Here It Comes In Europe (Threats)
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2012-05-22 09:43
by Karl Denninger
in International
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Here It Comes In Europe (Threats)
 

Someone needs to serve up a big fat plate of STFU before a war gets started over in Europe.... or perhaps that's the point of all the bluster and BS that's been flung around lately.

The latest insult comes here:

The Prime Minister insisted failure to provide clarity could prove disastrous   for the world economy, and told the Greek people that fresh elections must   decide once and for all whether the country stays in the eurozone.

The message came as his Cabinet colleague Ken Clarke said the European banking   system was already "in tatters".

Mr Clarke warned that Britain was "heavily exposed" to potential problems and   could be among the next targets for market speculation.

Why is this Greece's problem?

Mr Balls said Mr Cameron and other leaders had to persuade Germany to "pull   its weight".

"In the end... somebody has got to persuade Germany that this is a catastrophe   for Britain, Europe and the world and that Germany has got to change   course," he added.

"The problem is, the German people went into the eurozone 10 years ago on the   clear promise that they weren't going to bail out Italy and the central bank   wasn't going to play this role.

"Both things have got to change."

Pull its weight?

Promises made as a condition of entry into a contract are unenforceable?

Like hell.

Here's the truth:

  • It's none of the rest of the world's problem if and when your banks lend money to someone has no ability to pay.  The lender has more information than the borrower as the lender has history across many borrowers; you have only yourself.  Therefore, it's the lender's problem if he makes a foolish loan and he should lose his money.

  • This is especially true when the lender, and other lenders, actively conspire to mislead as to the borrower's debt load and ability to pay.  We know for a fact that this happened with hinky derivative deals that made deficits look smaller than they really were.  This is an active fraud and if the lenders claim they were deceived on purpose and had no part in it then they should sue the parties involved -- which are other bankers!

  • When, as a lender, you exploit a legal means to counterfeit, thereby lending money you don't actually have (this would be criminal fraud for anyone else!) and get caught it is both your problem and your government's, and nobody else's.

Germany should (1) force its banks to cut that crap out, backed by threats of felony prosecution aimed not only at the institution but its officers and directors, (2) allow them to die if they can't, (3) erect the middle finger straight up at Greece and Cameron.

Everyone must face the fact that you cannot spend more than you tax as a government over any material amount of time.  The alleged "growth at any cost" games are lies.  They're 30 years old but they're still lies.  They were lies in 1980 and they're lies now. 

There was not one quarter where this has actually worked as I have repeatedly shown:

These are mathematical facts.  That Cameron and Merkel have backed themselves into a corner doesn't change a thing -- these injuries are self-inflicted through bankrupt fiscal and monetary policy decisions that they have made.  Allowing your banks, which all exist only due to a license from your respective governments, to effectively counterfeit the national currency by issuing spendable credit money that acts exactly as does currency with zero capital behind it rather than demanding that one unit of capital be behind every unit of issued credit is a fraudulent enterprise that is trivially provable on a mathematical basis.  Over time allowing this fraud to continue must destroy the purchasing power of the people, and again this is mathematically provable.

Down the road Cameron and others are traveling lies war and privation. 

This lunacy must stop.

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User Info Here It Comes In Europe (Threats) in forum [Market-Ticker]
Patentleathershoes
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This is juvenile comment:
Quote:
Mr. Balls
. Unfortunate last name.

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"An unborn child's property rights are protected by law. His right to life is not." Ronald Reagan
Tickergroupie
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smiley
Preidt2
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liberial sickness is stupidiness

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Puppets Under Destruction
Themortgagedude
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You can make the argument that the banker is owed the money and government should make those payments. That the voters got what they had coming when they didn't insist upon sound fiscal policy from the elected officials. But then again you make a very good point that the banker more than anyone else should know there are no unicorns.

I think the money shot of this whole fiscal crisis comes from you with
Quote:
Everyone must face the fact that you cannot spend more than you tax as a government over any material amount of time.


Until we are willing to accept the fundamental math we're just*****ing into the wind.

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I'm already visualizing you with duct tape over your mouth.
Steelhead23
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Quote:
This lunacy must stop.

Which lunacy is that? The lunacy that had German banks buying (or is it speculating) Greek debt, hoping the ECB would print them out of trouble if necessary, or the lunacy of Greece, spending money it doesn't have and could never pay back, or the lunacy of those from the alternative universe that think Greece can pay them back, or is it the lunacy of Brits thinking they can tell Germany to further enable Greek deficit spending? The lunacy here is so thick, it is a tad hard to tell the lunatics from the merely foolish. I happen to agree with the PM - it is past time for Greece to leave the union, repudiate its debts, issue its own currency and devalue everything in order to survive.

The other day, I saw a bit that even tourism is down, folks just don't want to pay high Greek prices. You all know the answer don't you... if Greece wants tourists (and it desperately does) it is going to have to devalue everything, even labor. They'll figure it our, or starve.

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"Give me control of a nation's money and I care not who makes it's laws" —Mayer Amschel Bauer Rothschild Benjamin Bernanke
For-profit commercial banks are a menace and should be eradicated
Wineaux
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I’ll play devil’s advocate….

Where’s the debt crisis? The 10 year German bund is at 1.45%. The Germans can borrow money for next to nothing.

I bet they fold.

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What wine goes with unemployment?
Larsenebezzle
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http://www.cnbc.com/id/47513542


According to the FT, the ECB is secretly providing 100 billion euros to keep greek banks afloat. smiley

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I am heavily positioned in lead and lead delivery systems.

"Running's not a plan! Running's what you do, once a plan fails!" Earl Bassett
Cutemloose
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The austerity you suggest is political suicide.

It may be least worse choice, but political suicide so isn't going to happen.

This is all just posturing in a bigger plan.

Consider for a moment that the game may be to push Greece into failure because of leach**** attitude then seal the borders and film every little nitty-gritty bit of suffering that the people go thru because of their "mistaken vote".

That way you pull the electorate in every other country into line.

Of course you also gotta hope the electorate don't recall that little bit of people power that took place in Iceland- you remember ...with the flares around the parliment building? The control trick does not work in small democracies.

The blow up of Greece will not be about the political classes behaving economically logically- it will be about control of everyone else, that's political logic- it's a game called... shoot one, scare the rest.

A battle for hearts and minds, not maths.

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Disclosure: I am of the Austrian school, of Rothbardian persuasion. I believe in minimal government. Spent 5 years and possibly $1million to see if business can be run on this basis (leaderless). Good news for me is that it can, and profitably, bad news is that it only works with responsible people.
Avianphlu
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if austerity is political suicide, then let em die
Jal
Posts: 512
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Quote:
Here's the truth:

It's none of the rest of the world's problem if and when your banks lend money to someone has no ability to pay. The lender has more information than the borrower as the lender has history across many borrowers; you have only yourself. Therefore, it's the lender's problem if he makes a foolish loan and he should lose his money.

This is especially true when the lender, and other lenders, actively conspire to mislead as to the borrower's debt load and ability to pay. We know for a fact that this happened with hinky derivative deals that made deficits look smaller than they really were. This is an active fraud and if the lenders claim they were deceived on purpose and had no part in it then they should sue the parties involved -- which are other bankers!

When, as a lender, you exploit a legal means to counterfeit, thereby lending money you don't actually have (this would be criminal fraud for anyone else!) and get caught it is both your problem and your government's, and nobody else's.


Quote:
Over time allowing this fraud to continue must destroy the purchasing power of the people, and again this is mathematically provable.


It cannot be said enough times and in enough different ways.

However, those in control have never cared about "the purchasing power of the people" and never will.
Things will only change when it affect their own purchasing power. Or if they become part of the 99%.

Frat
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Ok Mr. Socialist cum-guzzler, allow me to translate:

"Our former Prime Minister Thatcher's words have been proven true; we've finally run out of other people's (our own taxpayers') money, so now we're outright DEMANDING that Germany let us fleece THEIR citizens too. Sooner or later, I'm sure we'll recover and since everyone deserves to have all of their 'needs' met, this shouldn't be an issue."

**** you *******s. Liberalism is a mental disease. There's NO ****ing money left! We've not only wasted it all, we've wasted several future generations' money as well. GIVE IT UP ALREADY you *******s!

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We're ****ed. Where's Henry Bowman when you need him?
Themortgagedude
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Hey Frat - Got Xanax?

or lead???

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I'm already visualizing you with duct tape over your mouth.

Ben
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"The austerity you suggest is political suicide."

Does not matter.

Either they Austere, or the market does it for them.

Former they chose, can get a non-Fascist leader.
Latter, events make the choosing, and it ends poorly.

At best, AT BEST, they can tell the bankers estouffer and they can pay their government workers, pensions and social benefits at lower levels instead of not at all.

It's either Debt or Us.

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"Why are you going to learn French?"
"Because I'm going to France," says Joe.
"I'm from the future. You should go to China."
Frat
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TMD - Xanax makes me pass the hell out - no thanks. ;-)


Lead? I had a bunch, with the appropriate delivery systems as well, until an unfortunate maritime accident destroyed my stockpile.


I'm all for legalizing most drugs at this point - just because we're already ****ed - might as well be high to ignore the pain.

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We're ****ed. Where's Henry Bowman when you need him?
Azusgm
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Gotta ask. Just how much sovereign paper must the banks hold to keep their regulators happy?

This is so circular that it is becoming a vortex.

From what I've read, the Greeks are relying on barter more and more. They have to. If they can't access credit and their income streams are cut, they become Euro-poor. They appear trapped without euros or a new currency. No fiat = real goods and services.

What a concept.
Blurtman
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David Cameron has no qualifications for the PM job, except having married into the right family which provided him with his one and only job. He is merely a more articulate George W. Bush empty suit defender of the aristocracy. I hope the general population in the UK dusts off the gallows, or perhaps borrows some guillotines from their neighbors across the pond.

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I have a reading comprehension problem and the owner banned me for repeatedly displaying it after being warned.
Flappingeagle
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Quote:
Ok Mr. Socialist cum-guzzler, allow me to translate:


Awesome opening line...


Quote:
**** you *******s. Liberalism is a mental disease. There's NO ****ing money left! We've not only wasted it all, we've wasted several future generations' money as well. GIVE IT UP ALREADY you *******s!


You know, if you take a differnet view of fiat money it is impossible to waste future money. The future generations just refuse to pay, when that happens the future claims go to zero and voila! nothing wasted.

Flap

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Here are my predictions for everyone to see:
S&P 500 at 320, DOW at 2200, Gold $300/oz, and Corn $2/bu.
"You can't build a house of cards on a shaking table." - Tony Johns
The January 2015 AMZN put at $130 (cost $4.25) will be a winner.
Gen_maximus57
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Germany will fold
Kochevnik
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HAHA

OK we have a bunch of people (Greece) who borrowed a lot of money they KNEW they were never going to be able to pay back to support a lifestyle they could not otherwise afford ...

And we have a bunch of bankers who lent the money out KNOWING that the loans were never going to be paid back and that the borrowers lied about everything under the sun when they took out the loans. And they made those loans because they were sure when they went under that the govt would prop them up and pay all those bad loans off for them.

Sounds like the USA housing bubble to me.

Fraud theft corruption in every aspect of every business around the world - what could go wrong ?


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There are decades where nothing happens - and there are weeks where decades happen.

-- Vladimir Ilyich Lenin

Bertdilbert
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When the banks control your government, it's your problem.

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Dear Euroland: Relax, Germany has a plan for your money!

Political Capital Defined: We are out of money but will tax our citizens for whatever it takes to "SAVE" the Euro.
Tm22721
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The truth has nothing to do with politics. Never has.

The truth will be enforced by Mother Nature. Bondzilla in this case.

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The country is terminally ill and IT JUST WANTS A PILL.

The only way up is down.
Peterm99
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Quote:
. . . we have a bunch of people (Greece) who borrowed . . .
And we have a bunch of banks who lent . . .
Fraud theft corruption in every aspect of every business around the world . . .
None of which would be a problem in a big picture sense were it not for gov'ts and gov't institutions backstopping and guaranteeing all of the players at various points in time.

The bottom line is that people and businesses will always try to maximize their ROI. It is the failure of gov't, via its "guarantees" of positive outcomes for all sides and its refusal to enforce laws against criminality by their benefactors, which transforms small problems which a normal marketplace would solve automatically (via bankruptcies, business failure and "true" interest rates, as appropriate) into a systemic problem which threatens economic/societal collapse on a national/continental/world scale.

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". . . the Constitution has died, the economy welters in irreversible decline, we have perpetual war, all power lies in the hands of the executive, the police are supreme, and a surveillance beyond Orwell’s imaginings falls into place." - Fred Reed
Donethat
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When the German banks control your government you have a problem. Ask Ireland, or Iceland who threw the foreigners out, I hope.
Tank
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And now governments who allowed the fraud are trying to force governments (Germany), who were wiser, to backstop them. We are soon going to need another planet to backstop ours.

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"A danger foreseen is half avoided." -Thomas Fuller (1608-1661)

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