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| Rating Agency Downgrades In 5....4....3.... in forum [Market-Ticker]
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Mayorquimby
Posts: 13909
Incept: 2008-09-18
The Archaic Past
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Technically true but Bush's war in Iraq and Cheney's "deficits do not matter" meme were at the heart of the rampage. And it was Paulson et al ie Bush's financial team that started the bailout mentality bs.
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They who wish to hurt you, work within the law. - Morrissey
Gold is theft.
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Mortgageguymn
Posts: 1563
Incept: 2009-03-09
North Coast
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If we get to Aug 2, maintain interest payments on the debt and have to curtail all other spending by 40%, the ratings agencies ought to UPGRADE US debt. I agree that it should be downgraded in the event of a totally weak compromise, but failing to raise the debt ceiling should not itself warrant a downgrade. If anything, that means the debt issue has come into clearer focus and there is a slight chance of an actual coordinated solution.
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Chris92346
Posts: 1314
Incept: 2009-03-25
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This might be a reasonable deal if when we hit the debt limit next year they cut again and cut again, eventually will catch up. But how can we trust future governments to keep doing it?
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Jono
Posts: 110
Incept: 2011-05-25
Banned
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Last One into the Bunker goes to the FEMA Camp!
Good Luck to everyone!
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Themortgagedude
Posts: 8849
Incept: 2007-12-17
saint louis
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Mortgageguy - ding ding. Exactly right. And at that point we should be writing 30 year fixed rate mortgages at 3.0% and the price of everything - housing, cars, food, energy should come down. Those with cash would be king. What's so wrong with that?
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I'm already visualizing you with duct tape over your mouth.
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Bertdilbert
Posts: 2658
Incept: 2008-12-22
CA
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Nobody is intending to cut. What Washington wants to accomplish is a HUGE show that they tried. Huge enough that you will have it ingrained in your mind come election time. Everything else is bull****.
The reason is that back home where they actually get elected, their states are broke. Any tax raise or spend cut will affect state coffers to the negative, forcing cutbacks and the ability to hand out home grown pork.
The republicans have to play tough on taxes. The dems have to play tough on social spending. Those are their roles in the game. Which ever side you are on it is "We are fighting really hard for you!". At the end of the day, it is state revenue and economic conditions at home that really count.
The general public is gullible and falls for the game. It is the two party system that screws you right and screws you left. Enjoy the show.
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Dear Euroland: Relax, Germany has a plan for your money!
Political Capital Defined: We are out of money but will tax our citizens for whatever it takes to "SAVE" the Euro.
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Irishsamurai
Posts: 1150
Incept: 2008-11-03
GA
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When Boner caves (and he will) ... if the Ballot box fails in 2012 (and it will) ... eventually people will have to move onto the next *box* ...
Prepare accordingly.
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“Why is it the ship beats the waves when the waves are so many and the ship is one? The reason is that the ship has a purpose.” - Churchill
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Bigbluffer
Posts: 1330
Incept: 2010-11-01
NC
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Quote: Ahem. Congress increases the limit, not The President. Yes, the POTUS could veto legislation which raises the limit, but Congress can also override a veto.
Okay, we'll be more accurate. The GOP majority legislature raised the debt limit several times while Dems voted against increasing the limit. Bush did not object or veto upping the ceiling. It doesn't matter which party holds Congress or the Presidency. We get the same results. And for those who continue to chant, "we don't have a revenue problem, we have a spending problem", I defy you to come out of your ivory towers and show some empirical data supporting your claim. Go look at the data concerning revenues and spending versus debt and deficits since the onset of the Great Depression and, with the exception of a short time period during WWII when defense spending exploded, show me where spending and not revenues were the problem.  Falls in revenue correspond to rises in Deficit/GDP http://www.usgovernmentrevenue.com
Reason: Incorrect label on chart
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Rjazz117
Posts: 17787
Incept: 2007-09-11
Online
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“To compel a man to subsidize with his taxes the propagation of ideas which he disbelieves and abhors is sinful and tyrannical.” Thomas Jefferson
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Iflyjetzzz
Posts: 8876
Incept: 2007-07-29
Tucson, AZ
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BigBluffer, I tried to PM you but your mailbox must be full.
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When the facts change, I change my mind, sir. What do you do?
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Irishsamurai
Posts: 1150
Incept: 2008-11-03
GA
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Rjazz117 wrote..
Boehner just basically told Obama and the Dems to pound sand...
Kabuki isn't just a form of theatre in Japan ... most of the politicians in D.C. have taken a class or two ... I'll wager with anyone that they raise the debt ceiling by $2 trillion or more by July 22nd ... its essentially already done. All they have to agree on is how the middle class taxpayer gets it: Missionary? (Obama's favorite so he can see the look on your face as he ****s you) Doggie? (Boner's favorite so you can't see him cry as he goes to town) Or pick another position from the Kama Sutra ...
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“Why is it the ship beats the waves when the waves are so many and the ship is one? The reason is that the ship has a purpose.” - Churchill
Reason: Typo
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Irishsamurai
Posts: 1150
Incept: 2008-11-03
GA
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@IFly:
Not sure why you'd do that ... Karl has nuked the crap out of the "its a revenue not a spending" problem over the last 18+ months.
Bigbluffer evidently failed reading comprehension or his fundamental understanding of economics and government entitlements is *kiddie pool* depth to make such an absurd assertion as rendered above ... anyone replying to that assertion is feeding the troll ...
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“Why is it the ship beats the waves when the waves are so many and the ship is one? The reason is that the ship has a purpose.” - Churchill
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Rvacha
Posts: 8295
Incept: 2008-10-03
Cleveland
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Quote:And for those who continue to chant, "we don't have a revenue problem, we have a spending problem" I'm one of those chanters. While it is technically true we have a revenue problem, it is not for a lack of taxes, it is for a lack of structural/organic GDP of which to tax. Ever increasing tax rates on an ever decreasing structural GDP will end in tears (if it is not already underway). Therefore we have a spending problem.
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"I suggest you panic." - Hugh Hendry
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Rickl
Posts: 1226
Incept: 2009-03-08
Pennsylvania
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Bigbluffer: We do have a spending problem. No matter how much or how little money you earn, you have to spend less than you take in. Most working people understand that, but the government doesn't.
Lots of fiscal conservatives were upset, and even outraged, with Bush and the Republican-led Congress and their out-of-control spending. I remember listening to Rush Limbaugh after the 2006 election, when the Democrats took control of Congress. He basically said, "The Republicans have no one to blame but themselves."
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We are so far past and beyond the “long train of abuses and usurpations” that the Colonists and Founders experienced and which necessitated the Revolutionary War that they aren’t even visible in the rear-view mirror. ~ Ann Barnhardt
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Irishsamurai
Posts: 1150
Incept: 2008-11-03
GA
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Rvacha wrote..
Ever increasing tax rates on an ever decreasing structural GDP will end in tears (if it is not already underway).
BINGO ... you're ****ing brain dead in economic understanding if you can't get past this part. Passing money around isn't PRODUCTIVE GDP and full on 75%+ of what Government engages in these days is transfer payments ... (same goes for most of the *******s on Wall Street) ... and ... YOU CAN'T BUILD A SUSTAINABLE ECONOMY WHERE EVERYONE IS IN GOVERNMENT OR IS A BANKER ... Spot on Rvacha.
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“Why is it the ship beats the waves when the waves are so many and the ship is one? The reason is that the ship has a purpose.” - Churchill
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Bertdilbert
Posts: 2658
Incept: 2008-12-22
CA
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Quote:I defy you to come out of your ivory towers and show some empirical data supporting your claim. Go look at the data concerning revenues and spending versus debt and deficits since the onset of the Great Depression and, with the exception of a short time period during WWII when defense spending exploded, show me where spending and not revenues were the problem. Empirical data? I think the argument requires no data at all. I hope you are not going to get mad at me. My argument is the problem is pork, which defines the problem as dietary. Have a nice day
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Dear Euroland: Relax, Germany has a plan for your money!
Political Capital Defined: We are out of money but will tax our citizens for whatever it takes to "SAVE" the Euro.
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Sunkeye
Posts: 190
Incept: 2010-12-14
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i always recall the first law of politicians that is of course to get themselves reelected so pardon my cynicism but i predict a deal gets done
that's in the interest of the pols not the peeps of course
i know gen no likey gold&silver but i really dont see an alternative
part of me just says 'let the left have its way' just prepare accordingly
and btw 'mangoelvis' is my new fave m-t nametag
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Docj
Posts: 998
Incept: 2009-09-10
Duck & Cover
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I don't know, fluffer - your chart tells me that the Fed.Gov has spent more than it's taken-in in revenues every year of the 20th century, in good times and bad, in war and in peace, virtually without exception.
Which, being the logical fellow I am, tells me that the problem is on the spending side of the ledger.
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The preservation of liberty depends upon the intellectual and moral character of the people. As long as knowledge and virtue are diffused generally among the body of a nation it is impossible they should be enslaved. - John Adams
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Irishsamurai
Posts: 1150
Incept: 2008-11-03
GA
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Bigbluffer wrote..
I don't know, fluffer - your chart tells me that the Fed.Gov has spent more than it's taken-in in revenues every year of the 20th century, in good times and bad, in war and in peace, virtually without exception.
"Every election is a sort of advance auction sale of stolen goods." - Mencken Best way to sum that up ...
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“Why is it the ship beats the waves when the waves are so many and the ship is one? The reason is that the ship has a purpose.” - Churchill
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Chris92346
Posts: 1314
Incept: 2009-03-25
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The Government has never successfully taxed at a rate of greater than 20% GDP (exept for that little blip associated with WW2) We are now spending well over that now. You can't call it a revenue problem unless you can get spending under 20%.
In my mind 20% is WAY WAY to high. The vast majority of our history it was significantly less than that. Just about everybody here is upset because of corruption. This is a product of the government being to big. Congressmen have tremendous power when they are controlling 1/5 of every dollar that moves. Government is involved in so much of our lives that if you where a businessman, you almost have to buy off congress just so you can have a successful business.
Government MUSt shrink. If 10% is good enough for God, it should be good enough for the state. The only way we get the country we love back, is to shrink Government. We must take away the congress critters strangle hold over 1/5 of everything that happens here. This is a question of liberty and freedom not just a question of economics.
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Bigbluffer
Posts: 1330
Incept: 2010-11-01
NC
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Quote:Passing money around isn't PRODUCTIVE GDP and full on 75%+ of what Government engages in these days is transfer payments ... (same goes for most of the *******s on Wall Street) ... and ...
YOU CAN'T BUILD A SUSTAINABLE ECONOMY WHERE EVERYONE IS IN GOVERNMENT OR IS A BANKER ...
Absolutely agree. However there is the possibility of productive government spending, e.g. infrastructure. For example, when the government spent money in the development of the internet, it developed a base upon which jobs could be created and productivity could be increased. Was that wasteful, non-productive government spending? I absolutely disagree. Businesses need highways and bridges in order to get supplies from point A to point B, and they need energy for production. This investment has not, will not, and should not come from the private sector as they are inherently monopolistic ventures. Quote:Bigbluffer evidently failed reading comprehension or his fundamental understanding of economics and government entitlements is *kiddie pool* depth to make such an absurd assertion as rendered above ... anyone replying to that assertion is feeding the troll ...
Forgive me if I'm not impressed by your lack of eloquence. Santa told me I was right, how 'bout that?
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Jono
Posts: 110
Incept: 2011-05-25
Banned
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Last one into the bunker goes to the FEMA Camp......would you like more gruel?
Good Luck to Everyone! Keep your powder dry!
Praise the Lord and Pass me more Ammunition!
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Bertdilbert
Posts: 2658
Incept: 2008-12-22
CA
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Bluffer, you up for another Bertdilbert theater? and your mailbox is full... too much pork in it.
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Dear Euroland: Relax, Germany has a plan for your money!
Political Capital Defined: We are out of money but will tax our citizens for whatever it takes to "SAVE" the Euro.
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Rentier
Posts: 193
Incept: 2010-06-19
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at the end of the day Boehner and the rest of them know it doesn't matter, because they already have their taxpayer guaranteed golden parachute and healthcare plan.
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Jkilkelly
Posts: 1628
Incept: 2007-07-20
Mercer Island WA
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The Gov't margin of error in projecting budget deficits is larger than these annual deficit cuts - Total ****ing bull****.
Obama's forecast assumes annual GDP growth of 4.5% thru 2020.
Obama's forecast assumes fed fed rates of 2% thru 2020. Average since 1980 is mid 5%.
Now given our structural problems and continual deflationary deleveraging , what are the odds that we will average above trend GDP growth? Or maintain fed funds rates half of LT averages?
Fantasy Island - boss da plane da plane
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“They say there are no atheists in a foxhole. Well, there are no libertarians in a financial crisis, either.'' Jeffrey Frankel, Harvard economist
Reason: sp
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