CNBC Has An Intelligent Guest On!
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2012-03-07 17:01
by Karl Denninger
in Other Voices
Ignore this thread
CNBC Has An Intelligent Guest On!
 

I'm speechless.

This afternoon I looked over at my muted TV and saw Jim Grant's mug on CNBC, so I turned on the audio and heard....

http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000077329

Note that Jim talks about the Depression of 1920/21 about 6 minutes in -- a period I identify specifically in Leverage (look to the right to order a copy if you don't have one) because that particular Depression was an extremely sharp deflationary depression -- Bernanke's alleged "nightmare scenario."

So what did The Fed and government do? 

The government balanced the budget and The Fed raised rates!

What happened?

The excesses in the economy cleared, the Depression ended and within 12 months a full recovery had occurred including a return to full employment!

There are a few people who get it, and Jim Grant is one of them.

Discussion below (registration required to post)
 

Main Navigation
Full-Text Search & Archives
Archive Access
Get Adobe Flash player





Blogtalk 3:30 CT Mondays
Items To Look At


Discuss The Capital Markets along with daily technical analysis with our Gold Donor program.

Where We Are, Where We're Heading (2013) - The annual 2013 Ticker

Links and Blogroll
Our policy on reciprocal links: Send us an email with your information and why you think your blog or news site would make a good addition - in most cases reciprocal link requests will be granted.
Seeking Alpha Certified
Legal Disclaimer

The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.

NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, BONDS OR FUTURES.

The author may have a position in any company or security mentioned herein. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Looking for "The Best of Market Ticker"? Check out
Ticker Classics.

Visit the forum to discuss this and other investing-related topics; see the FAQ on the forum for information about Gold Donor status including access to our technical analysis video server.

Market charts, when present, used with permission of TD Ameritrade/ThinkOrSwim Inc. Neither TD Ameritrade or ThinkOrSwim have reviewed, approved or disapproved any content herein.

Market Ticker content may be reproduced or excerpted online provided full attribution is given and the original article source is linked to. Please contact Karl Denninger for reprint permission in other media.

Submissions may be sent "over the transom" to The Editor at any time. To be considered for publication your submission must include full and correct contact information and be related to an economic or political matter of the day. All submissions become the property of The Market Ticker.

Leads on stories of current economic and political interest are always welcome. Our fax tip line is 850-897-9364; please include contact information with your transmission.

 
Comments.......
User: Not logged on
Login Register Top Blog Top Blog Topics FAQ
User Info CNBC Has An Intelligent Guest On! in forum [Market-Ticker]
Imustbenutz
Posts: 283
Incept: 2010-11-04
Green
Absurdistan, USSA
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Although it is not a surprise, it still is a source of irritation that intelligent economists are not allowed to influence policy. Jim's commentary further illustrates that the Bilderberg Banksters are carrying out their own agenda according to their own game plan. (Their own plan is to OWN everyone and everything on the planet.)
Bertdilbert
Posts: 2655
Incept: 2008-12-22
Gold
CA
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Jim is one of the few that understands or admits to mispriced risk. This forces the Fed to have QE forever because if the market believed the Fed was going to pull out, the market would instantly crash. The mispriced risk ensures that all pension funds will be broke beyond what is currently apparent.

----------
Dear Euroland: Relax, Germany has a plan for your money!

Political Capital Defined: We are out of money but will tax our citizens for whatever it takes to "SAVE" the Euro.
Pika-steph
Posts: 54702
Incept: 2007-09-11
Gold A True American Patriot!
Live Free Or Die; US Army Est. 1775
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
He's always got those little red bow ties on.... smiley

Jim's da shizzle, even if he does put too much faith in gold.

----------
Stop the Looting; Start Prosecuting - http://www.FedUpUSA.org/
inline
"The only regulation that really works is failure."--Rick Santelli
Vitchilo
Posts: 4590
Incept: 2011-04-27

Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Bertdilbert :
Quote:
The mispriced risk ensures that all pension funds will be broke beyond what is currently apparent.

Yep. Either by inflation or crash.

The only way to win is to have assets...food, ammo, guns, real estate...

----------
"Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit upon his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin slitting throats." -- H.L. Mencken
Ghopper
Posts: 2306
Incept: 2011-06-11

Staten Island, NY
Online
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
The reason that doesn't happen is that those that own the Government would lose everything.
Rd
Posts: 470
Incept: 2008-02-27
Gold
Long Island, NY
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
To me it was just WOW - Maria and the other journalist just kept on agreeing with every point Jim made, how did this slip by the network honchos.

There was also a interview on Bloomberg radio today around 3:00 with a fund manager and he said the market is contrived, the reason the market is pushed up is to get confidence back in the consumer.

More and more truth and reality, just wait till this new bubble pops there will be nothing left except with what you physical have in your possession.

Themortgagedude
Posts: 8849
Incept: 2007-12-17
Green
saint louis
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
He's Ron Paul's choice to replace The Bernank. Isn't that reason enough to vote Ron Paul?

----------
I'm already visualizing you with duct tape over your mouth.
Steelhead23
Posts: 2041
Incept: 2008-09-09
Green
Portland OR
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
I submit that in American democracy, the goal of re-election trumps the mission (governing). Hence, when conditions demand the administration of painful medicine that is unpopular (raising rates/balancing budgets), the current crop of leaders lard out placebos - feel-good policies that are ultimately destructive (e.g. QE, stimulus/deficits). Jimmy Carter tried a little such medicine (increasing efficiency standards and lowering speed limits to reduce oil price impacts) and was promptly tarred as anti-American - and Volcker was damned near run out of town for raising rates to end stagflation in the late 70s (Reagan fired him). What this nation needs is politicians willing to be fired for doing the right thing. Among the current crop of hopefuls, only Ron Paul fits that bill. Bill Still might, but needs a record.

----------
"Give me control of a nation's money and I care not who makes it's laws" —Mayer Amschel Bauer Rothschild Benjamin Bernanke
For-profit commercial banks are a menace and should be eradicated
Ghopper
Posts: 2306
Incept: 2011-06-11

Staten Island, NY
Online
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
"To me it was just WOW - Maria and the other journalist just kept on agreeing with every point Jim made, how did this slip by the network honchos."


They have to know what he is going to say, so maybe is this a shot at looking like they were on it.
One reason that would happen is they know bad things are coming soon.
200toolate
Posts: 391
Incept: 2008-09-25

GA/AL line
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
he looks so nerdy there's no way in hell he's wrong.

and I meant that in a good way.


2TL

Reason: clarification
Traumaboyy
Posts: 201
Incept: 2011-05-20
Green
Northwest Florida
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
"CAPITALISM is an alternative to what we have now, and I highly recommend it!!"

This guy rocks!
Etz
Posts: 13889
Incept: 2007-06-26
Silver
LA
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
He stands no chance in Obanana Republic against the likes of corrupt mediocres such as Rubin, Summers, and Geithner, just to name a few.

----------
Legal chicanery and beneficent darkness are the banker's stoutest allies - F.Pecora.

Traumaboyy
Posts: 201
Incept: 2011-05-20
Green
Northwest Florida
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Unfortunately I cannot disagree Etz.
Mannfm11
Posts: 3537
Incept: 2009-02-28
Gold
DFW, Tx
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
I have been reading his quotes for 15 years or more. In fact, his newsletter is a must subscribe for those that can afford it. I looked it up and it is out of my ballpark. I did my best to hear what he was saying, as I was like Karl. Probably the one guy on CNBC the entire week worth hearing.

The reason they don't do what Grant says to do is the FSA would have to be cut off and most of these junk bonds would go down the toilet. The TBTF banks would blow up and bankers would have to act reasonably from now on.

The redhead brings up the velocity of money. There isn't any owned money to circulate, so the velocity is merely going to follow the supply inversely. The only thing that would speed it up would be the widespread use of credit to make purchases, by credit, I mean putting it on the card as a borrowing, not to be immediately paid back. Grant mentioned asset inflation. These idiots think stocks are going up because of PE's and not because the bankers are manipulating the values.

----------
The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.---John Kenneth Galbraith

Stuart
Posts: 28
Incept: 2011-12-15

Phoenix
Banned
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
There will never be enough "cash" to come close to the amount of "credit/debt" in the system. It is all fraudulent. Bernanke is trying replace the destruction of credit/debt in our deflationary environment by putting cash on balance sheets, eg. MBS purchases, zero value second lien mortgages, etc.

We are in the box of ZIRP where we cannot afford to let interest rates rise(blowing out the Deficit). But interest rates must rise if the economy ever got itself on solid footing and started to overheat. That is the contradiction which cannot ever work.

I still think that a one off debt jubilee with an issuance of a new sound currency is the only solution. It will be cried as unfair and rewarding bad behavior, but how is what we are doing better?
Jstanley01
Posts: 8176
Incept: 2008-07-30
Silver A True American Patriot!
San Antonio, Texas
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Grant is always worth listing to whenever he pops up. In this case he proves himself deft at exposing the humongous blindspot suffered by the Fed and the entire neoCON establishment...
Quote:
If [artificially holding interest rates low] does not yet have an effect on prices, it certainly has an effect on measured asset values. Interest rates are the traffic signals of a market economy. They tell people to invest or not invest; they are green, yellow, or ... amber. We're green, we're constantly green. We keep on prodding people to do something with money that otherwise they might not want to do. It's called, in the quarterlies, "mal investment."
With the vision from their tunnel focused on inflation numbers as the sole indicator of the possible mal effects of their manipulations, Benny Boy and crew are madly forcing good money into risk assets that are not going to perform. And just as soon as Mr. Market dopes that fact out, the whole house of cards will come tumbling down.

At which point Lucifer will present them with their only remaining choice: hyperinflate to the moon or let the balloon finally deflate. And either way, they die....

inline
"Choose, sucka's..."


----------
You can't cheat an honest man. ~P.T. Barnum

Ricka01
Posts: 1214
Incept: 2009-03-05
Gold A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
While I have no idea what James Grant writes in his newsletter, from what I've seen in his columns and tv appearances, this was by far the most confrontational I've ever seen him. Lots of awesome quotes in that video:


"It is market manipulation"

If this kind of thing were happening in a farmer's market, there would be "an understandable outcry from customers" The fact that this isn't happening shows either how stupid most Americans are, and/or, the pathetic level of self-esteem of the country.

"People who want to retire on their savings now need much more cash to do it"

"Statue of liberty play.."

"The Fed is a piker compared to the ECB"

"We keep hearing this propagandistic drum beat" from the Fed

And this part of the conversation should be saved for all posterity:
Grant: "Capitalism is an alternative to what we have now. I highly recommend it."
Maria: "We all do" as in, we all want capitalism.
Grant: "No we don't" as in, [verbal bitch slap], you stupid c*&^t, you've been talking otherwise on this network for ages.


A couple more:
"We should be issuing currency backed by a standard, and not on the whims and discretion of a bunch of mandarins who are sitting around Washington D.C."

"It is called Mal-investment"




Login Register Top Blog Top Blog Topics FAQ