The EU's Lies Blow Up In Their Face
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2010-11-16 10:43
by Karl Denninger
in International
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The EU's Lies Blow Up In Their Face
 

Austria is now reported to have said "NUTS" to Greece.

Finance Minister Josef Proell says that the December tranche of Austria's contribution -- 190 million euros ($258 million)-- will only be paid out if Greece can show that it has raised the amount of money it pledged to take in through taxes.

And that, my friends, is that.

Greece isn't going to raise taxes further, and it hasn't met its commitments.  In fact, it has now been shown that Greece was lying even more severely than previously believed.

This entire EU "rescue fund" is about to come apart.

I hope you're appropriately protected - my prediction that the next leg of this mess was going to initiate in Europe appears to coming to fruition.

Oh, and Ireland isn't assured to "go smoothly" either.

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User Info The EU's Lies Blow Up In Their Face in forum [Market-Ticker]
Xnavnuke
Posts: 101
Incept: 2009-05-07

Hampton Roads, VA
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AEP has a related article in the Telegraph.

Interesting comments following his article.
Soar07
Posts: 353
Incept: 2009-05-04
Green
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Link?

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Time to put the USA first! Stop Globalization, Illegal Immigration, Outsourcing. Buy American. Enforce the rule of law. Drop kick political correctness!
Throxxofvron
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-& Finland says NO to paying for the bailout of Irish Banks.

The charade is over.


http://www.zerohedge.com/article/finland....

Quote:
After Greek CDS went offerless, and is about to pass 1,000 bps following news of Austria's defection from the EU rescue fund over Greece's endless lies, now we get the next defector: Finland, who it appears is opposing an Irish rescue. This is not too odd, since Finland actually has a viable banking system whose viability does not depend on the generosity of Irish and European taxpayers. What this means, however, is that European unity is finally coming apart at the seams.

Sure enough, here is ever cheerful Goldman appartchik Erik Nielsen trying to spin this latest game theory collapse into good news:


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DIONYSUS: " Thou hast no knowledge of the life thou art leading; thy very existence is now a mystery to thee. " -from 'The Bacchantes' By Euripides “During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.” -George Orwell
Frat
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Incept: 2009-07-15
Silver
NKY
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Tick.... Tick.... Tick....

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We're ****ed. Where's Henry Bowman when you need him?
Alex
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Will this trigger a CDS event? I assume if they can't get the money we'll see a restructuring of their debt i.e. default.

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"The soft patch does not occur in year 2. This is a completely abnormal economic condition — all the more so in the context of the massive and ongoing fiscal and monetary stimulus."

—Rosenberg
Throxxofvron
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http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2010/11/1....

Quote:
Associated Press
Austrian FM: Bailout to Greece not certain
Associated Press, 11.16.10, 10:14 AM EST

VIENNA -- Austria is balking at paying its share of Greece's financial bailout.

Finance Minister Josef Proell says that the December tranche of Austria's contribution - 190 million euros ($258 million)_ will only be paid out if Greece can show that it has raised the amount of money it pledged to take in through taxes.

Proell told reporters Tuesday that at this stage that target does not appear to have been met. The Austria Press Agency quoted him as saying that he would "comment critically" on this issue at the upcoming EU finance ministers' meeting in Brussels.

If Austria balks, and other countries follow suit, the Greek bailout package could unravel.


-snip-


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DIONYSUS: " Thou hast no knowledge of the life thou art leading; thy very existence is now a mystery to thee. " -from 'The Bacchantes' By Euripides “During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.” -George Orwell
Sangell
Posts: 379
Incept: 2009-08-16

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Yeah, this is the fun one to watch though it won't be 'fun' when the volcano really erupts. It really does seem to be race between Central Banks to see which one can destroy their currency first. Trichet would do better to take fine art from state museums as collateral than the bonds of most of its member states. By the same token Bernanke would do better to take baseball cards and comic books from the public here if he wants to increase employment. Taking someguys baseball card collection would at least make the consumer more liquid.
Might even help the guy pay his mortgage.
Mschemeng
Posts: 180
Incept: 2010-10-03

Toronto ON
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yep...it has to be one of those rational nations that put stop to this…funny that it’s Austria, as Austrian School of Economic…

not fully positioned to downside yet, but keep adding daily, as I think there may be one more technical pop this month... no long positions (other than holding inverse ETFs long)
M.b._drapier
Posts: 9
Incept: 2010-10-23

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Steady on there. The Austrian government is saying that the payments are "not automatic". It may huff and puff and then pay up after putting on a show for the voters. Or it may pull out while the remaining countries continue to bear up the load.
Quillbill
Posts: 1469
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This is becoming a test of the very definition of sovereign.

Do you own up to the sins and take the pain as a Sovereign Nation (unlike the USA) and rebuild yourself or do you succumb to the mob and end up like the filthy lying Greek government is now.

Ireland will tell you in a little over an hour I guess. Interesting times for sure.

(Mel Gibson yelling "FREEDOM" from Braveheart in the background as I type)


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It is a new day....DO SOMETHING WITH IT!
Themortgagedude
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Why would any of them pay anything? First one to tell the rest of them to **** off is the winner. None of them need the others. The European Union was a stupid ****ing idea. Unless you are going to allow the citizens of any state to move and have citizenship of the other states - and have standardized pensions, etc across the board - this was not going to work. At this point it's just a circle jerk for the elite who still have a stake in this game to see who they can get to act as bagholder.

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I'm already visualizing you with duct tape over your mouth.
Sangell
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What the world needs now is Anthony Mozilo at the IMF. Someone who can write Liar Loans and option ARMS on a national scale. There is no other way.
Trades50
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Waiting for the whole con-game to unravel. A preview for the us.

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When the people fear the government, there is tyranny. When the government fears the people, there is liberty. - Thomas Jefferson
Spodeejr
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Rockwall, Tx
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While we are on the topic of lies, here is what Bill Dudley said on CNBC this morning (saw this on BI).

"We can have an enlarged balance sheet and not have a long-term inflation problem. This is because we can pay interest on excess reserves, which can moderate credit demand. We did not have this tool before 2008. So if you're reading the old textbooks about money and banking, you would be very concerned."

Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/new-york-....
Genesis
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Dudly can suck my hairy ballsack and I'll **** on his eyes while he's doing it.

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What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Popothebright
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How hard would it be for Greece to show some more cooked books to Austria? Isn't that what Greece has essentially been doing all along?

Moving a bit of money from one hand to the other just long enough to put on a good show?

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Andyc
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Possibly The Ben Bernank could loan Greece a few hundred billion.

:)


This is article pretty much sums up the Greece situation, its an entertaining read as well not the typically dry economics article.

http://www.vanityfair.com/business/featu....

I think this is a head fake to stop the dollar decline and cool off the commodities markets, they have to coddle and bail their own versions of The Goldman Sachs lest the whole system unravel.

Reason: add comment
Ludanjack
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Quote:
Dudly can suck my hairy ballsack and I'll **** on his eyes while he's doing it.


love you man
Bagbalm
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Indeed Pop' who can say they aren't still lying it's been such a habit? Shame on them, they are supposed to **** on the little people, not their peers.
This will be big enough for the ripples to reach our beaches.

Reason: Had to add a question mark even though retorical
Quillbill
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"How hard would it be for Greece to show some more cooked books to Austria?"

Fool me once...." "

Fool me twice.......



smiley

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It is a new day....DO SOMETHING WITH IT!
Andyc
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Themortgagedude

"I've got Bernanke figured out. He'll just keep printing dollars until the ink and paper get so expensive he can't afford it with his newly printed dollars. Me 11/3/2010"

Obviously you do not understand MMT because if you did you would know that The Ben Bernank will in fact create so many electronic zeros that he will run out of hard disk space to store them on.

: )
Arkady
Posts: 133
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Protect ourselves, how Karl?

I am building shorts on the equity market and considering shorting Bonds.

Did you have anything else in mind?
Throxxofvron
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Dudly wrote..
"We can have an enlarged balance sheet and not have a long-term inflation problem. This is because we can pay interest on excess reserves, which can moderate credit demand.


That enlarged Balance Sheet contains $1.2T in MBS.

The FED did not construct a specific REMIC/Trust for the purposes of mitigating/avoiding the Federal Tax Liabilities on the OUTRIGHT PURCHASE of those Assets.

Having implemented NO REMIC/Trust specifically for the MBS it would appear that the FED owes Billions in Federal Taxes on those MBS.

IS the FED Paying the Taxes that are owed on the income -which is claimed to be in the $200B to $300B range as that is what is being 'reinvested' in the ongoing 'QE Lite Scheme'- OR NOT???


IF NOT: WHY NOT?

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DIONYSUS: " Thou hast no knowledge of the life thou art leading; thy very existence is now a mystery to thee. " -from 'The Bacchantes' By Euripides “During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.” -George Orwell

T_wheeler
Posts: 14
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Frisco, TX
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This looks to be a race to see who can extend-and-pretend the longest: The USA, European Union, or China. Who will "blink" first or run out of runway first?

The major players in the system -- bankers and policymakers and government leaders/officials -- are going to do everything in their power to protect their power, investments and assets.

So the question in my mind is, who is invested in and has assets in the PIIGS? Who stands to lose if/when they collapse? Or, how will these players get out of the PIIGS before they collapse?

Anyone have answers to these questions? Unfortunately I'm just an average Joe without time to dig into these things in depth.

Thomas
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