The Speech That Wins The Election
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2012-09-25 22:09
by Karl Denninger
in Editorial
Ignore this thread
The Speech That Wins The Election
 

The question is, will someone deliver this between now and November?

My fellow Americans;

Almost exactly four years ago the stock market began a sickening plunge that would shake the world.  Declining from just over DOW 11,000 to under 7,500 in two short months, only to fall another 1,000 points in the next three, this period marked an unprecedented time of government intervention that you were told was for all of our good, and the good of our nation.

You were lied to.

The intentional expansion of debt unbacked by anything was the cause of the market crash.  This intentional fraud perpetrated upon all of you went back to the Tech Crash in 2000, and goaded Americans into taking out loans that could not be repaid to cover up the malfeasance of those who had systematically looted Americans' retirement accounts and offshored their jobs during the 1990s.

Nobody makes bad loans on purpose under ordinary circumstances, because doing so guarantees a loss.  So these Wall Street and Banking swindlers did something very creative -- they sold that debt, which they knew was bad when it was originally issued to Americans all over the world to various pension funds, insurance companies and other investors.  They lied about the credit quality of the borrowers, they lied about what they had put into the securities and they skimmed off billions in fees and bonuses.  By doing so they shifted the loss onto others -- your pension, your state, your personal investment account.

But that wasn't the worst of it.  Having shifted all of the liability for these losses to you, these banksters and Wall Street swindlers then went even further.  They petitioned Congress and Treasury, having donated copious amounts of money to political campaigns for decades, to bail them out, arguing that there would be massive civil unrest and even that the government would collapse if they did not get their way.

This is why TARP was passed even though you, the people, told Congress by a 300:1 margin not to do so.

If this swindle had ended in TARP, it would have been bad enough.  But these greedy Wall Street executives and Banksters weren't done with fleecing you.  In fact, they were just getting started.

See, they still had trillions of dollars of worthless exotic and impossible-to-value financial instruments -- enough to sink their banks several times over.  So rather than lose their jobs, lose their companies and take their just medicine for what they had done, they conned Congress, Treasury and The White House into running a combined $5 trillion in deficits over the last four years.  This amounts to about 10% of the economy every year since 2008.

You have been told that this, too, was for your benefit.  That too is a lie.  By running these monstrous deficits the Federal Government has effectively raised taxes on everyone, across the board, in the amount of those deficits -- to the tune of 10% or more every year for the last four years.

If you're in the middle class you know it's been tough; gasoline, food and other necessities have gone up in price dramatically. Health care has become more expensive.  Your ability to buy the things that you need has been severely damaged and the job market has been trashed.  The reason this has happened is that the government's deficit spending is nothing other than a tax on your income and assets -- indeed, it is a tax on every transaction in the economy.

Ben Bernanke of The Fed has argued that his "Quantitative Easing" has helped the jobs market and will continue to.  This too is a lie; the entire and only purpose of this program is to allow the government to continue to run its monstrous deficits -- that is, The Fed is responsible for taxing you as an unelected private body.

The funds from this tax are not going into the economy.  They are going to fill the hole in the big banks' balance sheets.  These large financial firms, banks and Wall Street companies, went from having about 20% of the size of the economy in debt in 1980 to over 120% in 2007, an expansion in relationship to the size of the economy of six times.  From the start of the crash to today this has contracted to right near 90%, which is still more than four times where it was historically.

This credit peaked at 17.1 trillion in 2008.  Today it stands at 13.9 trillion, or $3.2 trillion less.  Mortgages, which are largely held by these financial institutions, declined by $1.061 trillion during this time.  Adding these together you get approximately $4.3 trillion.

The Federal Government, on the other hand, added $4.7 trillion in debt during the same time. 

To put this in plain English virtually all of the Federal Government's deficit spending did exactly nothing to benefit you; it all went to these large banks, Wall Street firms and other financial institutions. 

This is why the economy and labor market have not recovered; none of the deficit spending went to actually help you.  It instead went to bail out all the swindlers on Wall Street and in the big banks that caused the crash in the first place.

This is the big lie that nobody will discuss openly and honestly.  But arithmetic doesn't care about politics; it just is.  2 + 2 will always equal 4.  And it is long past the time when a political leader should be willing to stand, face the American public, and tell the truth.

The truth is that the government cannot spend more than it takes in via taxes.  This is not a matter of opinion, it is a matter of fact.  If the government attempts to do so via deficit spending then that deficit spending destroys the purchasing power of your money, whether saved or in the form of wages, and is exactly identical economically as if taxes had been raised.  Since we all agree that there are things government should do, taxation is inevitable. 

But when you are taxed it should happen where you can see it, and what you're told the money is spent to do should be what it is spent for.  You should not be ripped off twice -- first with dodgy deals and then again by being forced to bail out speculators who made bad bets.

So to the American people, I make you these promises.  If you elect me I will jail those bankers and Wall Street hotshots who lied to you, to your pension funds and to others in industry.  I will stop deficit spending and put an end to the unbacked and fraudulent emission of credit.  I will submit to Congress and demand passage of a bill that puts teeth into The Fed mandate for stable prices, ending the shell game of inflation and back-door taxation, backing that mandate with criminal and severe civil penalties for non-performance.  I will protect depositors if we must should banks fail, but nobody else; lending people money is a hazardous enterprise, and the cost of that lending should reflect the risk.  If you loan someone money who can't pay it back, under my administration you will lose your capital.  If you swindle someone under my administration, no matter how you do it, you will be indicted, arrested, tried and if convicted imprisoned and your assets will be stripped to pay back those who you stole from.

Finally, I will stop banks from lending out money on an unbacked basis unless they actually have capital or an asset valued at the market behind each and every loan, without exception, because what they have been doing for the last 30 years is functionally identical to counterfeiting of the United States dollar.

The stock market is likely to disapprove of this and I am telling you that I will do all of this in advance, so that you, like everyone else, can sell your stocks if you'd like.  You should not buy stocks because The Fed and government will prop up prices, but rather because you believe in a company's business prospects.  Likewise, housing will likely fall dramatically in price, but you should buy a house to live in and raise your family, not as a form of speculation.  If you do not own a house now, you would obviously like to have lower prices rather than higher ones, and if you do, and bought it as a place to raise your family then this adjustment should not bother you.

There are many people who will decry this approach, but it is the right thing to do.  Nobody should be able to rob the public and get away with it.  Further, your purchasing power will be restored; those of you who have saved and been prudent in your lives will find that your personal financial situation will improve significantly, while those of you who are in debt up to your eyeballs will still be as broke, but for this we have a solution in our bankruptcy courts -- and you should use it rather than continue to suffer from creditors hounding you over bills you cannot afford to pay.

Next, I will dismantle the special monopoly-style protections that the health industry has lobbied for and accumulated.  DVD players went from $1,000 to $50 in just a few short years.  There is no reason that mature medical technologies like MRIs should not undergo the same sort of price decrease, and were there actual competition that's exactly what would happen.  These changes are too numerous to detail in one short speech, but you may rest assured that if there is a price protection law somewhere or restraint of trade is permitted, as of my inauguration day I will redress what I can by executive order and send to Congress and demand passage of bills to address the rest.

Finally, I will rationalize trade policy.  The idea that we should embrace firms and nations that effectively enslave their population and pay them a $2/day wage while poisoning their air, water and land as a means of being "more competitive" is outrageous.  As of my inauguration this will come to an end.  The WTO can either recognize these practices for what they are or we will withdraw from it.  America stands for fair competition and trade on a fair and even basis, not enslavement and poisoning the environment as a means of improving one's competitive posture.  This will serve to bring jobs home here to America, so that Americans are once again building the goods that Americans buy while earning an honest living doing so.

By restoring soundness to our capital markets and banking system we will make wealth accumulation via the formation of businesses and entrepreneurship the primary means by which people get ahead in America once again.  This path forward is much more accessible to the ordinary American than trying to make money trading in a stock market rigged by Wall Street computers.  In addition entrepreneurship and business formation always lift employment; jobs and the economy are what this race is and should be about.

The adjustment that will come from these policies in our economy will not be easy, but it is necessary.  We face a choice -- to allow our nation to be continually looted by a small cadre of bankers and Wall Street swindlers who promise Americans the moon and then repossess it from your hands, or to put a stop to these practices that have destroyed our competitiveness, grossly raised the price of housing, education and health care, led to rampant unemployment and now threaten to destroy the federal government's and states ability to remain in operation.

In just a few short weeks you shall have to choose between bankers and Americans.  Between Wall Street and Main Street.  Between employment and the promise of a welfare check that will, in just a few more years, bounce.  Between enslavement and freedom.

I know America will make the right choice.

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User Info The Speech That Wins The Election in forum [Market-Ticker]
Burke13
Posts: 32
Incept: 2010-02-22
Gold
Texas
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Bravo! You had me at "I will jail those bankers and Wall Street hotshots" :)
Fedwatcher
Posts: 136
Incept: 2009-04-07

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That is an excellent speech, too bad that that no one on the ballot for POTUS will give it. Maybe a congressman or senator can use it in 2014 after the crash to explain who did this to the Western World.
Fraudster
Posts: 4173
Incept: 2011-05-10
Silver
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Who is this candidate, how can I campaign for him, and where can I vote for him. Yes, yes I know this is a idealized hypothetical guys, I have a sense of humor. But seriously, that platform would get my vote, some donations and some canvassing and phone banking.

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"Let China sleep, for when she wakes, she will shake the world." - Napoleon Bonaparte

"Circulation ceases first at the outer edges [Europe and Japan]. It will take a while yet for the decay to reach the heart [America]." - Foundation & Empire by Isaac Asimov
Blurtman
Posts: 563
Incept: 2009-01-24


Banned
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Should end the speech with "Death to bankers!"

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I have a reading comprehension problem and the owner banned me for repeatedly displaying it after being warned.
Asimov
Posts: 103942
Incept: 2007-08-26
Gold
East Tennessee Eastern Time
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smiley smiley

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Dasman
Posts: 22
Incept: 2010-06-27

Lawrence, KS
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Hell f*****g yes, dammit!

Karl... do a YouTube video of this with a lead up... and get every outlet that has guested you in the last 2 years to blast it out.

Make it so Captain!!!!

smiley
Mezzmor
Posts: 1175
Incept: 2008-10-09
Green A True American Patriot!
Off the grid
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I dont agree with everything you write, but this is really A+ material here. Its just a shame that the candidate who would put this forth would be assassinated either literally or via character and their stance on "social issues".





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Once the "Progressive" and the "educated" have completely destroyed the country, the logical, the wise, and the experienced will rebuild it.
Duc888
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CT, the UNconstitution State
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Jail the bankers? They changed the laws now didn't they? And Oblabla said they did nothing illegal.

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...burp

Peterm99
Posts: 4984
Incept: 2009-03-21
Gold
SoCal
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IMO, you give the bankers and Wall Street swindlers too much and gov't too little "credit" for what has been going on.

The only thing I would change about this "speech" would be to emphasize much more strongly that politicians of all stripes and gov't (and quasi-gov't) employees (e.g., DOJ, SEC, Fed Res, etc., etc.) have been willing enablers and/or participants in all of the fraud.

Otherwise, a good and much-needed pulling-back of the curtain that people should (but won't) listen to.

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". . . the Constitution has died, the economy welters in irreversible decline, we have perpetual war, all power lies in the hands of the executive, the police are supreme, and a surveillance beyond Orwell’s imaginings falls into place." - Fred Reed
Poer
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Silver
'Eppur si muove!'
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You're getting my vote. KD

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"The degree to which a man substitutes the judgment of others for his own, failing to look at reality directly, is the degree to which his mental processes are alienated from reality." Nathaniel Branden in Ayn Rands 'Capitalism The Unknown Ideal'
Drkshapiro
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Southern CA
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Karl
Read this with my 14 year old. We agreed we'd vote for this guy. She suggested that not enough people make enough money to be savers. FYI. Suggested you might not want to "piss them off." Jail the bankers, we agree, and throw away the key.

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Honesty may be the best policy, but it’s important to remember that apparently, by elimination, dishonesty is the second-best policy. --G Carlin
Yaldor
Posts: 2687
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Karl,

Run Karl Run !

this is absolutely fantastic.

But the real people who control the nations banks will not vote for you.

They are real even if they don't have a US passport:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JX9k6gFX....

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For every crash the probability of someone showing that he predicted it is near 1 .

For every prediction of an imminent crash the probability of it being correct is almost zero
Lumpeninvestor
Posts: 2339
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Gold
98072, USSA
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This got circulated to me today:

(short version: we spend more on entitlements that we take in taxes; We are all going to need to feel the pain and fix this.)


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Distributing insolvency only destroys the last remaining islands of solvency in a bankrupt world. - Charles Hugh Smith 8/23/2012
Oldno7
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Gold
RECALL STATE USA
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Quote:
The question is, will someone deliver this between now and November?


NO

The YouTube video is a good idea and could be titled "The Speech That Should Be given but Won't Be"

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IT'S THE SPENDING STUPID The US must become less a government of men, and more a government of LAW.
When people lose everything and have nothing left to lose they lose it -Gerald Celente
Asimov
Posts: 103942
Incept: 2007-08-26
Gold
East Tennessee Eastern Time
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Karl: I agree - this would have more impact as a video.

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Djloche
Posts: 3275
Incept: 2008-07-07
Silver
In the Mountains
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What if we all recorded it? Maybe everyone take a line and then someone puts it all together with images behind

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"If we wish to be free, we must fight! I repeat it, sir, we must fight! An appeal to arms and to the God of Hosts is all that is left us! Gentlemen may cry, "Peace! Peace!" -- but there is no peace. The war is actually begun! Our brethren are already in the field! Why stand we here idle?"
Stinkydrunk
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Green
SE MI
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Fortysomething percent of the electorate would be too stupid to understand all the math and big words in your speech. They would look to their chosen pundits to decipher it for them, and thirtysomething would vote against you because their pundit dishonestly demonized it.

Ten-twenty percent of the electorate would vote against you because you didn't pander to them sufficiently.

Another ten-twenty percent would see your course of action as an imminent threat to their way of life.

I agree with the content of the speech, but no one giving that speech would ever be elected President.

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If the generally accepted meaning of the word marriage can be redefined, so can "keep and bear" or "freedom of speech" or anything else in the Constitution.

Ignoring: mpilar, landshark, agau, dbcooper
Peteb
Posts: 128
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THE speech that needs to be said by a candidate that has yet to exist.
Aquapura
Posts: 130
Incept: 2012-04-19

Land of 10,000 taxes
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Karl, you're speech is great for the ticker audience, for the massess I'm not so sure.

First, I didn't see anything in there about what you'd give the FSA. I know several people that are voting Obama because he made healthcare "free." He's also going to make "rich" people pay their fair share - whatever that means.

Second, I didn't hear you say anything about God. I know others that believe the downfall of this nation will be gay marriage and legal abortion.

Third, where was a mention of America's crusade against evil? There are other people I know that think we must keep fighting in the middle east lest we have another 9/11, i.e. those conflicts keep things over there. Heard at work the other day, "we need to elect Romney to keep us safe from terrorism."

These three type of people, whom I know personally, are all single issue voters and they don't waiver. Unfortunately without another massive dislocation in the markets I don't think enough people will care to change their votes based on a "jail the banksters" speech. Truly unfortunate, but that's my opinion of the American voter.
Iou
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The Twilight Zone
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The title of this should be "The Only Way to Save America".

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"When plunder becomes a way of life for a group of men living together in society, they create for themselves, in the course of time, a legal system that authorizes it and a moral code that glorifies it."- Frédéric Bastiat
Shanearthur
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Green
na
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Karl, correct me if I'm wrong.
This weekend I heard a broadcaster on WMAL say, "The Federal Reserve bought $1 trillion in Mortgage Backed Securities in QE1." I called in and told the call screener, "Wrong, The Federal Reserve is a conglomerate of private banks that already owned the toxic Mortgage Back Securities. They didn't buy $1 trillion in MGSs, they SOLD them - to the U.S. government, i.e., the people. Am I wrong here?
Wineaux
Posts: 533
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Green A True American Patriot!
pure Liquid pleasure
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Karl - Love it but you'd be shot dead onsite before making it to the 5th paragraph. No way in hell those with the power would allow anyone to explain the truth to the masses about what's under their bed covers.

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What wine goes with unemployment?
Debtpie
Posts: 534
Incept: 2009-12-17

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???

The truth is gonna win this? Now that's a good one! The person that gives that speech will end up with .25% of the vote.

You're promising an end to the (fantasy) world people have known their entire lives; and you expect them to jump for it?

It assumes people don't want to believe the welfare check will clear and Medicare will be there forever; that they care about and understand 300:1 leverage, and TARP and "Quantitative Easing"...WTF are those?...I don't care, I just want money for food and my cell phone bill!

That speech, in this reality, is sure political death. The speech that is going to win this election is the one that is most convincing that not only will the current system continue on, it will work even better in the future...more free stuff for everyone!

We can write "dream" speeches, we can argue valiantly as to why we would should not vote or vote "other" to make a statement and keep our conscious clear. But all of that is an intellectual exercise in futility.

Mittens, Obama, that's the choice. Swallow hard and pick one; then work to push them in the right direction...they can be pushed, most certainly...changing a politicians mind and the direction in which we head is just one "majority agree" poll away.

Like it or not, "that's the way it is, Wednesday, September 26th, 2012".

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A Leader, or an Opportunist? "A leader has the capacity of vision, the ability to see where things are headed before people in general see those things." Mitt Romney --- DebtPie's definition: a leader decides where "things" should head and "leads" us there.
Geschrei
Posts: 468
Incept: 2009-02-23
Gold
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Heard Gary Johnson on NPR this morning. He said (almost) all the right things: will propose a balanced budget for fiscal 2013, resulting in an immediate $1.5 trillion cut in spending; 43% cut in entitlements and defense; will abolish the IRS; etc.

If I didn't know him better (thanks to the Market Ticker), I'd consider voting for him.

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“The danger is not that a particular class is unfit to govern. Every class is unfit to govern.”

Lord Acton (1834 - 1902)
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