Sprint Walks Away From MetroPCS
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2012-02-26 13:18
by Karl Denninger
in Company Specific
Ignore this thread
Sprint Walks Away From MetroPCS
 

The pundits will say this was bad.  I think it's good.

Sprint Nextel Corp. (S) abandoned plans to buy MetroPCS Communications Inc. (PCS), two people with knowledge of the matter said, walking away from a deal that might have helped the mobile-phone carrier vie with Verizon Wireless andAT&T Inc. (T)

The transaction would have valued MetroPCS at about $8 billion, said one of the people, who asked not to be identified because the discussions were private. It was rejected by Sprint’s board, this person said. The transaction included a 30 percent premium, CNBC reported yesterday.

Too much.

MetroPCS is a decent business, but it's centered around a handful of markets -- markets where Sprint already has presence and spectrum.  MetroPCS is spectrum-poor but customer-rich, which means Sprint was buying a customer base, not spectrum growth.

They were the first in the nation to actually get deployable LTE out there to the people, more out of necessity than anything else.  LTE is more spectrum-efficient, so the direction was obvious.

But this doesn't change the reality that Sprint has spectrum all over the place now, albeit disjointed spectrum.  Adding MetroPCS wouldn't have materially changed Sprint's profile in that regard. And MetroPCS is primarily a carrier that sells to "underserved" urban markets -- read, people without a lot of money who want a smartphone.

It's a decent business but it's not one that, in my view, justifies a significant premium over market valuations.  PCS was trading at the close of business at 14 times earnings and about 1x sales, but 1.4 times book -- for a company with an operating margin of 15% and a ROA of 5.4%.

It's also got a lot of debt on the books, about 1x revenue.  With a 15% operating margin that's approaching seven years of operating profits in debt, which IMHO is just too damn much.

You can look at Sprint and find some ugly numbers too -- but their debt is ~60% of revenue as opposed to 100%.  While PCS is making money where Sprint is currently not on a revenue basis PCS is more-highly levered than Sprint is!

If Sprint would have been buying big spectrum I would have said this deal might have made sense.  But they weren't, and as such it didn't.

IMHO the board was right to walk off -- it simply was too expensive, and frankly, I would have had trouble on an analytical basis justifying it even if there was no premium over the stock's market price.

Disclosure: The author has a speculative position in Sprint (S), but none in PCS.

Discussion below (registration required to post)
 

Main Navigation
Full-Text Search & Archives
Archive Access
Get Adobe Flash player





Blogtalk 3:30 CT Mondays
Items To Look At


Discuss The Capital Markets along with daily technical analysis with our Gold Donor program.

Where We Are, Where We're Heading (2013) - The annual 2013 Ticker

Links and Blogroll
Our policy on reciprocal links: Send us an email with your information and why you think your blog or news site would make a good addition - in most cases reciprocal link requests will be granted.
Seeking Alpha Certified
Legal Disclaimer

The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.

NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, BONDS OR FUTURES.

The author may have a position in any company or security mentioned herein. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Looking for "The Best of Market Ticker"? Check out
Ticker Classics.

Visit the forum to discuss this and other investing-related topics; see the FAQ on the forum for information about Gold Donor status including access to our technical analysis video server.

Market charts, when present, used with permission of TD Ameritrade/ThinkOrSwim Inc. Neither TD Ameritrade or ThinkOrSwim have reviewed, approved or disapproved any content herein.

Market Ticker content may be reproduced or excerpted online provided full attribution is given and the original article source is linked to. Please contact Karl Denninger for reprint permission in other media.

Submissions may be sent "over the transom" to The Editor at any time. To be considered for publication your submission must include full and correct contact information and be related to an economic or political matter of the day. All submissions become the property of The Market Ticker.

Leads on stories of current economic and political interest are always welcome. Our fax tip line is 850-897-9364; please include contact information with your transmission.

 
Comments.......
User: Not logged on
Login Register Top Blog Top Blog Topics FAQ
User Info Sprint Walks Away From MetroPCS in forum [Market-Ticker]
Sgtmilstar
Posts: 47
Incept: 2009-03-23

San Bernardino, CA
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Correct me if I am wrong, but isn't MetroPCS using Verizon's cell sites? Since both Verizon and Sprint use the CDMA technology, it would be an easy move for Sprint to switchover the customers. If this deal had gone thru, this would have allowed Verizon to free up its spectrum, while pushing off the MetroPCS customers to the Sprint cell sites. As I understand it now, Verizon is running out of spectrum for its branded customers.

Everyone I know who uses MetroPCS is paying less then I am for a so called corporate discounted plan. My guess is that I am getting hosed by Verizon to pay for the infrastructure, and MetroPCS users are getting a free ride!
Pietertvl
Posts: 3591
Incept: 2007-12-05

NFA
Online
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Metro's subs aren't using VZ's spectrum.
They probably aren't even using VZ's sites, since most carriers have offloaded that burden onto companies like American Tower, etc, who in turn lease out (often the same) space to multiple carriers.
But even if Metro did co-locate on a VZ site, that would usually mean that Metro would be renting space for their own transmitters operating on their own frequency bands, albeit on VZ's tower site.

----------
"All the perplexities, confusion and distresses in America arise not from defects in the constitution or confederation, nor from want of honor or virtue, as much from downright ignorance of the nature of coin, credit, and circulation." ~ John Adams

Otiswild
Posts: 5621
Incept: 2009-03-09
Green
Inside you, the force is!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
My guess is that I am getting hosed by Verizon to pay for the infrastructure


Being a VZW subscriber (or, indeed, being a contract customer with just about ANY US carrier) means, by definition, that you're getting hosed.
Mannfm11
Posts: 3545
Incept: 2009-02-28
Gold
DFW, Tx
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
You can get 4 metro lines here for $100 @ I think that includes net @ text. I think 2 is $70. That is a hell of a family plan. I have friends that use it and might myself. Could get 2 lines for what I am paying now. I think they started here in the DFW area.

----------
The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.---John Kenneth Galbraith
Login Register Top Blog Top Blog Topics FAQ