JPM: It Gets Worse
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2012-05-21 08:17
by Karl Denninger
in Banking System
Ignore this thread
JPM: It Gets Worse
 

The sharks are circling and they smell blood in the water....

Irvin Goldman, who oversaw risks in the JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) unit that suffered more than $2 billion in trading losses, was fired by another Wall Street firm in 2007 for money-losing bets that prompted a regulatory sanction at the firm, Cantor Fitzgerald LP, three people with direct knowledge of the matter said.

Oh that's nice.  But what's better is that apparently, when Dimon made his "tempest in a teapot" comment, he hadn't even seen the positions in question!

It's no surprise that the head of the CIO unit has left; when you represent to your direct boss (the CEO) that you have something under control and he goes public with your representation, taking it as his own and that turns out to be BS, you are (and should be) cooked.

The bigger question as I have pointed out is what comprises the actual book, what was being protected, and what is the actual loss that's out here at the present time?  Despite the claim that the loss was "just" $2 billion reports have emerged placing it at between $3-5 billion -- which is considerably higher. 

What's the real number?

The answer right now is "who knows?" and that is a problem.

All of this might be thought of as "funny" by some people.  I might even agree if their CEO wasn't on the board of the NY Fed and the company wasn't responsible for playing financing games with government debt.

Discussion below (registration required to post)
 

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Jstanley01
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"Hey Dippy! Whatsa matta'? You look like you're feelin' a little woozy, my friend."

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You can't cheat an honest man. ~P.T. Barnum
Cobra2411
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Philly P.a.
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I think it's funny. Funny in a sickenly, disgustingly we're more screwed than ever kind of way...

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To err is human. To really **** things up takes government.
Crzymorse
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Geez, Dimon has to update the employee handbook to ban playing Russian Roulette with the company during coffee breaks.
Agau
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McLaughlin on Sunday made this the opening topic - Buchanan was right because the Too Big to Fail Banks cant be throwing dice in the markets with FDIC coin.
Azusgm
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I still want to know who are the counterparties to that big bet. Although I haven't been following very closely, the way I understand it this was a bet on an index. It allegedly includes European mortgages. So would that be an index of mortgages across Europe or European bank paper that contained mortgages and other debt including of the sovereign flavor? Could the index have been created as a hedge for the ECB on paper they held? Big money was involved. Could PIMCO be on the other side of the issue? Bill Gross is doing okay lately with his total return fund and total return ETF.

This looks ssooooo AIG and Abacus.
Ribbit
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JPM obviously knew the score with this guy Irvin Goldman when they employed him.

Smacks to me of the deliberate hiring of a 'patsy fall guy' to stop people looking further (once he's gone, all manner of other stuff can be loaded onto him too).

I had this happen to me once, when a Company took me on, that turned out to be sailing a little close to the wind, and they wanted a young, inexperienced patsy to take the fall if a contract went***** up on them (very cheap insurance, isn't it, and what hope does the patsy have of overcoming the blizzard of **** that'll be thrown at them if they start making noises?).

Well, I made sure the contract didn't go***** up on them (they made a lot more than they anticipated, because I got rid of some dead wood that was costing them a heck of a lot, amongst other things). Didn't get any thanks for it though, once the contract was completed, it was 'that way's the door'.

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If the State was a Nanny, it would have been fired for incompetence, unreliability, and having its hands in the till, a very long time ago now.

Ghopper
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If they say $2 billion the first day, the final number is a LOT bigger.
Stonedog
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From Zerohedge - http://www.zerohedge.com/news/jpm-halts-....

•DIMON SAYS JPM IS SUSPENDING SHARE REPURCHASES
•DIMON SAYS SUSPENDING REPURCHASE PROGRAM ISN'T RELATED TO LOSS
•DIMON SAYS SUSPENDING REPURCHASE PROGRAM ISN'T RELATED TO LOSS
•JPM'S DIMON SAYS THERE'S UNREALIZED $8B IN PROFIT FROM CIO
•JPM'S DIMON: DOESN'T SEE INVESTIGATION TO UNVEIL BIG SUPRISES
•DIMON SAYS LOSS IS AN ISOLATED EVENT
•DIMON SAYS FORTRESS BALANCE SHEET REMAINS

Yeah tell me that JPM doesn't have problems

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J0nx
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It's becoming more and more evident that Jamie Dimon is just a slick looking huckster with a smooth New York accented voice who really had/has no idea WTF is going on inside his company. He just interfaces with the politicians and other miscellaneous power players and regurgitates whatever he is told by his key lieutenants who have been playing him for a fool behind his back, or so it seems. Wall Street in its entirety and much of the DC political establishment needs to be removed, jailed and replaced. ASAP. I give us a year at most on this current course and probably a lot less.

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Nejla
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Up, up and away....

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) -- One thing seems clear about JPMorgan Chase's $2 billion loss. It's no longer $2 billion. It's likely much higher.

The number being bandied about now is closer to a range of $6 billion to $7 billion, according to several people working on trading desks that specialize in the derivatives JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) used to make its trades and from two sources with knowledge of the bank's positions.


http://money.cnn.com/2012/05/18/markets/....

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Tsherry
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>>The number being bandied about now is closer to a range of $6 billion to $7 billion, according to several people working on trading desks that specialize in the derivatives JPMorgan Chase (JPM, Fortune 500) used to make its trades and from two sources with knowledge of the bank's positions.>>

Which means 20 billion.

Tom S.
Jstanley01
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50 tops.

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You can't cheat an honest man. ~P.T. Barnum
Grf
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The loss is absolutely not more than $100 billion.

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Attilahooper
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Don't worry, we are absolutely solvent.

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Genesis
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DeSolvedit? smiley

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
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What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Widgeon
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Quote:
The loss is absolutely not more than $100 billion.


There's now an estimate of $100B loss that we can quote.
Bjonsson
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But the folks on CNBC insisted that there isn't anything nefarious going on here because the position was just a hedge. So if the hedge position loses billions, then shouldn't the underlying asset that was being hedged against be GAINING value and offsetting the loss?

Wait... this WAS a hedge, right??
Genesis
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Uh, yeah, sure it was....

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Mikek31
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Unreal, guys, unreal...

"Quick, let's hold another dog-and-pony show in Congress so we can get out ahead of this ****storm..."

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Intentional manipulation of markets is usually thought of as a crime, not a benefit, and should lead to indictments, not praise. -Karl
Uppity_peasant
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JP Morgan 'faces £4bn loss' from trading blunders in one of Square Mile's worst catastrophes

Quote:
Voldermort losses at JPMorgan 'have now doubled to $7billion'
Catastrophic trading blunder: JPMorgan could have lost £4.4bn

The new estimate of the cost of the catastrophic trading blunder announced two weeks ago threatens to make it one of the biggest financial disasters in City history...



Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-....

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Asimov
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If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Bjonsson
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Okay, I'm not sure if this is just speculative bluster or if there is something to this, I'd be interested to get all y'all's take on it. "Jim Willie CB" sometimes takes facts that I may agree with, but then he cranks up the dramatics a bit, which I sometimes question... but it's more the plausibility of his underlying premise that I am pondering.

He's saying that the JPM debacle is the result of a busted HUGE rate swap trade that JPM was using to manipulate US Treasury yields down close to zero, in order to protect their UST carry trade, and, in the larger scheme, keep the US banking cabal in business on the whole.

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article348....

He raises the possibility that the size of this trade might be larger than anything we could even imagine, and if unwound, would be the death knell of American banks, as well as the Fed itself.

Just bluster, or is there any indication that this truly was the underlying nature of the JPM whale trade?
Genesis
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Willie is full of **** 99% of the time and is trying to sell you gold.

He's likely in a particularly bad spot about now on those positions... they haven't been exactly doing so well of late;.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
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