The Market Ticker
Commentary on The Capital Markets
Logging in or registering will improve your experience here
Main Navigation
Full-Text Search & Archives

Legal Disclaimer

The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.

NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, BONDS OR FUTURES.

The author may have a position in any company or security mentioned herein. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.


Market charts, when present, used with permission of TD Ameritrade/ThinkOrSwim Inc. Neither TD Ameritrade or ThinkOrSwim have reviewed, approved or disapproved any content herein.

The Market Ticker content may be sent unmodified to lawmakers via print or electronic means or excerpted online for non-commercial purposes provided full attribution is given and the original article source is linked to. Please contact Karl Denninger for reprint permission in other media, to republish full articles, or for any commercial use (which includes any site where advertising is displayed.)

Submissions or tips on matters of economic or political interest may be sent "over the transom" to The Editor at any time. To be considered for publication your submission must include full and correct contact information and be related to an economic or political matter of the day. All submissions become the property of The Market Ticker.

Considering sending spam? Read this first.

2021-01-17 17:50 by Karl Denninger
in Covid-19 , 758 references
[Comments enabled]  

Note this:

The administration will also stop holding back millions of doses reserved for the second round of shots of Pfizer and Moderna’s two-dose vaccines, the official said, adding they released doses that had been held in reserve on Sunday.

....

President-elect Joe Biden’s transition team announced Friday that his administration planned to release all doses held in reserve.

Folks, there is no science whatsoever on what happens if you get one shot and then don't get the other on the correct schedule, or at all.  Indeed the folks from Pfizer and Moderna immediately threw shade on that with good reason; they have no idea what will happen because it was never investigated.  Indeed, if one shot was enough they never would have tested or required two.

There is no reason to believe you will get any protection of substance unless you complete the sequence on schedule, which was just intentionally destroyed by both Trump and Biden.

Why would you do this?

That sort of action sounds insane and isunless you know the vaccine is worthless other than as a psyop because natural immunity in the population will suppress transmission before the antibodies produced by the vaccine can build and provide that very same suppression.

There is no other sane explanation for this action.

Again, timelines folks.

You need two stabs and the antibody titer is not present and stable until approximately four weeks after the second one.  This means that you are not protected from infection for six to eight weeks after the first stab.

Do you need protection in North Dakota now, say much less in eight weeks?

 

No -- it's over.

By the time you build antibodies in Tennessee -- roughly the middle of February for the first people, and end of February for the "second group", will you need protection of those antibodies?

 

No, it will be over.  It is in fact, on the data, over now; the peak is four weeks past and as expected hospitalization is headed down.

Look at Illinois, Minnesota, Michigan, Wisconsin; other states north of Tennessee.  They are all well past the winter peak except New York and New Jersey (along with a couple of other places that went full-on stupid), which locked down everything and spread out time rather than the cases.

The vaccines are, at this point for virtually the entire land-mass of the United States, nothing more than a psychological crutch.  By the time nearly everyone gets the second dose and antibodies build the peak will be past and the danger over.

In other words all of it was a waste of both time and money.

The only plausible and sane explanation for what both administrations are doing is that the vaccines carry only risk at this point and the CDC knows it which is why they are willing to endorse and in fact promote the risk of destroying your ability to get the second dose of these vaccines on schedule.

That is why they, and both the Trump and Biden administrations, are doing that which is otherwise scientifically and medically indefensible -- releasing doses that those who got the first stab must have on time or they are likely to get no protection whatsoever.

THERE IS NO OTHER LOGICAL EXPLANATION.

View this entry with comments (opens new window)
 

I've been tracking Covid-19 since spring here in my own county, along with others in Tennessee and in multiple states in aggregate.

Tennessee has reached suppression.  It is too early for the vaccines to have built antibodies; they are just starting second shots, and it requires 3-4 weeks after that before you have a protective level -- assuming all goes well, of course.  Therefore the earliest that the vaccine could start to suppress transmission is approximately the end of February.

Yet we reached a peak in "cases", on a 7-day moving average basis, one month ago.  This county tracked almost exactly the state's curve in that regard.  The 7 day average is down by 50% since that point and collapsing rapidly.  Within the next month it should be under 1/5th to 1/10th of the peak.

Hospitalization has peaked too, but of course more-recently.  The peak was roughly 10 days ago.  Again, this is normal.  While the "cases" rate is full of false positives you cannot false positive bodies in beds, so that's accurate.

In other words for Tennessee it is over; we reached the natural suppression point as a result of infections, not vaccinations, and our state is, like the rest, refusing to use Ivermectin as both prophylaxis and treatment despite the overwhelming evidence that it works.  The width of the spike is approximately equal to that in North and South Dakota, but a bit behind, exactly as expected (they lose natural Vitamin D production and warmth ahead of us.)  North Dakota is dropping all their constraints.  We should do so immediately; they have served no purpose, the data is what it is.  All we're doing is being stupid; none of those measures ever did help because they couldn't.

But look at what's happened here in the last 4 weeks, starting approximately when they began stabbing people.

 

Let me explain this graph a bit.  The blue is the daily reported "positive tests" and the red is the 7 day moving average of that, both on the left-hand scale in number of cases.  The black line is the total percentage of people who leave the hospital in a box since the beginning who are admitted for that disease (right-hand scale.)  For any new disease the fatality percentage will decrease as you learn more about it and how to treat it, assuming you are not monsters who either intentionally kill patients by continuing to use "treatments" that prove themselves harmful rather than helping or intentionally mis-classifying death from some other cause.

In short that black line should not happen, ever; it is prima-facia evidence of either manslaughter by negligence or intentional misclassification of death.

Now allegedly only a very few people have been reported dead or having had severe reactions to the vaccine in VARES, the CDC's "vaccine registry."  Nevertheless the serious adverse event risk appears to be, even if you believe the VARES data, about 10x that of the flu vaccine.

And I use the word "allegedly" because I'd like some explanation that does not involve fraud, that is, calling a bunch of dead people in this county who actually expired from the vaccine being attributed to Covid.

Why do I say that?

Because I cannot come up with a realistic and organic explanation why our local hospital has seen a sudden and unexplainable 67% increase in the fatality rate among those admitted with "Covid" that does not involve either misclassification or willful misconduct (that is, manslaughter), and the motive to do either or both is transparent if you are hell-bent to get people to take the shot even though you know damn well it has a wildly-elevated risk of killing or seriously injuring them compared with seasonal flu and other vaccinations.  If, after all the advocacy by every public official in the land and the relatively small number of shots given in this county thus far, 20 turned around and fell over dead within the next couple of weeks after getting stabbed you'd get lynched.

Do fatality rates go up and down?  Certainly.  But that's not a small change and it correlates with when they started stabbing people.

I know, I know, I should trust the government and they would never lie about something like this -- right?

Just like they told us that we only needed to stay indoors and close things down for fifteen days to slow the spread and that there was "no evidence" repurposed drugs -- specifically Ivermectin -- worked at all when from the data it was clear that in both cases they were lying?

View this entry with comments (opens new window)
 

2021-01-16 09:53 by Karl Denninger
in POTD , 179 references
 

 

View this entry with comments (opens new window)
 



2021-01-15 10:28 by Karl Denninger
in Covid-19 , 1323 references
[Comments enabled]  

From here:

NIH has upgraded their recommen­da­tion and now considers Ivermectin an option for use in COVID-19.

Which we knew likely worked starting in March.

Which we knew on the strength of scientific evidence THIS SUMMER.

Which, unlike masks, is an effective prophylaxis -- we knew that by the middle to late summer and into the fall.

WHICH WE KNEW BY EARLY FALL WAS AS EFFECTIVE IN PROPHYLAXIS AS A VACCINE YET WAS AVAILABLE RIGHT NOW, WAS APPROXIMATELY AS EXPENSIVE AS ASPIRIN AND HAD 30+ YEARS OF TESTING AND DATA BEHIND IT FOR SAFETY.

 

In addition unlike a vaccine which requires six to eight weeks for antibodies to build this is effective immediately and thus if given to all persons in a household when one got sick would cut off transmission and end the outbreak in one week, as I previously pointed out.

Which we did not use, intentionally, to "protect" the EUA process on said vaccines, because it is illegal to issue an EUA if there is a safe and effective alternative.

Which, in conclusion, is directly responsible for more than half of the total death count and about 3/4 of it in my county.

And by the way, since there is no profit in this drug it is the direct responsibility of public health agencies such as the NIH, Vander****s, Johns KillyourKins and others to fund and conduct studies on potential therapies of this sort since nobody has a financial incentive to do so.  They intentionally did not, choosing to push vaccines and masks instead and for this they should be disbanded and the "scientists" at same, including Fauci, criminally prosecuted.

I've been reporting on this since it started.

I appeared three times in sequence to point out the bull**** of "mask orders" in our county before our County Commission and have sent multiple letters to both commissioners and our Mayor.  All have been ignored, three quarters and counting of the deaths in this county occurred after those appearances and now the NIH confirms I was and am right.

Indictments.

NOW.

And shove your (and their) worthless masks up THEIR asses.

smiley

View this entry with comments (opens new window)
 

2021-01-15 07:25 by Karl Denninger
in Editorial , 628 references
[Comments enabled]  

Oh look what we have here.

A left-wing activist who told Fox News last week that he’d followed a pro-Trump mob into the Capitol in order to "document" the siege is now the subject of a criminal complaint in connection with his alleged participation, according to the U.S. Justice Department.

He lied.

Urging rioters "we got to get this **** burned" and "you guys are ****ing savage - Let's go!" among others is not "being just there to document.

Never mind being the founder of a Utah-based group called Insurgence USA.

Somehow, just somehow, that name appears to be rather.... descriptive, never mind advertising an event during the speech for DC.

Oh, and he was "accompanied", it appears, by people who work for certain major news media who were also caught on tape -- and who, we were assured, not involved.  Except perhaps they were, and CNN, I remind you, had this person on as a guest after the riot.

And now the DOJ has weighed in officially.

Since when does a major news media organization have as a guest a clear, documented on video in their own words, instigator of a riot who is also the head of a group called "Insurgence USA"?

When does Burn, Loot and Murder have its road-painting removed by Mayor Bowser?  And, may I ask, was she involved to at least the level of prior knowledge and willful indifference?

Oh, and how about the 535 liars who claimed no such persons from "the left side" were present when it turns out that not only were they present they were inciting the riot?

Then there's the emerging evidence (which I pointed out had to be true, since I've been in that building and have seen its construction at the doors, plus I watched on livestream the lack of tools of said "rioters") that they were let in deliberately by people inside.  How do I know this?  Because not only the Capitol but the office buildings have "portico-style" doorways which are extremely difficult or even impossible to breach, and thus simply weren't breached without serious amounts of force using tools of some sort such as a battering ram, large crowbars or explosives -- none of which were present (they're sort of hard to hide, you know.)  Therefore the obvious has to be true: Someone -- or multiple people -- on the inside let them in, deliberately.

And finally, this is the first "riot" I've ever seen where the persons doing the "rioting" stayed within velvet ropes while peacefully walking through a museum-style display hall, again, documented on video, and where police officers are seen directing traffic peacefully from one place to another instead of, you know, their job which might include making arrests.

Can we stop with the bull**** and lies when the video proof is now out in the open that this was orchestrated by a handful of anarchists who attempted and failed to get the other people to do what they sold in advance to both the major media and Congress itself -- a pre-arranged "riot" intended to incite some right wing folks to sack the halls of Congress that instead turned into something not much more than a guided tour when the hard-left "Insurgence USA" folks failed in their on-video attempt to incite mass destruction and arson?

And are we going to lock up not just the "right wing" folks who were walking around with a stolen lectern (yeah that appears to be a well-documented crime) but also all of those on the left, including in the left-wing alleged "mainstream" media itself who are now caught on tape urging people to commit acts of arson and cheering on the riot itself?  Oh, and while we're at it, let's find out who inside Congress knew of it in advance and was, at minimum, intentionally sitting on that information for political purposes as such is not covered by the "speech and debate" prohibition on prosecution and throw all their asses in prison as well.  The list of such people must include every single one of those who delivered an obviously pre-written speech in the hours after the riot which were oddly coordinated, did not duplicate much of anything and, having done plenty of public speaking myself, could not have possibly been written, polished and practiced to such a degree in the short period of time available.

And, since we now have hard proof and even CNN is admitting this was "pre-planned" the impeachment of Trump is obvious nonsense and must be immediately dismissed but there are plenty of House and Senate members who must be impeached, removed from office and prosecuted to the fullest extent of the law, never again to hold a position of profit within the United States Government.

View this entry with comments (opens new window)