is a wild over-representation in deaths of just a few lots; in fact fewer than 50 lots account for all lots where more than 20 associated deaths accumulated and out of the 547 unique entries fewer than 100 account for all those with more than 10 deaths.

Evenly distribution my ass.

How about Pfizer?

vax_lot | count
-----------------+-------
EN6201 | 117
EN5318 | 99
EN6200 | 97
EN6198 | 89
EL3248 | 86
EL9261 | 84
EM9810 | 82
EN6202 | 75
EL9269 | 75
EL3302 | 69
EL3249 | 67
EL8982 | 67
EN6208 | 59
EL9267 | 58
EL9264 | 57
EL0140 | 54
EN6199 | 54
EJ1686 | 51
EL9265 | 50
EL1283 | 48
ER2613 | 48
EN6204 | 47
EN6205 | 45
EK9231 | 43
EL3246 | 43
EN6207 | 41
EN6203 | 41
ER8732 | 40
EL1284 | 39
EL0142 | 38
EJ1685 | 38
ER8737 | 37
EN9581 | 36
EN6206 | 35
EP7533 | 35
EL9262 | 34
EL9266 | 33
EL3247 | 32
ER8727 | 28
EP6955 | 27
ER8730 | 26
EW0150 | 25
EK5730 | 24
EP7534 | 24
EM9809 | 22
EK4176 | 22
EH9899 | 21
EW0171 | 21
unknown | 20
ER8731 | 19
ER8735 | 18
EW0172 | 18
EL9263 | 17
EW0151 | 15
ER8733 | 15
EW0158 | 14
EW0164 | 14
EW0162 | 14
EW0169 | 14
ER8729 | 13
ER8734 | 13
Unknown | 13
EW0153 | 13
EW0167 | 12
EW0168 | 10
EW0161 | 10
EW0182 | 9
NO LOT # AVAILA | 8
EW0181 | 8
EW0186 | 8
ER8736 | 8
EW0191 | 8
FF2589 | 7
EW0173 | 6
EW0175 | 6
FA7485 | 6
EW0177 | 6
FD0809 | 6
301308A | 6
EW0170 | 6
FC3182 | 6
EW0217 | 6
EK41765 | 5
EW0196 | 5
EW0176 | 5
EW0183 | 4
EN 5318 | 4
el3249 | 4
EW0178 | 4
EW0179 | 4
EW0187 | 4
FA6780 | 4
FA7484 | 4
EN 6207 | 4

Pfizer has 395 unique lot numbers associated with at least one death and, again, there are a few that are obviously bogus.  But again, evenly distribution my ass; there is a wild over-representation with one lot, EN6201, being associated with 117 deaths and fewer than 20 are associated with more than 50.

For grins and giggles let's look at the age distribution for 039K20A -- the worst Moderna lot.

karl=> select avg(age_yrs) from vaers, vaers_vax where vaers_id(vaers) = vaers_id(vaers_vax) and vax_type='COVID19' and vax_manu(vaers_vax)='MODERNA' and vax_lot(vaers_vax)='039K20A' and age_yrs is not null;
      avg
---------------------
 51.4922202119410700
(1 row)

Ok, so the average age of people who got that shot, had a bad reaction (and had a valid age in the table) is 51.

How about for 030A21A which had 33 deaths?

karl=> select avg(age_yrs) from vaers, vaers_vax where vaers_id(vaers) = vaers_id(vaers_vax) and vax_type='COVID19' and vax_manu(vaers_vax)='MODERNA' and vax_lot(vaers_vax)='030A21A' and age_yrs is not null;

       avg
---------------------
 61.1097014925373134
(1 row)

Well there goes the argument that we jabbed all the old people in nursing homes with the really nasty outcome lot and they died but it not caused by the jab and the second lot, which had a much lower rate, all went into younger people's arms and that's why they didn't die.  Uh, no, actually when it comes to the age of the people who got jabbed in these two instances its the other way around; the second lot, which was less deadly, had bad reactions in older people on average yet fewer died -- and significantly so too (by 10 years.)

What's worse is that the "hot" lots for deaths also are "hot" for total adverse events.  If the deaths were not related to general pathology from a given lot there would be no correlation -- but there is.  Oops.

In addition there is no solid correlation between the "bad" lots and first report of trouble.  The absolute worst of Moderna had a bad report in the first days of January.  But -- another lot of their vaccine with only 172 reports against it (1/20th the rate of the worst for total adverse events) had its first adverse event report on January 6th.

What is evenly-distributed with a reasonable bump for the original huge uptake rate?  When people died.

 

What the actual **** is going on here?  You're going to try to tell me that the CDC, NIH and FDA don't know about this?  I can suck this data into a database, run 30 seconds of queries against it and instantly identify a wildly-elevated death and hazard rate associated with certain lot numbers when the distribution of those associations should be reasonably-even, or at least something close to it, across all the lots produced and used?  Then I look to try to find the obvious potential "clean" explanation (the higher death rate lot could have gone into older people) and it's simply not there when one looks at all adverse event reports.  I have Moderna lots with the same average age of persons who died but ten times times the number of associated deaths.

Then I look at reported date of death and.... its reasonably close to an even distribution.  So no, it wasn't all those old people getting killed at once in the first month.  So much for that attempted explanation.

Oh if you're interested the nastiest lot was literally everywhere in terms of states reporting adverse events against it; no, they didn't concentrate them in one state or region either.

The outcome distribution isn't "sort of close" when most of the lots have a single-digit number of associated deaths.

Isn't it also interesting that when one removes the "dead" flag the same sort of correlation shows up?  That is, there are plenty of lots with nearly nothing reported against them.  For Moderna within the first page of results (~85 lots) there is more than a three times difference in total adverse events.  The worst lot, 039K20A with 87 deaths, is not only worst for deaths; it also has more than 4,000 total adverse event reports against it.  For context if you drill down a couple hundred entries in that report the number of total adverse events against another lot, 025C21A number 417 with five deaths.

Are you really going to try to tell me that a mass-produced and distributed jab has a roughly ten times adverse event rate between two lots and seventeen times the death rate between the same two, you can't explain it by "older people getting one lot and not the other" and this is not a screaming indication that something that cannot be explained as random chance has occurred?

Here, in pictures, since some of you need to be hit upside the head with a ****ing railroad tie before you wake up:

 

That's Pfizer deaths by lot, worst-to-best.  Look normal to you?  Remember, zero deaths in a given lot doesn't come up since it's not in the system.

How about adverse events of all sorts?

 

(Yes, there are invalid lot numbers, particularly in the second graph, with lots of "1s".  The left side however is what it is.)

There's a much-larger problem.  Have a look at Moderna's chart of the same thing.  First, deaths:

 

And AE's....

 

These are different companies!

Want even worse news?

JANSSEN, which is an entirely different technology, has the same curve.

 

and

 

What do we have here folks?

Is there something inherent in the production of the "instructions", however they're delivered, that results in a non-deterministic outcome within a batch of jabs which was not controlled for, perhaps because it isn't understood SINCE WE HAVE NEVER DONE THIS BEFORE IN MAN OR BEAST and if it goes wrong you're ****ed?

This is a power-law (exponential) distribution; it is not a step-function nor normally or evenly distributed.  Those don't happen with allegedly consistent manufacturing processes and the potential confounding factor that could be an innocent explanation (all the bad ones were early and killed all the old people early who died of "something" but it wasn't the vaccines since they all got the jab first) has been invalidated because the dates of death are in fact reasonably distributed.

Have doctors been told to stop reporting?  Note that HHS can issue such an order under the PREP Act and there is no judicial review if they do that.  Did they?

This demands an explanation.  Three different firms all using spike proteins, two using a different technology than the third, all three causing the body to produce the spike rather than deliver it directly and all three of them have a wild skew of some lots that hose people left and right while the others, statistically, do not screw people.

This data also eliminates the hypothesis put forward that lack of aspiration technique is responsible -- that is, that occasional accidental penetration of a vein results in systemic distribution.  That would not be lot-specific.

Next question, which VAERS cannot answer: Is there an effectiveness difference between the lots that screw people and those that do not?

Are we done being stupid yet?  Statistically all of the adverse events of any sort are in a handful of lots irrespective of the brand.  The rest generate a few bad outcomes while a very, very small number of lots generate a huge percentage of the harm.  And no, that's not tied to age bracketing (therefore who got it first either); some of the worst have average age distributions that are less than lots with lower adverse event rates.  It is also not tied to when used either since one of the "better" lots has a first-AE report right at the start of January -- as do the "bad" lots.

The only thing all three of these vaccines have in common is that all three of them rely on the human body to produce the spike protein that is then attacked by the immune system and produces antibodies; none of them directly introduce the offending substance into the body.  The mechanism of induction is different between the J&J and Pfizer/Moderna formulations but all exhibit the same problem.  The differential shown in the data is wildly beyond reasonable explanation related to the cohort dosed and the reported person's average age for the full set of events (not just deaths) does not correlate with elevated risk in a given lot either so it is clearly not related to the age of the person jabbed (e.g. "certain lots all went to nursing homes since they were first.")  While the highest AE rate lots all have early use dates so do some of the low-AE rate lots so the attempt to explain the data away as "but the highest risk got it first" fails as well.

In other words the best-fit hypothesis is that causing the body to produce part of a pathogen when that part has pathological capacity (as we know is the case for the spike) cannot be controlled adequately through commercial manufacturing process at-scale.  This means that no vector-based, irrespective of how (e.g. viral vector or mRNA), not-directly-infused coronavirus jab will ever have an acceptable safety profile because some lots will be "hot" and harm crazy percentages of those they're given to with no way to know in advance.  The basic premise used here -- to have the body produce the agent the immune system identifies rather than directly introduce it where you can control the quantity, is a failure. 

The entire premise of calling something that does this a "vaccine" is bogus and in the context of a coronavirus this may never be able to be done safely.

Something is very wrong here folks and the people running VAERS either aren't looking on purpose, know damn well its happening and are saying nothing about it on purpose -- never mind segregating the data in such a fashion that casual perusal of their downloads won't find it -- or saw it immediately and suppressed reporting on purpose.

If these firms were not immune from civil and even criminal prosecution as a result of what Biden and Trump did the plaintiff's bar would have been crawling up *******s months ago.

This ought to be rammed up every politician's ass along with every single person at the CDC, NIH and FDA.  They know this is going on; it took me minutes to analyze and find this.

What the HELL is going on here?

THESE SHOTS MUST BE WITHDRAWN NOW until what has happened is fully explained and, if applicable, accountability is obtained for those injured or killed as a result.  If embargoing of reports is proved, and its entirely possible that is the case, everyone involved must go to prison now and the entire program must be permanently scrapped.

THERE IS NO REASONABLE EXPLANATION FOR THIS DATA THAT REDUCES TO RANDOM CHANCE.

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