Tickerguy's State Of The Union Address
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2012-01-24 09:25
by Karl Denninger
in Editorial
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Tickerguy's State Of The Union Address
 

My fellow Americans;

Four years ago, on this day in 2008, Bear Stearns stood on the edge of collapse.  We did not know this, of course, as other than their two hedge funds' failure their internal condition was hidden -- by the company and by the regulators who were charged with keeping our financial system safe.

Over the next six months we came close to losing America.

Today, we're not in much better shape.

We have failed to address the first, and only, reason we find ourselves mired in an economic situation where we cannot grow and we cannot prosper.  Where The Senate has failed to pass a budget for nearly three years.  Where The House has proved unable to put forward a set of spending and revenue bills that balance.

The reason for our economic malaise, for the near-collapse in our economy in 2008 and the inability to exit the job recession of the last four years is that those who you vote for are incapable of telling you the truth.

The truth of a nation's financial situation is no different than that of your household.  You cannot spend more than you earn in your household for a long period of time. 

We all have short-term challenges in life; a sudden illness, the loss of a job, a leaking roof.   The wise family socks away some percentage of their earnings -- their personal economic surplus -- to buffer itself from these ordinary and expected calamities.  The less-wise depends on the ability to pull out a credit card and charge that new refrigerator when the need arises.

It is a time-honored practice in America for politicians to make promises they cannot keep.  We promise to build a gleaming new school, brimming with high technology, but we did not put aside the tax money to construct it in advance.  We promise that you will have medical care in retirement, but we never funded that program.  We promise that you have a "lock box" in Social Security, but then we raid it to make the budget deficit look smaller.  And we all want to drive cars, but we don't want oil rigs off our shores, we don't want pipelines and refineries across our land, and we don't have either the money or the moral right to invade all those nations in the world that have the energy resources we need.

Our medical system has increased in cost at a compounded 8% rate for the last 30 years.  In 1980 the Federal Government spent $53 billion on all medical programs combined.  Last year it spent over $800 billion.  Politicians on both sides of the aisle have taken the  "gold-standard" position that nobody over the age of 50 will see their Medicare tampered with, as they know that you, the voter, will fire them if they tell you the truth. 

The truth is that Medicare cannot be fixed and neither can Medicaid, standing alone.  Instead we must repair the medical system itself.  EMTALA, which mandates that hospitals must treat everyone irrespective of the ability to pay, must be revisited and either modified or abolished.  The practices of cost-shifting, where what you pay for a medical procedure, drug or device is set based only on how you pay for it or where you live, all exempted from laws that make this conduct illegal in other lines of business, must end.  The provision of taxpayer-funded medical care to those who are in this nation illegally must be abolished.  These changes must take place now, not tomorrow and definitely not "somewhere down the road."  If they do not our medical costs will double in another six years, and we do not have the money to pay that cost.  The result of inaction today, as a matter of mathematical certainty, will be rationing of medical care and collapse of these programs.

The same rot that has infested our medical system must be excised from the rest of our Federal Budget.  The simple fact of the matter is that we are borrowing more than one third of every dollar the federal government spends.  This will double the national debt in less than a decade -- again.  We have added more than 50% to our federal debt in three years, and we cannot continue on this path.  Eventually, foreign and domestic creditors who have lent the government that money will go on strike, dramatically raising the cost of financing.  When this occurs we will be forced to cut the size of government by more than 50% in an afternoon, instantly collapsing all of our federal social programs.

There are people on the right side of the aisle who say that we have to "grow the economy" to get out of the current fiscal mess.  They're lying.  This mantra has been repeated for 30 years, and yet not once has this actually produced economic growth that exceeds the growth in debt through the economy.  The economic bubble in Internet stocks in the 1990s and the housing bubble of the 2000s were both caused by outrageously-fraudulent acts -- first through making of knowingly-false statements about exponential growth of the Internet that could not possibly be true for more than a couple of years, and then again through the making of "fog-a-mirror" loans that were packaged up and sold as "solid AAA credits" through the financial system.  Both bubbles were driven by knowing lies.

The tax system at the corporate and personal level favors debt instead of equity, leverage over thrift and industry.  This must end.  The Fair Tax is one such way to do so; by zeroing the corporate tax and rendering all taxes on consumption it removes the preference for debt over equity, makes lobbying for special preferences impossible and makes the cost of government instantly visible and transparent to everyone in the nation.  The Internal Revenue Code should be burned to ash and replaced with The Fair Tax tomorrow morning.

The right also says that we need to return to "sound money."  But sound money means no more fiscal deficits -- period -- and no unbacked credit emission.  Yet none of the people on the right side of the aisle -- or the left -- are actually proposing to cut off that fraudulent emission of credit nor are they proposing a balanced budget.  Yet this is a necessary condition in order to have "sound money."

The left says that the rich must pay their "fair share."  But what is their "fair share"?  Nobody on their side of the aisle will tell you.  The fact is that the "rich" pay nearly all of the income taxes now and yet the federal government spends all of that money and then more than a third more -- which it doesn't have.  The lesson is simple -- no matter how much money we shovel into Washington it will spend every penny and then continue to spend more, even though Congress doesn't have it.  There can be no fiscal discipline nor a resolution to this problem until the Congress stops spending money that it has not been able to first tax from someone.

Government tax receipts are, in the main, entirely dependent on the employment participation rate.  That rate is back to where it was in the 1970s and has not budged despite the alleged "recovery" since early 2009.  The fact of the matter is that behind this problem is the offshoring of labor; we temporarily made possible the appearance of prosperity through excessive borrowing at all levels of the economy -- federal, state, local and personal.

But those days have now come to an end and we must deal with what our fiscal and employment situation is on-balance, not what we would like it to be.

Either our wage and environmental laws are just or they are not.  If they are not then they must be repealed.  If they are then they must be enforced.  Since we cannot police every nation in the world on either a practical or moral basis the only means of policing those laws beyond our borders are through the imposition of tariffs on all goods and services sold in the United States. This is both a lawful and Constitutional means of enforcing our labor and environmental standards.  Companies can either construct their goods and provide their services with labor and materials from the United States, employing Americans, or they can cover the social spending necessitated by exploiting our markets with slave labor and environmental destruction abroad through tariffs imposed on their activity.  The choice is theirs, but this mandate must be ours, without fear or favor. 

Companies such as Apple often claim that they cannot fill the jobs they need filled in America, and that our educational system is failing.  More than fifty years of federal involvement in the education of our children has proved to be an abject failure.  "No Child Left Behind" in fact has left all children behind.  In the 1800s and early 1900s we powered ahead with innovation unmatched anywhere in the world, culminating with putting men on the moon.  We did it all, building this nation literally from the ground up, without Title I.  The Education Department must be de-funded and abolished tomorrow morning and Title I must be stricken from the books along with the rest of federal involvement in education.  We have 50 state laboratories on purpose and our federalist system ensures that our population is free to both vote for the state educational system desired in an area and that the people can move to states that fulfill their own individual mandates in this regard.  At the same time federal involvement in post-secondary education is an abomination; we must both remove the non-dischargable status of student loan debt and in fact remove all federal subsidy and support of higher education.  30 years of interference has proved that all of the "benefit" accrues to university bloat rather than educational outcome with costs increasing at more than three times the rate of inflation.  In 1980 you could flip pizzas to put yourself through college; today that is impossible.  This is not due to market forces; rather, it is due to intentional government interference that must be withdrawn.

America was founded on the rule of law.  Yet while it is illegal for you or I to defraud someone and we will be arrested, tried and imprisoned if we do, over a half-million citizens in Jefferson County Alabama were ripped off and had their water and sewer bills quadrupled through a series of fraudulent schemes.  Several county officials and others involved in the scams were tried and imprisoned.  But the banksters and companies who ultimately funded those bribes, and who benefited financially from these schemes and scams, were neither indicted or forced to give back their ill-gotten gains, and the bills have remained at the quadrupled level, effectively stealing from the citizens each and every month.  Other big firms who have made illicit profits through money laundering for Mexican drug gangs or the off-label promotion of prescription drugs have been fined some portion of their "excess profit", which simply turns the breaking of the law into a business risk.  Again, if our laws are just then they must be enforced evenly against every entity, irrespective of their size or alleged "importance" to the nation.  The CEO and other corporate officers and board members must be held to account through personal liability when they either are aware of such violations of the law or willfully avert their eyes.  Sarbanes-Oxley allegedly addressed this failing in the white-collar world yet not one financial executive has been charged under this law.

America has the ability to be a great capitalist nation.  But today America is not a bastion of capitalism.  Many have claimed that we now have "crony capitalism" but that too is a misnomer.  Capitalism is the premise that one succeeds or fails through the wisdom of one's investment, predicated on capital formation (that is, the investment of economic surplus into various economic activities.)  While the vestiges of this system remain in America, what has replaced it is a feudalistic system of scams, frauds, allegedly "lent" funds that do not in fact exist and bribery of various forms, both legal and not.

Later this year America will go to the polls to select a President and all 435 members of The House, along with one third of The Senate.  A vote for those candidates who are currently in office is a vote to continue the policies of theft, fraud and scam.  Neither major political party has shown any interest in reform or putting a stop to the scams, nor has either been willing to tell the truth.  It is often said that nobody other than a Democrat or Republican can win a major political office, yet this is simply untrue.  I have never in my life voted in an election in which only two names were on the ballot for President, and any of those on the ballot is capable of winning.

That which we vote for and demand we cannot complain about.  That which we refuse to admit to yet which is nonetheless true remains our responsibility.  With the cliff of fiscal insolvency and a forced and disorderly contraction in the size of the Federal Government by more than half now in view before us, we have the choice to either change course or drive straight toward certain government and economic ruin.

The responsibility for our political and economic future is in fact individually ours.  We can either focus on the political minutia such as abortion and gay marriage, or we can demand and vote only for candidates that will stop the deficit spending, put a final and complete end to the offshoring of our labor through the exploitation of the environment and slavery in foreign nations, and imprison the fraudsters in our financial system without regard to who they are, restoring the rule of law.

The choice is yours America, and so are the consequences.

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User Info Tickerguy's State Of The Union Address in forum [Market-Ticker]
Bigsapper
Posts: 2471
Incept: 2010-06-25
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Excellent Ticker. Thanks.
Steph4liberty
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It's like reading the cliffs notes version of Leverage...excellent summation!

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"Man will never be free until the last Banker is strangled with the entrails of the last Politician" - unknown

"This isn't a market anymore, it's a computer game." - Drench
Firefly76
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I really don't think that is how it will go tonight. It will be more along the lines of.

"......It it it it isn't my fault it was G G G George Bush. If you give me for more years I promise to use lube on the middle class this time but not the rich because we have to make cuts in spending."



Don't forget that annoying whistle our dear leader has when he talks ugh its like fingernails on a chalkboard to me.

Yeah I'm a hater
Mpilar
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Well said Karl

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- Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin to slit throats. H. L. Mencken
- These are the times that try men's souls. - T. Paine
Trades50
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Land of Tax and Spend
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Replace his speech with this one on his teleprompter.

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When the people fear the government, there is tyranny. When the government fears the people, there is liberty. - Thomas Jefferson
Mpilar
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Quote:
Replace his speech with this one on his teleprompter.

If I was in a position to do that...I would risk going to prison and do just that. I wish there was a way to hack into that system.

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- Every normal man must be tempted at times to spit on his hands, hoist the black flag, and begin to slit throats. H. L. Mencken
- These are the times that try men's souls. - T. Paine
Bidz08
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yeah this was a great ticker

Oldno7
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RECALL STATE USA
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Quote:
The responsibility for our political and economic future is in fact individually ours. We can either focus on the political minutia such as abortion and gay marriage, or we can demand and vote only for candidates that will stop the deficit spending, put a final and complete end to the offshoring of our labor through the exploitation of the environment and slavery in foreign nations, and imprison the fraudsters in our financial system without regard to who they are, restoring the rule of law.


Message right on! They always try to get everyone off target with abortion, gays, sex and religion. None of it matters and is none of anyone's business. Stop the excessive spending and balance the budget. You cannot spend more than you make. Time is up.

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IT'S THE SPENDING STUPID The US must become less a government of men, and more a government of LAW.
When people lose everything and have nothing left to lose they lose it -Gerald Celente
Bertdilbert
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While this should be the type of state of the union address we should get, instead it will be the typical pep rally. The actual State of the Union will be avoided at all cost. The address is written for moments of applause, not cold serious thought.

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Dear Euroland: Relax, Germany has a plan for your money!

Political Capital Defined: We are out of money but will tax our citizens for whatever it takes to "SAVE" the Euro.
Joejohns
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Ron Paul will get more votes than the policy outlined in that address.

I expect that about half way in the chamber would be empty.

Not going to fly.

At this point, the best that could happen is NOTHING from Washington.



Mikeh
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Nothing I can disagree with in this (excellent!) SOTU speech. A lot of truth, some of it very difficult to hear, and much of it never before said to the American people.

I am not so sure I will feel the same after seeing what my President has to say tonight.
Susanjbear
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(sigh) Karl, I wish you were president. Not that I really want to wish all the crap on you, but you would tell Americans there are no M&M-****ting unicorns or tooth fairies.

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Susan
Smacktle
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HERE HERE!

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The faults of the burglar are the qualities of the financier.
- George Bernard Shaw
Mac
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Excellent ticker, Karl. I wish I thought we still had a critical mass of people in the United States smart and courageous enough to force our corrupt, craven, criminal political class to do what is needed. Instead, the looters and thieves are loudly screaming "RACIST" while the connected quietly keep stealing everything they can before they head for the exits.

The United States Goverment, under the control of the left, has done everything it can do to destroy patriotism in this country. Who could admire a place that was stupid enough to elect a person like Clinton, much less Obama?

The left has sowed the wind. The whirlwind of repression they will reap will complete the destruction of the free country that allowed them to flourish. America will deserve every bit of the turmoil and bloodshed that will occur because we could have prevented this had we not become so corrupt and lazy. I hope the survivors remember that it did not have to be this way; the majority chose it and the rest of us were faced with exile or acquiescence.
Frankschoenburg
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If the general election is between a donkey jackass & an elephant jackass, do I write in Karl Denninger, Genesis, or Tickerguy? smiley
Donethat
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The Romney tax records should open a few eyes. Hope they see through to the bi-party Ponzi.
Rickl
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Mac wrote..
the majority chose it and the rest of us were faced with exile or acquiescence.

That's the problem right there. Democracy is not and never has been a stable form of government. It will always degenerate into class envy and mob rule. The Founders were perfectly aware of this, which is why they created a republic, "if you can keep it". We haven't kept it. Today we have a nearly pure democracy, and the results are utterly predictable.

Any society which allows the people riding in the wagon the same voting rights as the people pulling the wagon is doomed. It is that simple, and there is no way around it.

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Those of us who do remember history are condemned to repeat it anyway because those who don't are in the majority.
Mikek31
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Thanks Karl for the REAL State of the Union. Glad my internet's working and I caught this. I'd say this post and your recent one on China's effective slave labor conditions are instant classics.

To America: here's a guy (Karl) that's doing the best he can to help folks out. If you're reading this, what are You going to do? Learning is half the battle; ya better DO something about it, no matter how "small" you think your contribution is. Voting for some half-ass corporate shill ain't gonna cut it, though.

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Intentional manipulation of markets is usually thought of as a crime, not a benefit, and should lead to indictments, not praise. -Karl
Themortgagedude
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Someone go check on Karl. It's 10:10 central and no tickers???

Did he shoot himself last nite halfway thru the SOTU address?

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I'm already visualizing you with duct tape over your mouth.
Wis/min
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Didn't everyone?

Mercy suicides for sure.
Genesis
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smiley

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Jstanley01
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Tickerguy wrote..
Many have claimed that we now have "crony capitalism" but that too is a misnomer. Capitalism is the premise that one succeeds or fails through the wisdom of one's investment, predicated on capital formation (that is, the investment of economic surplus into various economic activities.)
But when the decisions of how to spend 40 cents of every dollar of GDP are made by some species of government, national, state, or local; and when much of that money is spent for goods and services purchased from private firms; for whom a "wise investment," perforce, is to deploy their private capital to produce whatever the politicos want, based on political forces, not market forces -- bridges to nowhere and mass transit that no one will ride and what-not -- what do you call that?

I call it crony capitalism, as opposed to free-market capitalism. A free market, that is, in which private firms have to compete for private customers who are making decisions about their own resources based on their own self-interest. NOT a controlled market in which private firms seek to become cronies to public customers who are making decisions about other people's resources based on their ability to extract taxes from them at the barrel of a gun.

And the above doesn't even begin to account for firms such as the banksters', who are able, by becoming cronies to the politicos, to tilt the rules of the game they play by in the private sector in their favor, at the expense of their competitors and customers and the economy as a whole.

Nah. IMHCO it's a big mistake to throw "crony capitalism" out of the lexicon.

inlineinline

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/tota....

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You can't cheat an honest man. ~P.T. Barnum
Genesis
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I call it Fascism, because it is.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Tesla
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Js, I'd throw it out because it conveniently perverts the true meaning of the concept, capitalism. Funny, you don't ever hear the term "crony marxism", or "crony socialism", right ?

I'd toss out/ban the phrase "crony" capitalism because the word that already describes your post is "corporatism" or "fascism". Ask yourself why you won't use THOSE words, instead...

The control of the meaning of words is control over your thoughts. Don't give it away so easily.

Edit: ha, Karl, great minds...

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"Even a dog knows the difference between being stumbled over and being kicked." -Justice Oliver Wendell Holmes

"Neither the wisest Constitution nor the wisest laws will secure the liberty and happiness of a people whose manners are universally corrupt." -Samuel Adams

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