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User Info A Note On The Screamers; entered at 2020-03-16 22:56:25
Cwatson1982
Posts: 281
Registered: 2017-05-07
SK is kind of my bellwether. They tested extremely aggressively and so probably caught the largest percentage of cases early because of that AND their case numbers being relatively stable, IF their fatality numbers stay low there is a good chance there actually are a lot of low impact or asymptomatic cases out there. Another 2-3 weeks will tell the tale. So long as their cases numbers are not growing appreciably the skew of CFR to the lower end is avoided. If they start growing exponentially again the value of their death rate number becomes less useful.

In the WHO report, less than 1% that tested positive were asymptomatic in China. Not that I give much credence to either...but time will tell.
2020-03-16 22:56:25