MF Global: Where Was The Oversight?
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2012-02-07 08:23
by Karl Denninger
in Editorial
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MF Global: Where Was The Oversight?
 

The truth is starting to dribble out....

After tracing 840 transactions of $327 billion in the company’s final days, Giddens is still analyzing where some of the $1.2 billion in missing customer money “ended up,” he said in the report. Corzine’s firm failed after credit-rating downgrades, a record quarterly loss and revelations about its $6.3 billion European debt trade unnerved investors. The missing money has sparked Congressional hearings and former customers have said it undermined confidence in the futures industry.

“For three months, our investigative team has worked to understand what happened during the final days of MF Global when cash and related securities movements were not always accurately and promptly recorded due to the chaotic situation and the complexity of the transactions,” Giddens said in a statement.

Yes, it's so chaotic that you're moving money around without recording where it went and where it came from?  That sounds like someone who's not balancing their checkbook eh?

The investigation to date has found that transactions regularly moved between accounts and that funds believed to be in excess of segregation requirements in the commodities segregated accounts were used to fund other daily activities of MF Global. In the past, such transfers were in amounts of less than $50 million, but as liquidity demands increased and could not be met from internal sources, much larger amounts were used, apparently with the assumption that funds would be restored by the end of the day. By Wednesday, October 26th, as the result of increasing demands for funds or collateral throughout MF Global, funds did not return as anticipated.

Ah, I see.  It's only $50 million that was "moved" (notice that the word "stole" wasn't used) during the day, replacing the end of the day.

This is sort of like me deciding to "move" your car when you're sleeping, and as long as I "replace" it by 6:00 AM when you need it to go to work, it's all ok, right?  If the cops stop me it's not really stealing because I was going to bring it back, right?

The point here is that it appears from this report that it was common practice for the firm to use customer funds on an intraday basis, essentially like kiting checks, with the presumption that they could make it all good by the close of business.  This leads to the obvious question as to whether this is going on in other firms without detection, as it is strongly implied that this was an absolutely routine thing for the company to do, and it also appears that either CME didn't catch it or worse they didn't care.

What's even worse is that as I've pointed out repeatedly since 2007 when I started writing The Ticker off-balance-sheet vehicles are utterly toxic as they hide risk and make it essentially impossible to accurately determine exactly what is going on at any given point in time.  The Trustee's filed report states:

The sovereign debt investments undertaken on a repo to maturity basis allowed some immediate gains to be booked, but these were purely paper profits generating negligible cash while the underlying transactions resulted in calls for substantial additional margin.

In other words the actual amount of the risk was hidden by not having it out in the open where people could see it, as the repo-to-maturity deals appeared to be "risk free" and off balance sheet but in fact were not risk free and ultimately led to the detonation of the firm.

The heightened risk and apparent loss of confidence drove customers to close their accounts and withdraw funds, resulting in even greater demands on a relatively limited amount of available cash.

Were the firm not "temporarily" stealing customer funds for operating capital then the loss of customer accounts and withdrawal of funds would have shrunk the firm's operating profit (since the customers would have left) but that should not have caused the company to fail.  More to the point if segregation is being maintained such a "flight" situation can't lead to the loss of customer money.

There is one interesting chart in the report, on the second-to-last page. Have a look:

This chart appears to imply that new positions were opened in the last days, as initial margin grossly increased, more than doubling between 10/24 and 10/31.  This is not explained in the narrative thus far, but it certainly appears to require some explanation, since initial margin, as the name implies, is posted when one initiates a position.

I may be mis-reading this chart (or some entries are mis-characterized) but if I'm not it looks like it is not the variation margin that blew the firm up (from changes in value) but rather it was initial margin that got them in trouble, and the obvious question that raises is "How?"

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Preidt2
Posts: 552
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AND WhY is corrzine still free ?

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Puppets Under Destruction
Crzymorse
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Maryland
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I think Corzine is going to come up in the general election. Obama needs to indict Corzine by the next election and proactively. We will see if he makes a strategic mistake, it happens. No high ground to attack Romney with Corzine around.

My guess is indict corzine, get relected, then pardon or dropped charges. Maybe a show trial, 2-4months in jail.
Mayorquimby
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I'd like to know how much of this is going on with the explicit consent of the FRBNY and other regulatory agencies as part of their fight to reflate the economy.

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They who wish to hurt you, work within the law.
- Morrissey

Gold is theft.
Jwm_in_sb
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Yeah Mayor, but whose economy are.they trying to reflate ? It certainly is not yours or mine.
Gillianx
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The increase in the initial margin could be from increased positions, but it could also be the result of its bank counterparties realizing that MF Global was becoming a worse credit. As such in order to continue to trade (and not have to close its positions and take the loss) MF Global had to post more collateral.
Genesis
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Wouldn't that show as something other than initial margin (e.g. maintenance margin increases, etc?)

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Ktrosper
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The question remains, was this a desperate act by a failing firm to hide their troubles from the rest of the world or has this become common practice throughout the industry?

My gut says they weren't the only ones playing this game.
smiley

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The unexamined life is not worth living.-Socrates
The only stable state is the one in which all men are equal before the law.-Aristotle
Liberty exists now in the spaces government has not yet chosen to occupy.-Doc Zero
I anticipate that 10 Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders will blow me this evening.-K.D
Gillianx
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No not necessarily. My understanding is that these trades were repos which are very short term. When the repos got rolled the counterparty may have threatened to not deal with MF any longer unless they posted greater intitial margin amounts. This could have been a result of the counterparty's view on the creditworthiness of MF and/or the volatility of the underlying (which was definitely increasing).
Gillianx
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Amounts are pretty staggering though - 4 days of margin calls in excess of $50 million. The counterparty banks definitely knew that MF was in trouble.

I think there could also be a legal difference between initial and variation margin in a bankruptcy filing. If this is the case the counterparty would have wanted MF to agree to greater initial margin amounts rather than the variation amount increasing and as such could have been re-setting the trade that way daily.

Reason: Add information.
Gillianx
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Also be interesting to know how many counterparties they were dealing with on this trade. The $5 million buffer margin makes me suspect it wasn't very many, possibly even only 1.
Oldsouth
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Where, pray tell, are the handcuffs?
Banditfist
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Why would short term repos have such a high variation in margin (huge daily moves)? Looks like something moved against them like Greek debt. They had to of taken a big position and it moved against them.

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"Are you sure you can't remember?"
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Genesis
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I'm just saying something smells here. The entire point of RTM trades is to take them off-sheet and as such they're duration matched against the funding flow. Thus there should be no roll risk either.

This may be a categorization thing and thus not be meaningful but....

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Resistance
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How is this any different than the classic wharehouse receipt example of fractional reserve banking?

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"Why must political experiments always be in the direction of more government? Why not give the free market a county or even a state or two, and see what it can accomplish?"Murray Rothbard - The Fallacy of the Public Sector
Frat
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To echo the comments above.... I equate the MF fiasco to the industry as Karl does Greece to Europe. Alone it's meaningful, but its overall impact minimal. However, it's not the FIRST in the line going down that's critical; the question IS this:

How many others are out there, and what happens if/when the NEXT one goes?

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We're ****ed. Where's Henry Bowman when you need him?
Genesis
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As I have repeatedly said, if there's another one you can forget about looking for a floor.

There won't be one.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Jwm_in_sb
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Well Frat, we'll likely find out going into and through next month as the Greek situation evolves to "...default or become a German colony". Next up will be Italy, Ireland, Portugal....
Ktrosper
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OldSouth wrote..
Where, pray tell, are the handcuffs?

smiley

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The unexamined life is not worth living.-Socrates
The only stable state is the one in which all men are equal before the law.-Aristotle
Liberty exists now in the spaces government has not yet chosen to occupy.-Doc Zero
I anticipate that 10 Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders will blow me this evening.-K.D
Preidt2
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IMPEACH omama for his lack and willful allowance of the continued CORRUPTION

IMPEACH HIM NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!

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Mannfm11
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I heard Corzine was raising money for Obama. The chances they don't really know what happened to the money is about the same as me being dead while I am typing this sentance. These guys could chain together 75 debit transactions to create a RICO suit. The investigation should have taken 45 minutes. It isn't like they moved it in 5 billion transactions of 32 cents each. (maybe they did and that is why they can't find it). There is a route between all bank transactions.

When are we going to throw the entire Fed board in jail? The Federal Reserve is running a criminal enterprise. Wonder why they don't want an audit? If they were running an honest operation, we would have known where this money was in a day or less. They have all of it on record. They are running a looting operation and they have this schoolboy acting Chairman who is crooked as a snake as a PR guy. I'm sure they all have asylum in some country they have bought off the government when this all blows. There is probably several other multi-billions they can't tell you what happened to it lying there for them.


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The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.---John Kenneth Galbraith
Mayorquimby
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Quote:
The Federal Reserve is running a criminal enterprise that perpetuates the creation of money which ends up in both their own pocket and everyone in gvmt's pocket and also allows those in power to be reelected by giving them perpetual deficit spending powers.


FIFY.

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They who wish to hurt you, work within the law.
- Morrissey

Gold is theft.
Joejohns
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So far it looks to me(could be revised) as more stunning incompetence from the best and brightest.

I don't think there was much going on here other than Corzine and some of his underlings being taken out back by JPM and friends,as these firms on a good day are nothing but glorified bookkeepers if they are performing their duty, which it seems they were not, if the transaction chains are beyond ****ty.


Etz
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As far as Obozo is concerned, Corzine already gave his "fair share".

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Legal chicanery and beneficent darkness are the banker's stoutest allies - F.Pecora.

Oxfordrick
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This is why real estate will get a bid.

Reason: splelign
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