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User Info 2018 Forecast: Winter; entered at 2018-01-01 08:27:09
Posts: 188
Registered: 2013-02-13
@Mangymutt: My characterization of chicken pox as a "deadly scourge" was sarcasm, should have been more clear. My primary point is that it is too damned expensive.

Let's take a look at measles. According to the CDC, prior to vaccination measles was a rite of passage, much like chicken pox. CDC data says that their cost for the MMR (measles, mumps, rubella) is $20.59 per dose, and US private sector is $70.92. We divide each by 3 to estimate the cost of the measles vaccination (so 6.86 for CDC, 23.64 for private sector).

Doing the same math (CDC estimates pre-vaccine infections at 3.5 - 4 million in the US, with about 500 deaths). Assuming two doses, we come up with about $110,000 per life saved for the CDC and $380,000 for the private sector. Compared to $6.5 million for the chickenpox, this is vastly more cost effective.

I should note that cost per life saved is not quite a perfect metric. It works better for chickenpox, because serious complications are rare. For measles, there is a small, but substantial risk, for swelling of the brain, which can be quite nasty. So you also have to adjust for the improved quality of life for those instances.

But the point I was trying to make is that the chickenpox vaccine is basically robbery.
2018-01-01 08:27:09