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|User Info||Handicapping The Norks; entered at 2017-08-11 15:00:20|
You want my "all options suck but this one sucks less" play? It's this:|
1. Put the bombers at Guam on alert and have them in the air on a rotating basis. Float whatever tanker assets we need to keep that the case over the following actions.
2. Pull non-essential personnel from bases in Seoul north out. Place those who remain on alert, and issue an evac order for Seoul.
3. IF the Norks shoot under that scenario then we've got our cause to paste them. They probably will shoot; it has been considered "doctrine" that any attempt to evac Seoul would trigger immediate hostilities by them. We can come up whatever cock-n-bull story we want on that up to and including intelligence claiming we know of an imminent attack from the North.
4. If they DON'T shoot then it gets tougher. Do we shoot ANYWAY?
The problem is that we've NEVER made ANY progress on stopping their nuclear progression thus far. If we take the position that it is flatly unacceptable if they obtain an ICBM with nuclear capability then we HAVE TO STOP THEM NOW. The only question is whether we can do so in a manner that is "acceptable" to the Chinese.
The ONLY other option is that we ALLOW them to have ICBMs.
That's the choice to be made folks.