Pajamas Media: Entitled To Its Opinion, Not Its Own Facts
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2011-10-18 01:03
by Karl Denninger
in Editorial
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Pajamas Media: Entitled To Its Opinion, Not Its Own Facts
 

Oh my.... it seems that Tom over at Pajamas Media doesn't like me very much.

To start...

What I wrote is my interpretation of what happened in that room, based on what CNBC, the New York Times, to a lesser extent the Associated Press (which watered it down to, “Paulson basically told the bank CEOs that they had to accept the government stock purchases for the good of the U.S. economy”), and precious few others reported. The Times even described Godfather Paulson’s “proposal” as “an offer the banks could not refuse.” My interpretation based on what is known sure as hell isn’t “utter falsehood.”

Ok, so if you had that threat made to you, would you look like this coming out of the room?

Sure looks like they were threatened to me!  All chuckles and smiles is perfectly congruent with being threatened by the Treasury Secretary, right?  NOT!

Please remember that I reported on this at the time and in fact won a Reed Irvine Award for my coverage of the events that unfolded during those months!

Indeed, this is what I wrote at the time of the event:

Do they look upset with the terms of the deal they were "forced" to take?  Or do they look like they just screwed you out of $250 billion dollars and are laughing all the way back to Wall Street?

You have given up your right to object America, because you are not objecting now.  You are not in the streets.  You are not in DC.  You are not raising hell with your elected representatives and the un-elected, appointed smiling faces who just looted you once again, this time to the tune of a quarter of a trillion dollars.

Now sure, the media "spin" was exactly what you stated, but unfortunately that photo was published with one of the stories.  Gee, the press never lies does it, such as, for example, the claim by the Times that OWS has issued a "list of demands" (including one for a $20/hour wage irrespective of whether you work or not) that had been disavowed as never taken up or passed by the OWS crowd several day previous!  How do I know the Times lied?  I'm on the CC list for the OWS folks and this was discussed a number of days ago by them - that was one person's opinion and was not taken up, agreed to or "passed" (yes, they vote down there) by OWS.

You now admit that your writing was your interpretation.  But that's not how it was originally presented.  You presented it as fact, not interpretation made three years later when others were reporting on it at the time of the event.

In point of fact you went further than simply to state your opinion (that Bush "took over" the banking system by force) as fact: YOU USED QUOTATION MARKS!

Quotation marks are a literary device that denotes a factual quotation - someone's actual speech.  Perhaps in the world of new media people like to play fast and loose with the English language, but as I have often observed words mean things.  A quote is a quote is a quote.  Now you claim this was an interpretation which is an admission that the original was not a quote.

My interpretation based on what is known sure as hell isn’t “utter falsehood.”

Your presentation of a quotation that was not in fact a quotation is an "utter falsehood", unless of course you have an actual, attributable source for those exact words -- which you admit you don't as you "interpreted" them based on other press reports (that are reasonably rebutted and thus subject to question by the photographic evidence.)  Neither you or I was in that room but I've never seen someone get threatened in the manner you portrayed and yuck it up minutes later while walking out of the building.

Again, your "quote" that was not a quote:

“You really have a nice bank there. But if you walk out without signing this document, right here, right now, we will bring all of the regulatory and law-enforcement powers of the United States government to bear on your institution. Your depositors and shareholders will suffer immensely. Your bank won’t survive. It would really be a shame if that were to happen. But we promise you, it will.”

Words have meanings.  Quotation marks around a set of words identify those words as spoken by a person.  You've admitted you interpreted those words -- that is, you invented them predicated on what you think happened in that room and based on various other sources.

The fact of the matter is that the banks were not "screwed" by the government - the American people were in fact looted by the government and the money was given to the banks.  Or if you prefer in a shorter and more-direct form of language, they robbed you using the government, the government did not rob them.  Oh yes, Fascism was imposed that day, but not in the way that you interpreted it.  "Free market capitalism" in the form of those banks didn't exist at that moment in time - they were bankrupt.  Done.  Kaput.  They owed far more than they had in credit instruments and blown up loans.  The bad news is that the underlying rot never got fixed - Kanjorski basically extorted FASB months later in 2009 and as a consequence the banks still have a bunch of crap on their balance sheets and who knows what any of its worth?

I'd stop here but unfortunately one of your very own sources impeached your "interpretation" in the actual article you cited as your inspiration, and the people should know this.

Indeed, the very NY Times article you cite says this further down the page, which you didn't bother "interpreting" with your "quote" that wasn't a quote:

As they heard more of the details, some of the bankers began to realize how attractive the program was for them.

Even as they insisted that they did not need the money, bankers recognized that the extra capital could be helpful if the economy became shakier. Besides, many of these banks’ biggest businesses are tied to the stock and credit markets; the quicker they improve, the better their results.

Later, Mr. Pandit told colleagues that the investment would give Citigroup more flexibility to borrow and lend. Mr. Dimon told colleagues he believed the relatively cheap capital was a fair deal for his bank. Mr. Lewis said he recognized the prospects of his bank were closely aligned with the American economy.

Mr. Thain was intrigued by the terms of the guarantee by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation on new senior debt issued by banks, participants said. He mentally calculated the maturities on debt issued by Merrill Lynch, to determine how the program could benefit his bank.

Wait a second!  You told everyone that these banks were effectively seized!  That they were forced to take that money and didn't want it.  They saw no net benefit, according to you. Yet the picture says the bankers were happy when they left the Treasury, and by God, there it is in the NY Times - they didn't exactly hate the deal, did they?  Thain thought the FDIC guarantee was attractive.  Dimon thought the deal was FAIR.  Even Lewis wasn't*****ed off.  Why golly gee, perhaps that picture accurately portrayed their view after they realized they were ripping off the American public with the full complicity and assistance of the Government instead of getting screwed themselves!

But that is NOT the story line you sold in your article is it?

It sure was, however, the one I reported back in 2008.

And by God your own source contains the reference material to back my view and debunk yours!

We'll continue.

Again, if there’s evidence that all the banks willingly jumped up and said okey-dokey without coercion, I’d like to see it. Otherwise, what I wrote is an opinion based on the clearly understood difference between a willing seller-willing buyer transaction and one based on implicit and explicit threats.

See the picture up above?  Do those men look happy or do they look like they were just extorted out of their free-market bank?  Or read my Ticker that I linked up above - I wrote it at the time of the meeting.  Or, for that matter, read your own NY Times source piece!

The next paragraph is clearly an expressed opinion. As much as Karl may not like it, I’m entitled to it, and it sure as hell has no “utter falsehood” component:

The economy as we knew it died that day — and virtually no one objected. As Michelle Malkin wrote: “If you don’t feel like throwing up today, you’re not paying attention.”

Of course you're entitled to your opinion.  You're not, however, entitled to your own facts.  And my point on the facts and my calling you out on same was related to your quotation that you now admit never was actually spoken by Paulson or anyone else - you inferred it, but didn't identify your "quote" as an inference or cite sources from which you drew that inference at the time.  The reason I called you out was that I had never seen that "quote" before, so I searched for it - and couldn't find it, except in your article, strongly implying that it was crap.  Then I went back and reviewed my own journalism from the time, just to make sure I remembered correctly what I wrote about three years ago. 

But even if you had cited sources (and you did in your follow-up objection) it doesn't change a thing when it comes to putting quote marks around your own opinions, unless of course you identify them as your spoken opinion, which you did not.  Never mind that one of your very own source articles that you cite refutes your claim, at least in part beyond any reasonable doubt (I'd argue it's entirely refuted, but that's my interpretation which probably differs from yours.)

Incidentally, since we're on facts, let's do a few more, because you jumped all over me based on the fact that you appear to have invented a quote that was never spoken and I caught you doing it.  But that's not where the substance of my issue with your original article lies.  No, it's the premise of the article -- that "big Daddy Government" is why our economy is utterly screwed that I was attacking -- that's the factual fallacy that I assert you attempted to run. 

Since we're hashing it out here, I'll keep going and repeat what I said before along with more detail in the hopes that you'll actually bother to read it this time.

The fact that the large majority of TARP funding has been repaid

It has eh?  You sure about that?  While we're at it would you please define "large majority" for me? You should look closely at Fannie, Freddie and (especially) AIG and the shell games that were played to shuffle things around.  This too is a common political narrative and it is also false.  A huge amount of TARP money is still outstanding and will never be paid back as it was effectively laundered. 

You, I and the rest of the taxpayers ate that - it wound up in the deficit, effectively shifting that borrowing to the federal government. 

This sort of shell game is all too common in the federal government and I excuse you for not understanding it or catching it at the time (or since.)  It really is somewhat difficult to figure out, especially when the current Administration parrots almost on a weekly basis that "TARP was repaid."  Given that you report on political events I'd expect you to be more skeptical, but I'll give you a pass on that as quite frankly a whole lot of the media can't figure it out either and it does take both digging and discernment as to exactly how it happened.

The final paragraph with which Denninger takes issue is also the column’s finale:

Even beyond what we can see with regulations gone wild, failed stimulus, and outright corruption, our government’s authoritarian overhang and its destructive psychological effect on business and investor behavior largely explain why the economy won’t acceptably grow.

Denninger wrathfully writes: “If you believe one word of that paragraph you’re dumber than a box of rocks.”

Rock on this, Karl: It sure as hell isn’t an “utter falsehood” — and for heaven’s sake, please note that in my view the government influences cited “largely explain” why the economy won’t grow — not by any stretch exclusively, or even nearly exclusively.

That's right, I take issue with it because I assert that it's not true.  And I stand by what I said: If you believe one word of that you're dumber than a box of rocks.

Quite simply, you're wrong about why the economy won't grow acceptably. The reason the economy will not grow acceptably is because it didn't for a full 30 years and the scam that was run to make it look like it did ran out of the ability to sustain the pyramid that had been built.

Like all pyramid schemes this one failed when last sucker was consumed by his folly.

The facts are found in this chart that I produced in my previous article, with both data sources taken from the Government itself.  The Fed Z1 and the BEA GDP series - go grab 'em yourself and get to work with Excel.  I do not expect you, or anyone else, to take my word for it that this chart actually represents reality - in fact I expect you to verify or refute my work with your own, as that is the only way that you will ever trust what someone says - when you know what you're looking at is true because you checked it yourself.

What you are looking at is a quarterly plot of the increase (or decrease) in GDP and debt - the three-month change in billions of dollars from one quarter to the next, from 1980 to the first part of 2011.

From 1980 until the collapse - in fact, until 2009 - there was not one three month period where the economy expanded in output faster than debt expanded.  That is, there was no actual economic growth funded by output improvement, from productivity or otherwise, not even for ONE three month period - it was all funded by ever-increasing borrowing

But borrowed money has to be paid back eventually, all borrowing comes with interest due and no matter who you are a time comes when you must stop adding additional borrowing (in which case the economy crashes) or you can't pay the principal or interest (in which case the economy crashes.)

We hit that wall in 2007. 

That is the reason the economy blew up.

The crash itself produced a short-term dislocation in debt (due to defaults) that temporarily gave us about a year worth of positive ratio on these figures.  We are now, however, back to our sinning ways. 

Incidentally, the Fed Z1 is the authoritative data on all debt through the economy.  Households, mortgages, non-profits, corporate debt, bank (financial products) debt, state, local, federal, etc.  It excludes only Social Security and Medicare (the "trust funds") as those are not legally debts.  It therefore slightly understates the total debt, but not by much (about 10% at present.)

The BEA GDP series is the authoritative source on the gross domestic product of all goods and services in the United States.

The reason the economy "is not growing acceptably now" is not because of our government's "authoritarian overhang." 

Please don't misunderstand me - that "authoritarian overhang" is bad, and it should go away.  But it is not why the economy hit the wall in 2007 and it is not why it is failing to grow acceptably now.

The economy hit the wall in 2007 because we -- our government and the banks, along with the Fed -- ran an intentional ponzi scheme that ultimately reached borrowing six new dollars for every one new dollar of GDP.  The mathematical limits of debt service were reached in the private economy and the schemes and frauds run not by government but primarily by private parties, with the government intentionally averting its eyes ran out of suckers who were willing and able to perpetuate the pyramid.

If you want to know why students are in the streets at OWS and elsewhere, there's your reason by the way - we are screwing them now as they're the last people we can screw - everyone else is tapped out!

This, incidentally, is why we then ran between 10-12% of GDP in Federal deficits - the Federal Government attempted to cover up the collapse of the pyramid.

We are not growing the economy now because we did not clear this debt that cannot be paid as agreed from the economy, as this chart clearly shows:

THAT is why the economy is not growing Tom.

The reason I went after you in my column is that this sort of right-wing tripe is just that - tripe.  It's mathematically bankrupt, it's factually wrong, and "correcting" what you perceive as the "cause" will do nothing because you (along with a lot of other people) have misdiagnosed the problem.  You're trying to turn a math problem into a political one and score political points instead of addressing the actual cause of our economic malaise.  At the same time you're ignoring the fact that we replaced fully 12% of our GDP (which is supposed to be private demand) with borrowed Federal government debt.  The ability to do that will eventually end too, and if we don't stop it voluntarily first our political system will collapse.  Nobody with one bit of intelligence wants to see that happen, and for that reason and my assumption that you are intelligent (if perhaps a bit misguided) you should engage me and anyone else willing to have an honest discussion of the issues at hand so as to attempt to raise public awareness and put a stop to this before it blows up in our faces.

The root problem lies in the fundamental nature of exponents.  I have been harping on this for years, but nobody wants to hear it, despite the fact that the data is clear, it is what it is, and the arithmetic involved is literally middle-school material.

Mathematical relationships are not suggestions and they do not bend to political whim and will.  They are laws that unlike the laws of man you cannot violate - 2 + 2 will always equal 4, and at a 10% claimed house price growth rate a $150,000 house will, in each and every case, have a "value" of over $2 million dollars 30 years hence.

The problem is that the "middle class" $150,000 house can't be bought in 30 years by anyone in the middle class, as none of those people will have the $2 million required.

Likewise a 9% growth rate of medical expenses turns a $600 a month health policy for a 50 year old person into more than $12,000 a month in cost 35 years hence.  That's almost $150,000 a year.  Is there any possible way to cover that?  No, but that's what you're being sold when you are told that "nobody over 50 will have their Medicare tampered with", and incidentally, that $150k is what the 15 year old today will be expected to pay annually when they are 50.  Even with a 3% annual raise ("inflation") every year from 15 to 50, never a recession, never a job loss that involves a pay cut, never anything bad happening that impairs income the cost will exceed the median gross income by a solid margin.

It's a LIE Tom.  What's being put forward is mathematically impossible just as it was in the 2000s with housing and in the 1990s with Internet companies.  All of it was and still is impossible as a matter of mathematics and the people running these schemes know it.

There is not a thing you can do about this Tom - nor can anyone else in the country and indeed the world - other than accept it.   We must confront and accept what happened and deal with the adjustments that we must make in our economy.  They're not going to be fun but they also cannot be avoided and the longer we wait the worse the pain is going to be.  The damage is progressive and exponential in nature.  The evidence lay before us for a literal 30 years and we refused to deal with it.  Please be aware that when you're dealing with an exponential event like this when only the last "doubling" remains you still have half your capacity remaining.  Everything seems fine, right? 

Nope - you're on the brink of utter disaster.

The option to play this game has expired and it is time to face the truth.

I will close with a response to this:

Karl Denninger owes us — myself and Pajamas Media — nothing short of an unconditional apology. The proper words are: “I was wrong. I am sorry. I will appropriately retract.” Period. From my standpoint, there’s no chance of any kind of dialog about the rest of the content at your post — which might otherwise be quite worthy of discussion — until I get one.

You're entitled to your opinions, whatever they may be.  You're not entitled to invent facts, and placing words inside quotation marks that claim to make a point that you in fact interpreted might have occurred from other sources without identifying them as your own belief as opposed to someone else's actual words you are quoting falls into that category.

As for your opinion that the banks were "taken over", I disagree.  I argue that the banks in fact looted the people with the full cooperation and complicity of the Treasury, and my interpretation is backed by the actual words of the bill that were passed and how it was used, buttressed by the fact that Kashkari testified over a year later under oath that prior to final passage of TARP Paulson had already decided to inject capital into the banks and did not inform Congress of this change in the essential intent of the bill on the floor at the time.   (CSPAN should still have archives of that testimony if you're interested in it.)  It is further buttressed by your own claimed source.

I was attempting to engage in a debate on the substance of the matter, which is the root of your claim rather than the minutia: You stated that our economy in large part is not growing because our government has basically taken it over via authoritarian acts, implying that were those acts to be reversed we'd be ok (or at least "better off.")

You're wrong. 

We're in this mess because for 30 years our government, the banks, The Fed and others in our economy who knew the truth about what they were doing lied.  We collectively as Americans refused to question their claims and look at the fundamental mathematical relationships involved despite having the data available to us published by the very people who were doing the lying.  We refused to validate what we were being told and discover those lies and then hold the liars to account.  Those who warned of these lies, including but not limited to Brooksley Born, Ross Perot and others, myself included (dating back to the 1990s and then again from 07 forward) have been ignored.  Some of them, like Brooksley Born, were literally run out of town on a rail.

Now the chickens have come home to roost and the reality is staring us in the face.  We do no good and much bad by playing make-believe.  There is simply no more time for these sorts of political games.  The problems facing our economy cannot be solved without accepting what has happened and what must occur to clear the overhang we have created.  This will not be a painless process but there are things we can do to mitigate the damage, or at least make the adjustment somewhat easier.

If we refuse to have that debate, and instead continue to misdiagnose the problem by willful and intentional blindness then the mathematics will continue onward as they have thus far.  We are literally a minute or two from midnight, and time is running out to take steps to mitigate what is coming. 

This is not my opinion, it is mathematical fact, whether you or anyone else cares to admit it or not.

That is why I wrote my article in response to your first post, and why I penned this one as well.

Discussion below (registration required to post)
 

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User Info Pajamas Media: Entitled To Its Opinion, Not Its Own Facts in forum [Market-Ticker]
Badgermaster
Posts: 64
Incept: 2009-04-03

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Damn, you're on fire. Nicely done.
Traumaboyy
Posts: 201
Incept: 2011-05-20
Green
Northwest Florida
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Great Job Gen....Can't argue with those facts!!
Cthulhu
Posts: 10
Incept: 2009-08-09

Silicon Valley
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Certainly, there's only one set of facts -- though some are public and some hidden. Then, there's two sets of interpretations: one group of elites (political) screwed another group of elites (bankers) who screwed the average citizen....or both sets of elites conspired to screw the average citizen.

Then, there's the proverbial two ways of looking at the dichotomy: glass half empty or glass half full -- either you are substantially in agreement that "one or more groups of elites are screwing the public", or you substantially disagree as to the identity and relationship of the particular elites involved. Based on the two views, there are two reactions: "come, friend, let us reason together" v. "you ****ing imbecile".

I regularly read both PJM and M-T. I get different things from both, and when they conflict I can drill down to get more background. I don't think either intends to mislead, and I learn a lot from each. It bothers me, however, when there's such a prominent target in sight, and ammo is wasted on each other.

Edit: I should note that I use the M-T charts frequently when I'm discussing current economics. Math tends to stand on its own.

Reason: Clarify distinction between info & presentation
Plaman
Posts: 56
Incept: 2010-02-23

NE Ohio
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So what happens when everything breaks down? How long or how would society even rebuild?
Asimov
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East Tennessee Eastern Time
Online
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I main hope is that he'll read it and not just skim over it.

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Blindskov
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You can almost set your watch by the 80 year credit collapse cycle. About 10 to 15 years of poverty, famine, revolution, and war will probably correct the problem.

Every species on the planet has feast/famine cycles. We are ahead of ourselves and nature is about to correct it.


Think I shall read "Grapes of Wrath" again. It provides a beautiful contrast between the impoverished and the wealthy.
Xanii
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Espoo, Finland
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Keep going Karl.

Years of hard work at lecturing us about mathematics will soon be at and end. They keep ridiculing you and resisting but soon the pendulum swings so that theese texts will be considered thruths. As long as you keep to math facts you will hold the high grounds.

We are nearing the point where even theese people who dont understand low-level exponentials must admit the thruth. You remind me of my old Physics teacher at the Polytechnic who simply refused to let go of a chance to show us our stupidity thus enlighting us all in the long run. Very important man in my life.

Here in Finland it is not just the True-Finns who understand (perhaps in a perverted, angry way) the power of maths and exponentials. But it spreads, now Raimo Sailas our Ministry of State speaks like he has been reading tickers. He has always been the most level-head of us all when it comes to finances and long-run thinking. And now is openly gloomy about EU/Greece which is a very very bad sign for us who remember what usualy follows when Raimo is in a foul mood...
Jubber
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love to see what he comes back with , if anything

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“The problem with socialism is that, sooner or later, you run out of other people’s money.” Thatcher
Bertdilbert
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If you removed the background in the photo, it would be easy to imagine two men leaving a house of ill repute, having just been serviced.

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Dear Euroland: Relax, Germany has a plan for your money!

Political Capital Defined: We are out of money but will tax our citizens for whatever it takes to "SAVE" the Euro.
Traumaboyy
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lol...yeah..."she got some on my tie"!!
Tdaly
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Green A True American Patriot!
Lake Wylie SC
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Jeez, when my congressman does his townhalls using his charts... he says the same thing... the debt has been growing faster than GDP and it's all been fake. Tom hasn't been doing his homework.
Etz
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Quote:
if there’s evidence that all the banks willingly jumped up and said okey-dokey without coercion, I’d like to see it. Otherwise, what I wrote is an opinion based on the clearly understood difference between a willing seller-willing buyer transaction and one based on implicit and explicit threats. It sure as hell isn’t “utter falsehood.”
Apologetic bankster *****s are a dime a dozen.

It is the reason why a corrupt scumbag is POTUS and irish samurai trolls are still allowed to post here smiley

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Legal chicanery and beneficent darkness are the banker's stoutest allies - F.Pecora.

Seektruth
Posts: 677
Incept: 2007-09-01
Green A True American Patriot!
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Karl, I'm glad you keep doing this and stick to the facts. Unfortunately this line about the banks being forced to do everything they've done wrong seems to be out there and believed by the average person. I can only hope they'll eventually listen to the truth rather than the spin.
Jslique
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The hopium smokers just don't get it that the maths finally wins.
Kicking the can works until it does not.

If we had real journalists left at newspapers perhaps those lying would be found out. Makes me really sad that bull **** can be printed by so many papers and people believe it because its printed in a paper.

Appreciate your work Karl.
Dudefish
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Birmingham, Ala.
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Another possible reason for the difference in interpretation is that not all banks viewed tarp the same. There certainly were banks that viewed tarp as a forced, extorted loan. BB&T comes to mind. I have heard the former president of BB&T, a well known libertarian, speak several times. He makes a very convincing case that they did not want tarp, were forced to take tarp, and paid it back as fast as they were allowed to with millions of added interest expense that they didn't want or need to incur. Then on the other hand you most likely do have some back-slappers that were just pleased as punch to get bailed out AND just as importantly to have the taxpayer and capital markets unable to distinguish them from the healthy banks.
Catinflorida
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florida
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Great rebuttal Karl!
I asked Tom his take on the double dippers, SunTrust and Citi. Did they have a gun to their heads the second time as well?
Was there a reason our govt didnt force accountability when they handed over the taxpayer treasury?
Why are we talking about TARP when it was peanuts compared to the trillions the banks took in secret loans from the "free money window" (ahmm, I mean discount window)and loaned it back to us for a nice little profit?
My comment is awaiting moderation, I wont hold my breath while waiting for an answer.
Andyc
Posts: 333
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Those people there seem to be mainstream media political news junkies not financial news junkies, they dont know what they are talking about when it comes to finance the banks and markets.

The bit of financial info they glean from the MSM is from totally unreliable sources.

Nobody ever learned anything about markets reading the Wall Street Journal

I wonder if any of those writers over there watch CNBC and think they are actually seeing something about markets when they do?

Plenty of them I bet



They dont even know that Bankers + 0 interest money + FDIC Insurance = Happy Bankers...no...Giddily Happy Bankers may be the better description.

I dont know if that's a legitimate economic formula, I just made it up....It may as well be a natural law though, cause it sure is ALWAYS true.

and did not the bonus pool then expand mightily after the deal?

They were right to be happy, they saw that outcome already


Genesis
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Quote:
Another possible reason for the difference in interpretation is that not all banks viewed tarp the same. There certainly were banks that viewed tarp as a forced, extorted loan. BB&T comes to mind. I have heard the former president of BB&T, a well known libertarian, speak several times. He makes a very convincing case that they did not want tarp, were forced to take tarp, and paid it back as fast as they were allowed to with millions of added interest expense that they didn't want or need to incur. Then on the other hand you most likely do have some back-slappers that were just pleased as punch to get bailed out AND just as importantly to have the taxpayer and capital markets unable to distinguish them from the healthy banks.

Yeah, right.

Show me one of these banks that claims they were "Extorted" but did not issue ONE FDIC-guaranteed bond during the time or otherwise exploit the crisis and I'll believe it. The bankers that got ****ed (and there were some) were the regional and small local banks that didn't get TARP money but got gang*****d by the undercutting of their markets by those who DID get bailed out.

The problem with these claims is that the back door benefits were ENORMOUS and a simple GIFT to these institutions. It was done without a bit of public debate or even a vote in most cases. The differences here are not small - 50 basis points on a billion dollar bond issue is a half-percent per year in money you keep rather than give to the investors, or $5,000,000 annually. Over 10 years that's $50 million per billion borrowed, or a five percent difference on the PRINCIPAL. Not exactly small potatoes, is it, especially when you consider that a bank running 10:1 leverage turns that into $500 million or 50% of what they "borrowed" that goes straight to the bottom line!

I'm not surprised that the executives saw a LOT of value in those "guarantees", because there was! It was dramatically more than their "cost" of the "alleged regulation", and even better the banks didn't have to liquidate their trash - an act that would have put most if not all of them out of business.

As for BB&T specifically the idea that they didn't get anything out of this is utter crap. Remember who took over Colonial and the loss-share agreement they got? Colonial booked something like a 37% loss on their ENTIRE portfolio when they went down with their CRE portfolio being materially worse than that; BB&T ran a nice slide presentation on the WINDFALL they received by being able to coordinate that takeunder along with the guarantees they got in the process. Read that slide again - it ought to make you puke.

Ref: http://market-ticker.org/akcs-www?single....

I said at the time that this was a monstrous heist, and I stand behind that. These institutions were not "taken over", the American taxpayer was robbed although the immediate form and fashion wasn't obvious to many. This much is fact: You cannot give value to someone without taking it from someone else, and the value given the banks was taken from the people.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?

Crzymorse
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With a ten yr treasury bond at 2.0%, it's going to be a while before the blow up. Their hope is the federal gov't can transfer by deficit spending and higher taxes enough money to the private sector to repair their balance sheets so people can spend and borrow more money. Based on your chart, that's impossible without another bubble.

BTW- Your chart clearly shows the repeal of glass steagall, with Bill "balanced budget" Clinton (quote from me) being the immediate beneficiary. Karl-has there ever been a time in US history or any other countries history for that matter where GDP exceeded debt over a three month period or over the long term. Or is this human nature and behavior?


Genesis
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Over a three-month period? Sure - here 'ya go:



In our not-so-distant past, in the 1950s and 60s, we had several quarters where we matched or exceeded debt accreation with GDP, and a bunch more where they were roughly equal.

The stupid started around 1970; it was the oil shocks and the games related to trying to maintain a balance of payments deficit that led to the problem. I delineate the "take off" as 1980 simply because it's where we really got into the "let's play Ponzi!" game as a "solution" to what we were faced with after the oil shocks.

This is why I say that the government and Fed are absolutely complicit in the balance of payments problem because mathematically they have to be - that problem is self-correcting without intentional interference that allows it to be "maintained" - at least for a while.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Davidcrue
Posts: 146
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Frankly, I think his bigger sin wasn't making up quotes but utilizing a tired trope because he (presumambly) found it entertaining and illustrated his point. Really, it gets on my thungas to see a frustrated novelist inflict bad prose on the masses under the guise of journalism.

It does my soul good to see opinion presented as fact get such a thorough bitchslapping.
Joejohns
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Incept: 2010-09-09
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Yep, there is one place the clowns/hacks/ideologues/criminals don't want to be and that's in a Ticker!

Looks like another knockout in the second round!

Fraudster
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Incept: 2011-05-10
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Karl if I am not mistaken, state and municipal spending count for GDP correct? If so, don't you have to back out deficit spending at those levels in computing the needed GDP contraction to bring the system back into balance? If yes, then that is pretty scary since total Government spending is about 43% of GDP.

http://www.usgovernmentspending.com/tota....

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"Let China sleep, for when she wakes, she will shake the world." - Napoleon Bonaparte

"Circulation ceases first at the outer edges [Europe and Japan]. It will take a while yet for the decay to reach the heart [America]." - Foundation & Empire by Isaac Asimov
Genesis
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Yes. But not all government spending is deficit spending. Remember, tax revenues are SHIFTS of GDP from the private ("C" or "I") to Government ("G")

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
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