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User Info If The Bond Bull Market Is Over....; entered at 2018-01-10 10:24:20
Posts: 10479
Registered: 2007-12-17 saint louis
Let me put my Tinfoil Hat on here. They have a guy in the White House who isn't a UniParty representative. And they have half of America that just hates him. Hates him! Honestly 5% of Americans would probably shoot him themselves for the good of the country if given the chance. They couldn't tell you in an intelligent way why they hate him that bad. But they do.

We have a bubble which is unsustainable in the bond market (and in every other market because it's all a search for yield of some sort). This gives them the perfect fall guy. Because someone sometime is going to have to take the fall for this. (Should have been Mr. Andrea Mitchell and/or Bernanke). So now the question is how do they orchestrate the rise in bond yield in a way that The Orange Menace takes the fall? I don't have that answer. The Tinfoil Hat is screwed on so tight my brain is having trouble providing all the answers.

Ok time for me to take the Tin Foil hat off and go back to work. This bubble has to burst sometime and I don't think it's far off. I've been saying for 7 or 8 years that they can't let the rates rise because that will kill the stock market and the housing market. But that they can't keep the rates down forever. I've always stated that when rates rise it would be sudden and catastrophic. I'll retract that theory somewhat now. I think that it will be a slow process over months. Maybe up to a couple years. Then it will reach a tipping point when the realization hits that we cannot have higher rates and the current levels of government services(I use that term even though I don't know if they provide any service). Then it will blow. Around the world.

We're all responsible for this. So if you want to see who caused it you might as well look in the mirror. Anyone that's been on this board for any amount of time can't say - "Well who could have ever seen this coming?"
2018-01-10 10:24:20