Consumer Credit April -- Hoh Hoh Hoh
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2012-06-07 15:39
by Karl Denninger
in Macro Factors
Ignore this thread
Consumer Credit April -- Hoh Hoh Hoh
 

From the headline:

Release Date*: June 7, 2012

  Consumer credit increased at an annual rate of 3 percent in April. Revolving credit decreased at an annual rate of 4-3/4 percent, while nonrevolving credit increased at an annual rate of 7 percent. 

No more credit cards?  Awww....

Let me guess where the non-revolving came from....

There's some bad news in this release though -- the Fed changed the data around and revised a lot of it.  It will take me a while to sort through the column changes and make sure nothing gets whacked.

Sorry about not presenting my usual charts, but..... it's more important to be right than be fast.  I'll get this release up as soon as I can validate it.

Discussion below (registration required to post)
 

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User Info Consumer Credit April -- Hoh Hoh Hoh in forum [Market-Ticker]
Mayorquimby
Posts: 13907
Incept: 2008-09-18
Green
The Archaic Past
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3% annualized? How much do people get on their savings accounts once again? After tax?

I thought so.

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Gold is theft.
Steinbeck
Posts: 115
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So they changed the numbers a bit??? My guess it is to make things appear better than they are -- but then again, I'm a bit jaded.
Trades50
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Silver
Land of Tax and Spend
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It would be nice to hear Max Kaiser announce your findings.

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Widgeon
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Lemme guess ... student loans.

Tesla
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Green A True American Patriot!
State of Disbelief
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oops ...

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/consumer-c....

Consumer Credit Misses, As Fed Magically Creates $1.5 Trillion In Net Worth Out Of Thin Air
Tyler Durden's picture
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 06/07/2012 16:25 -0400

Consumer Credit
Government Motors
St Louis Fed



That the just released consumer credit update for April missed expectations of a $11 billion increase is not much of a surprise. As noted earlier, the US consumer has once again resumed deleveraging: April merely saw this trend continue with revolving credit declining by $3.4 billion, offset by the now traditional increase in student and subprime government motors car loans, which increased by $10 billion. In other words, following a modest increase in revolving consumer credit in March, we have another downtick, and a YTD revolving credit number which is now negative. Obviously the government-funded student loan bubble still has a ways to go.

inline

No: all of this was expected. What was very surprising is that as noted in the earlier breakdown of the Z1, the entire consumer credit series was revised, with the cumulative impact resulting in a major divergence from the original data series. Why did the Fed feel compelled to revise consumer credit lower? Simple: as debt goes down, net worth goes up, assuming assets stay flat. Which in the Fed's bizarro world they did! Sure enough, if one compares the pre-revision Household Net Worth data (which can still be found at the St. Louis Fed but probably not for long) with that just released Z.1, one notices something quite, for lack of a better word, magical. Ignoring the March 31 datapoint which does not exist for the pre-revision data set, at December 31, household net worth magically grew from $58.5 trillion in the original data set to $60.0 trillion in the revised one!

inline

And that, ladies and gentlemen, is how you "create" $1.5 trillion in net worth in this wonderfully wacky fiat world, with the wave of a magic wand, or the push of a revision button.

We hope all of you feel $1.5 trillion wealthier as of this post.

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