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User Info Hypothesis: Hospitals ARE The Vector @RealDonaldTrump; entered at 2020-03-28 23:56:26
Tickerguy
Posts: 186806
Registered: 2007-06-26
Bannon can blow me.

For Guam, yep. Were I in charge I'd lock down the old and sick people and support them (deliveries of food, telemedicine, etc -- and have the government pay for it as it's going to be 1/100th of the price of a ride on a vent that will fail 90% of the time) and explain very clearly that there simply isn't the equipment and material to treat them all and, even worse, if they get it bad the best available, IF it's available, won't save a lot of them.

I bet they'll go for it voluntarily. It'll go through there, it will kill a few young people but not many, and then it'll be over for Guam. The problem for the older folks is that once they reopen the airports given the tourism imported cases are going to remain a problem for them. While herd immunity prevents widespread outbreaks it doesn't stop singular transmissions.

On the other hand I'm pretty convinced most of this transmission ISN'T vapor phase unless someone is actively sick or you have very close personal contact (e.g. sleeping in the same bed.) Big risk is fecal/oral and that's a monster because it's silent, it's surface based and it's a real bitch to get under control environmentally. Very good personal hygiene (WASH THE DAMN HANDS obsessively after contact with ANYTHING or ANYONE that might be contaminated) is the best mitigating factor but the level of obsession required for really good protection is really only achievable in a professional setting like a hospital -- it's impossible when you're out and about doing your daily thing.
2020-03-28 23:56:26