The simple reality is that neither side of the aisle has any association with the facts, and they know this. They are liars and frauds and I am hard-pressed to find just one who has spoken in a truthful manner about the budget, the problems facing our nation from a fiscal perspective, and what has to be done.
I am going to present facts, as I usually do, and utterly destroy Marco "I'm a fraud" Rubio, who presented the week's "Republican Address", otherwise known as a GOP Lie Machine.
"Americans are struggling to find or keep middle class jobs for two reasons: because our economy is not creating enough of these jobs and because too many of our people don't have the education or skills required for the jobs that are being created," says Rubio. "A limited government can and must help solve these challenges.
Wrong. Americans are struggling to find or keep middle-class jobs because the definition of "middle class" keeps moving upward in both required skill set and monetary reward. Since the distribution of human intelligence is more-or-less fixed, this inevitably means that more people get left behind as they are simply unable to perform at the higher demanded level of output.
This would not be a problem but for the second factor, which is that the amount of money required to be considered "middle class" keeps going up. You touch on that later on, and I'll get to it, but I want to note that none of the existing political parties, including the Third Parties, are talking about this or making it a campaign issue.
"We must get the national debt under control. Tax increases will not solve our $16 trillion debt. Only economic growth and a reform of entitlement programs will help control the debt.
Economic "growth" has not happened since the 1980s. You are a liar Marco, and since I assume you are intelligent this is not a mistake, it is a lie.
Since all money is debt-backed in our economic system it is trivially easy to determine the expansion of GDP over time removing out the expansion of debt. This one must do in order to obtain an accurate accounting of actual output.
So let's do that.
This is the graph of all forms of debt in the United States from 1980 to today. It is, of course, denominated in dollars. In 1980 GDP stood at $2.724 trillion. Today, it stands at $15.775 trillion, 579% of its 1980 value.
However, all forms of debt in the Z1 stood at $4.398 trillion in 1980, at the same time GDP stood at $2.724 trillion. That is, monetarily one unit of GDP was represented by 1.61 units of currency and credit.
In currency-invariant terms, therefore, our GDP was 0.619. We'll make this convenient and multiply these invariant terms by 1,000; ergo, our currency-invariant GDP was 619.
So what is it now?
Today, we have a GDP of $15.775 (from the latest preliminary estimate) but debt of $55.358 trillion. That is, monetarily one unit of GDP is now represented by 3.55 units of currency and credit.
In currency-invariant terms, therefore, our GDP is 0.281. For convenience we again multiply by 1,000; ergo, our currency-invariant GDP is at present 281.
619 is about 220% of 281, or, if you prefer, GDP in invariant terms is 45.4% of what it was in 1980!
There hasn't been any; what there has been instead is a scam promulgated by both political parties and you, Macro "I am a fraud" Rubio are one of the chief promoters. John Boehner is another, as are Mitch McConnell and Paul Ryan.
You can't evade the arithmetic sonny. It just is.
"We must reform our complicated, uncertain, job-killing tax code, by getting rid of unjustified loopholes. But our goal should be to generate new revenue by creating new taxpayers, not new taxes.
The first thing to do is to put an absolute and immediate stop to the creation of unbacked credit and thus prevent, on an immediate and permanent basis, the fraudulent misrepresentation of alleged "GDP growth" that has not actually happened by politicians -- including yourself.
One of the first things you learn in algebra class is that in order to solve an equation you must isolate the variable you are attempting to solve for on one side of the equality. If you do not then you are not producing a solution to an equation, you are (at best) expressing a ratio.
The middle class is being destroyed because government is both directly stealing from the people via deficit spending and allowing banksters to steal from the people via the unbacked emission of credit, destroying the purchasing power of their earnings and the economic output of the nation as a whole.
We can only address actual problems when we talk about them in honest terms.
"We must follow a balanced approach to regulations. Regulations are needed, but they cost money to follow. The more expensive a regulation is, the less money a business has leftover to give raises or hire new people.
Some "regulation" is necessary. But you aren't proposing that. For example:
Those would make a good start for "regulations we should have." We can talk about the other ones that are necessary once we've implemented these three.
"We must not let American innovation in our energy industry go to waste. We have the potential for all kinds of new middle class jobs--from the fields and platforms where we drill, to the manufacturing plants that will return to the U.S. with the lower cost of energy. But we need government to encourage these job opportunities, not continue to block them.
Oh really? So let me see if I get this right -- extracting a resource faster is going to make more of it magically appear? Yes, I understand that we have a lot of oil and natural gas in the ground. I further understand that fracking and similar games make formerly-uneconomic parts of our resource extractable at economically-attractive prices. But this does not change the total amount of resource that exists, it merely changes the rate at which it can be extracted and consumed. By definition increasing the extraction rate also increases the depletion rate -- but that's not being discussed, is it?
"A return to sound monetary policy would also help by making the future value of a dollar more predictable.
See above you scam-meister.
"And we must get the cost of health insurance under control. You should be able to get a health care plan that fits your needs and your budget, from any company in America that's willing to sell it to you, and with the same tax benefit if you buy it yourself or have an employer buy it for you."
Ah, I see. The answer is simply to allow people to buy insurance with pre-tax dollars?
Let's break it down.
Yes, defense spending has risen dramatically (by nearly a double in terms of GDP!) since 2000. But it fell by half as a percentage of GDP from the 1980s to 2000, so in terms of GDP it is not even back to where it was during Reagan's term in office. Yes, it's too high, and yes, we need to cut out our meddling in other nations affairs (anyone who thinks otherwise need only look at the results in Egypt, where arming radical Muslims has had an utterly-predictable result) but the budget problem does not lie there.
Nor does it lie in Social Security. Indeed, absent the Payroll Tax Cut, which was nothing more or less than an intentional destruction of Social Security's funding base (and one for which every member of Congress and the Administration should face trial and imprisonment in about ten years when an immediate and permanent 30% reduction in benefits is forced by the law -- oh, they didn't bother telling you that, right?) there was nothing serious going wrong there. In point of fact as a percentage of GDP that's mostly-flat. The biggest problem Social Security has in the above chart (see that big spike right around 2008?) is the outrageous growth in "disability" claims most of which are by people who can work but choose instead to suck on the SSDI entitlement, and our government encourages and permits this fraud to take place.
Welfare, on the other hand, is a serious and emergent problem. It has increased about 50% in terms of GDP in recent years, much of it in food stamps and unemployment handouts. Welfare programs must be cut by 50% to come back into historical norms.
But the real 900lb Gorilla is one specific line above -- Health Care.
And that is not about entitlements, really, at all. It is about government-granted monopolies that allow the health system to screw you each and every day. A minority of that winds up coming back into the federal budget in the form of entitlement spending, but what is done to the private sector is even worse.
This is an actual fiscal emergency as it represents a nearly 300% increase in constant-output terms over the last 30 years. (In nominal terms it's a 1,554% increase in spending!) And while this coming year is "projected" to be flat, that same projection was made in countless previous years, including when Medicare Part "D" was passed, and yet Medicare Part "D" produced only a small one-year reprieve in the acceleration in the year it went into effect.
Remember that much of modern medicine is technology driven, and that technology becomes cheaper every year. Yet health costs in constant-GDP terms has tripled in government spending over that same period.
This is directly due to the monopoly-style protections that government has granted the health industry, and if this is not addressed now nothing else will matter in terms of the budget at all.
Yet neither political party is saying one word about the data that is right under their, and your, nose.
Ps: Your homework, should you choose to do it, is to recompute the above endpoints with the adjustment for actual invariant GDP instead of "nominal" GDP "as-reported." Make sure you're sitting down first. This is where the enormity of the problem becomes instantly apparent; government as a percentage of actual economic output has more than doubled since 1980, and the inflation of credit has been used to cover it up. If we do not put a stop to this practice then the rest is utterly immaterial.
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