Bureau Of Lies and Scams: +155k Employment
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets

From our favorite dissemblers:

Nonfarm payroll employment rose by 155,000 in December, and the unemployment rate was unchanged at 7.8 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment increased in health care, food services and drinking places, construction, and manufacturing.

Drinking places eh?  Makes perfect sense to me smiley

Internally the workweek was up a tenth and the average hourly wage up 7 cents, which is not all that awful. 

Now let's look at the household, unadjusted data, which is what I use for my tables.

And here we got big problems.

The employed count went from 143,549 (thousands) to 143,060, a decrease of 489,000 actual employed people.

At the same time the number of people "not in labor force" (those who gave up) went from 89,221 (thousands) to 89,445, an increase of 224,000.

The population of working-age people, however, went from 244,174 (thousands) to 244,350, an increase of 176,000.

So add the increase in the workforce to the decrease in employed people and you get 665,000 fewer people working, more than a half-million, adjusted for population change.

As a reminder when this chart is below the zero line we're losing on the number of people with jobs compared to those who are of working age.  That is, we're losing our tax base upon which the nation's ability to fund its government rests.

And all of this, if I'm right in how I'm reading it, should show up in the employment rate of the population, which I warned last month may have cycle-peaked and be headed back down.

I was: The employment rate ticked down three tenths to 58.5% (following last month's two tick decline), and that confirms what I suspected when I looked at the raw data up front:

This report sucked.

View with responses (registration required to post)
 

Main Navigation
Full-Text Search & Archives
Archive Access
Get Adobe Flash player





Blogtalk 3:30 CT Mondays
Items To Look At


Discuss The Capital Markets along with daily technical analysis with our Gold Donor program.

Where We Are, Where We're Heading (2013) - The annual 2013 Ticker

Links and Blogroll
Our policy on reciprocal links: Send us an email with your information and why you think your blog or news site would make a good addition - in most cases reciprocal link requests will be granted.
Seeking Alpha Certified
Legal Disclaimer

The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.

NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, BONDS OR FUTURES.

The author may have a position in any company or security mentioned herein. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Looking for "The Best of Market Ticker"? Check out
Ticker Classics.

Visit the forum to discuss this and other investing-related topics; see the FAQ on the forum for information about Gold Donor status including access to our technical analysis video server.

Market charts, when present, used with permission of TD Ameritrade/ThinkOrSwim Inc. Neither TD Ameritrade or ThinkOrSwim have reviewed, approved or disapproved any content herein.

Market Ticker content may be reproduced or excerpted online provided full attribution is given and the original article source is linked to. Please contact Karl Denninger for reprint permission in other media.

Submissions may be sent "over the transom" to The Editor at any time. To be considered for publication your submission must include full and correct contact information and be related to an economic or political matter of the day. All submissions become the property of The Market Ticker.

Leads on stories of current economic and political interest are always welcome. Our fax tip line is 850-897-9364; please include contact information with your transmission.