Mush: One Goldbug Cowering In Fear
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2010-12-22 09:33
by Karl Denninger
in Editorial
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Mush: One Goldbug Cowering In Fear
 

The response from Shedlock to my previous missive on Kucinich's bill is amusing.

Denninger is not the only one who is stunned. I am stunned that anyone could support this preposterous idea, assuming they read it and are sober.

Neither sound money nor the free market comes from printing money into existence. Arguably the only thing worse than the Fed printing money out of thin air is Congress printing money out of thing for the purpose of full employment and/or any other absurd ideas Congress has.

As opposed to loaning it into existence at gunpoint (literally in the case of TARP, QE1 and QE2), as is done now?

The last thing we need, the very last thing we need is Congress lending money into existence to pay the bills or to do anything it wants for any reason. Those looking for hyperinflation can find the roots of it in that bill.

Might I remind Mish (or should I rename him as "Mush", as in "for brains") that the bill contains an explicit provision prohibiting that which he claims will happen?

(5) GOVERNING PRINCIPLE OF MONETARY POLICY.—The Monetary Authority shall pursue a monetary policy based on the governing principle that the supply of money in circulation should not become inflationary nor deflationary in and of itself, but will be sufficient to allow goods and services to move freely in trade in a balanced manner. The Monetary Authority shall maintain long run growth of the monetary and credit aggregates commensurate with the economy’s long run potential to increase production, so as to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long term interest rates.

Gee, an actual zero inflation mandate!  Funny how we finally define stable prices and Mush has a problem with it.

One should look at The Federal Reserve Act for reference - you'll find the same mandate less the definition of "stable prices." 

Of course if you're an "asset manager" you have a hell of a reason to like "small inflation", because that is what creates the dynamic that forces people to spend or take risk instead of saving, as savings are under such an inflationary system a sinking fund.

I am 100% in favor of eliminating fractional reserve lending.

Ironically, Denninger once challenged me on that score, defending the practice. Please see Fractional Reserve Lending Constitutes Fraud for the debate.

Hopefully Denninger has changed his mind.

Bah.

Once again the nuts are loose rolling around on the floor and intentional distortions and in fact outright lies are again becoming the stock-in-trade of those who wish to claim a "debate."

I have repeatedly pointed out that the solution to the games played by the banking system can be found with a standard of One Dollar of Capital.  This standard prohibits unsecured lending that exceeds the excess capitalization (whether through bond sales, paid-in-capital or retained earnings) of the firm in question.  And incidentally, Kucinich's bill effectively does exactly this and in fact goes further.

As a practical matter lending against secured value must (to be safe) have a significant margin built-in so as to prevent an unexpected "draw" against a bank's excess capital.  That is, if you lend someone $100,000 to buy a house you suddenly become very concerned about down payments and such (and likely require 20% or more down) if such is a fully-secured loan, as without doing so the risk of an "unexpected" incursion into the bank's excess capital becomes very real - and should it happen you could literally be forced into liquidation with no notice at all.  This risk prevents most of the abuses all on its own, but I can live with Kucinich's solution - he simply requires that if you want to lend against assets without having a dollar of capital for each dollar lent that the loan must come from the Federal Government.

Kucinich's bill also turns banks into fiduciary depositories for customers, ending the possibility of the FDIC - that is, the government - having to cover fraudulent lending.  By designating a transaction account as having a bailment arrangement fiduciary responsibility and criminal sanction suddenly appears should the system be gamed.  Gee, what's the problem with that?  If you wish to loan money to a bank (in exchange for interest) you may, but such a loan must be designated as a loan (not claimed to be a "deposit") and further, there is no insurance or guarantee upon it. 

You might suddenly become very interested in the safety, soundness and activity of such an institution before you lend it money, eh?  Yeah.

The bill also includes two other provisions - an interest-rate cap (8%) and a limit on all fees, costs and interest that may not exceed the principal, with the exception of mortgages.  This will cut off predatory lending at the knees - since the risk-free rate of return is about 3% ex-inflation, and the bill contains a zero-inflation mandate, this means that someone who's risk is a bit more than twice the "risk-free" rate will be denied credit.  This provision stops the pyramiding of risk that by and large led to the housing bubble - the predatory lending that was at the core of the asset-price runup could not happen, nor could complex securitizations with embedded costs in the mid-several-percent range be completed and put together with such a cap.  In short, if you're not a good credit risk you will be paying cash - that is, spending from economic surplus instead of pulling forward demand.  This again is good, not bad.

Finally, the bill requires that the emission of currency to match economic growth (which, incidentally, is what we wind up with under the Kucinich bill) be allocated such that 25% of it be distributed to the states for infrastructure, education, health care and unfunded Federal mandates.  That is, at least one quarter of the monetary balancing will have to go toward the States, rather than being dissipated in The Federal Government.   While that's not perfect it sure beats what we have now, where state and local governments wind up engaging in hinky derivative deals with banks that end up screwing their citizens when they need a new sewer system.

To answer the question Mush asked up top of his post, yes, I did read the bill.  In full.  It is, after all, only 46 pages.

No, it's not perfect.

But it would be a monstrous improvement over what we have now, and I will remind Mush that in point of fact we had Colonial Script some rather long time ago, and further, there is nothing in The Constitution that prohibits the Federal Government from issuing and fixing the value of fiat currency.  In fact, such is explicitly contemplated and expected by The Constitution. 

The criticism that such constitutes the road to "hyperinflation" is pure hyperbole.  Anyone who wants to find "hyperinflation" need only look at the premise of QE-Part-Whatever, extending credit against bogus assets by the so-called "monetary authority" (which we now have proof of) and intentional hiding of losses through the printing of money, all of which is then beyond the review of the people.  If Congress pull this sort of crap (and they might) they're subject to being voted out of office. 

Representative Republics are all about the right of review by the people, and this bill provides it in spades, correcting what has been a stunning lack of enforcement of alleged mandates of "price stability" in the original Federal Reserve Act - a mandate that has been utterly ignored without consequence for nearly 100 continuous years.

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User Info Mush: One Goldbug Cowering In Fear in forum [Market-Ticker]
Limitsatinfinity
Posts: 2
Incept: 2010-12-18

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Excellent points. What I love about this blog is that it is heavy on details, whereas Mish (or Mush) is generally light on that account, heavy on conclusions. I look forward to further debating on this bill as I see it as a very big step in the right direction.
Ernunnos
Posts: 33
Incept: 2009-09-04

Phoenix, AZ
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How many black-letter laws have they ignored so far? And one more will restrain them? I doubt it, but I still support this bill. What alternative do we have? Just give up? I'm not ready to go there yet.
Giannmi
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Incept: 2009-09-03

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Many in Congress believe that government spending leads to increased GDP. So what in the section below prevents them from passing some terrible 'make work' bill that needs billions in funding and thus, creation of new money to support it? They can claim the new money creation is in total alignment with the provision set out below. Multiply that by who knows how many boondoggles and you will get hyperinflation. Am I missing something?


(5) GOVERNING PRINCIPLE OF MONETARY POLICY.—The Monetary Authority shall pursue a monetary policy based on the governing principle that the supply of money in circulation should not become inflationary nor deflationary in and of itself, but will be sufficient to allow goods and services to move freely in trade in a balanced manner. The Monetary Authority shall maintain long run growth of the monetary and credit aggregates commensurate with the economy’s long run potential to increase production, so as to promote effectively the goals of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long term interest rates.

Genesis
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What stops it now Giannmi? Nothing.

The difference is that if you do it now you get The Fed monetizing the damn debt! That's backdoor bull**** and decouples the action from the consequence.

NO NO NO NO NO.

If Congress wants to do this, it needs to specifically authorize it AND THE CONSEQUENCE.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Joshua_d
Posts: 163
Incept: 2010-08-26

Lenoir, NC
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The problem with this bill, or any bill really, is that you can never, ever, by any means, trust the government to follow the law. And, it seems unwise, to me, to ever give people any inclination that they should trust the government to follow the law.

I really enjoy your blog, and you repeatedly point out how Congress, the Bankstas and the political elite have been ignoring the law for decades. I happen to agree, and that's why I'm skeptical.

How can you skewer Congress and those politicos who daily break the law for their personal benefit and then assume that those same politicos will have a change of heart and decide to follow the law once Kucinich's bill is passed?
Genesis
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I didn't say they'd follow the law.

But this bill, were it to become law, would end the ability of Congress to dodge responsibility if they violated the law.

If we had high inflation there would be nobody to blame for it BUT Congress.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Bertdilbert
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I thought it was pretty cheap of mish to insinuate you did not read it and were intoxicated.

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Limitsatinfinity
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I think the point is not that the politicos won't continue to do insane things, but rather that they will be on the record for doing so. What we have now is zero accountability.
Captainkidd
Posts: 594
Incept: 2010-05-25
Silver
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Quote:
I didn't say they'd follow the law.

But this bill, were it to become law, would end the ability of Congress to dodge responsibility if they violated the law.

If we had high inflation there would be nobody to blame for it BUT Congress.


I can see where half of the problem could be improved here. We would be able to assign responsibility for a mess, once it has been created..

Now, we just have to bring accountability for that mess into the forefront, and we might have some real progress made.

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A lawyer with a briefcase can steal more than a thousand men with guns. --Mario Puzo

It is well enough that people of the nation do not understand our banking and monetary system, for if they did, I believe there would be a revolution before tomorrow morning. -- Henry Ford
Corn1945
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Quote:
I didn't say they'd follow the law.

But this bill, were it to become law, would end the ability of Congress to dodge responsibility if they violated the law.

If we had high inflation there would be nobody to blame for it BUT Congress.


The American people could end this **** now by calling their representative and demanding they run Bernanke out on a rail. It isn't happening. I don't see how this bill really makes a difference.

Half the population pays no taxes and a good portion of the rest work for the government. We would have hyper-inflation in a week with this bill.
Abn0rmal
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Corn1945 wrote..
We would have hyper-inflation in a week with this bill.
What Congress is already doing will cause hyper-inflation if it doesn't stop. This bill just makes it so that the banksters don't directly benefit from the federal government's deficit spending. Right now they get to skim off a percentage of each dollar borrowed essentially for no reason at all.
Corn1945
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Quote:
What Congress is already doing will cause hyper-inflation if it doesn't stop. This bill just makes it so that the banksters don't directly benefit from the federal government's deficit spending. Right now they get to skim off a percentage of each dollar borrowed essentially for no reason at all.


I guess my point is that this is just addressing the symtoms of the larger problem.

People keep (re-)electing morons. Charlie Rangel got re-elected. Chuck Schumer got re-elected. Barney Frank got re-elected. It doesn't ****ing matter what the law says. They will do whatever they want and get re-elected. There are no consequences for doing so. You think you can put more words on paper and fix the problem?
Joshua_d
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"If we had high inflation there would be nobody to blame for it BUT Congress."

I can support that for sure. If given the choice between the Fed stealing behind the curtain and Congress stealing in front the curtain, I'll take the latter. My concern is mainly that I'd prefer the full truth to become apparent as soon as possible.

If we can get accountability for the stealing and inflation, then I'm on board. But, if we get more shows, more smoke and mirrors, more blame shifting, etc., then we're simply delaying the inevitable to benefit the thieves and political elite.

If we have to have deflation to wake people up, so be it. If we have to have hyper-inflation to wake people up, so be it. I don't care which one we get. We simply need to wake up. Our people need to be slapped in the face, repeatedly, if we want to survive.

I have no faith that politicians can fix the situation. Only the People can fix the situation. I'm in favor of whatever will wake the People up the fastest.
Siddha
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Why not mention something in-depth and substantive about:

1) The Bank of International Settlements (BIS)
2) United Nations Agenda 21

The two most important topics of our time.

Two topics that never appear in the mainstream media, or on any of the popular "objective, free-thinking" financial blogs that are ultimately sponsored by the central bankers.
Genesis
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That's enough.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Peteb
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Joshua_D and others are right. The great problem now is there is no rule of law. When that happens, you have to start thinking "they can do anything we cannot stop them from doing..."

You've talked about it many times, Karl. We are entering that crazy time when rules don't matter so much anymore. Limitations by law mean little.

"Legal? I will make it legal" - Sith Lord Palpatine
Anti
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Quote:
if you're not a good credit risk you will be paying cash - that is, spending from economic surplus instead of pulling forward demand


While reading this I was envisioning a sub-prime borrower from a politically favored, historically disadvantaged group getting a nice low interest government loan for their whatever.

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Nomullet
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Quote:
The Monetary Authority shall pursue a monetary policy based on the governing principle that the supply of money in circulation should not become inflationary nor deflationary in and of itself, but will be sufficient to allow goods and services to move freely in trade in a balanced manner.


The devils in the details- how would you do this?

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Gloomboomdoom
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Karl > MUSH

Webster Tarpley's economic recovery program includes the Kucinich plan along with regulation of derivatives and Big Banks.

Quote:
2. Measures to nationalize the Federal Reserve, cut federal borrowing, and provide 0% federal credit for production: Seize the Federal Reserve and bring it under the US Treasury as the National Bank of the United States, no longer the preserve of unelected and unaccountable cliques of incompetent and predatory bankers. The size of the money supply, interest rates, and approved types of lending must be determined by public laws passed and debated openly, passed by the congress and signed by the president. Stop US government borrowing from zombie banks and foreigners -- let the US government function as its own bank. Reverse current policy by instituting 0% federal LENDING with preferential treatment for tangible physical production and manufacturing of goods and commodities, to include industry, agriculture, construction, mining, energy production, transportation, infrastructure building, public works, and scientific research, but not financial services and speculation. Issue successive tranches of $1 trillion as needed to create 30 million union-wage productive jobs and attain full employment for the first time since 1945, reversing the secular decline in the US standard of living. Provide 0% credit to reconvert idle auto and other plants and re-hire unemployed workers to build modern rail, mass transit, farm tractors, and aerospace equipment, including for export. Extend 0% federal credit for production to small businesses like auto and electronics repair shops, dry cleaners, restaurants, tailors, family farms, taxis, and trucking. Maintain commercial credit for retail stores. Create an unlimited rediscount guarantee by the National Bank for public works projects to provide cash to local banks for bills of exchange pertaining to infrastructure and public works. Repatriate the foreign dollar overhang by encouraging China, Japan, and other dollar holders to place orders for US-made capital goods and modern hospitals. Revive the US Export-Import Bank. Set up a 10% tariff to protect domestic re-industrialization. Nationalize and operate GM, Chrysler, CIT, and other needed but insolvent firms as a permanent public sector. Maintain Amtrak and USPS.


http://tarpley.net/five-point-program.pd....
Supra5677
Posts: 26
Incept: 2009-07-04

Oakland
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Kucinich Returns to Alexander Hamilton. Anybody who doesn't support this is historically against the founding fathers.


Nobody in this forum has read the American System Political Economy. What Kucinich is calling for is the Economic System this nation was founded on. We have been poisoned by the British and Austrian Systems of Economics and our society is 1000% ignorant. Read Alexander Hamilton's 1st Report on Public Credit, 2nd Report on Public Credit and his report on Manufacturers. I challenge anyone on this forum to dispute me.

Brian Crowell
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Orionstarman
Posts: 222
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"They that can give up essential liberty to obtain a little temporary safety deserve neither liberty nor safety." Ben Franklin
http://www.enotes.com/history/discuss/what-does-this-quote-mean-they-that-can-give--84001
Curbyourrisk
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Farmingdale, NY
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Very GOOD Karl. When I saw his challenge this morning, I fully expected this. Then I took him off my favorites. To me, this bill returns BANKS to what they should have been all along. A UTILITY function of the Economy.


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Time is up.

I hate to burst your bubble, but there is no Santa Claus, the tooth fairy does not exist and American justice does not involve the courts.
Leon
Posts: 226
Incept: 2010-10-15

Dominican Republic
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Finally the plan that makes any sense as oppose to “gold-or-silver” standard provocateurs crowd. Like everybody forgot the recent (last 600 years) European history and heavy manipulation by Venice/Florence megabanks of gold/silver exchange rate that lead to European “Dark Ages” of 15-th Century.
The real issue here is a National Credit that should be used for Nation’s technological advancement (not paying the bankers bonuses) as is defined in American System of economy.
I am pretty sure that stooges in Congress (like Ron Paul and especially austerity frick Rand Paul) will oppose or simply ignore the plan.

Throxxofvron
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The FED Cartel is a parasitic asset stripping monopoly: delete destroy it.


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DIONYSUS: " Thou hast no knowledge of the life thou art leading; thy very existence is now a mystery to thee. " -from 'The Bacchantes' By Euripides “During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.” -George Orwell

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