FOMC Statement 12/14: Idiots
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2010-12-14 14:22
by Karl Denninger
in Federal Reserve
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FOMC Statement 12/14: Idiots
 

The Fed spewed today:

Press Release

Release Date: December 14, 2010

For immediate release

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in November confirms that the economic recovery is continuing, though at a rate that has been insufficient to bring down unemployment. Household spending is increasing at a moderate pace, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software is rising, though less rapidly than earlier in the year, while investment in nonresidential structures continues to be weak. Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. The housing sector continues to be depressed. Longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable, but measures of underlying inflation have continued to trend downward.

Households are spending the money that the government is blowing, and we're printing.  Other than that, it just plain sucks.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. Currently, the unemployment rate is elevated, and measures of underlying inflation are somewhat low, relative to levels that the Committee judges to be consistent, over the longer run, with its dual mandate. Although the Committee anticipates a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability, progress toward its objectives has been disappointingly slow.

We're idiots.  So says Einstein.  We've done the same thing over and over and think we'll get a different result.  We haven't gotten one, but heh, it's always good to believe.  I think I'll believe in this:

smiley

To promote a stronger pace of economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate, the Committee decided today to continue expanding its holdings of securities as announced in November. The Committee will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings. In addition, the Committee intends to purchase $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter of 2011, a pace of about $75 billion per month. The Committee will regularly review the pace of its securities purchases and the overall size of the asset-purchase program in light of incoming information and will adjust the program as needed to best foster maximum employment and price stability.

We were stupid.  We are stupid.  We will continue to be stupid.  And despite that we said we would drive down rates, the exact opposite has happened.  This is going to destroy what's left of the housing market, but we don't care.

We said we'd keep printing money and we will.  Until and unless someone stops us.  Like Congress.  (Of course that will never happen either.)

The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period.

It didn't work, we know it didn't work, we know it won't work.  Worse, commodity cost-push is trashing business operations and margins.  Too bad.  We're not going to back off even so.

The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will employ its policy tools as necessary to support the economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate.

We have no brains.  Therefore our "monitoring" is comprised of this: smiley

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; James Bullard; Elizabeth A. Duke; Sandra Pianalto; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Eric S. Rosengren; Daniel K. Tarullo; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen.

Voting against the policy was Thomas M. Hoenig. In light of the improving economy, Mr. Hoenig was concerned that a continued high level of monetary accommodation would increase the risks of future economic and financial imbalances and, over time, would cause an increase in long-term inflation expectations that could destabilize the economy.

You mean imbalances like this?


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User Info FOMC Statement 12/14: Idiots in forum [Market-Ticker]
Howie
Posts: 4848
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Gold A True American Patriot!
Wilmington, DE
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I'm impressed how quickly you get these out.

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"Banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. Already they have raised up a moneyed aristocracy that has set the government at defiance. The issuing power (of money) should be taken away from the banks and restored to the people to whom it properly belongs." - Thomas Jefferson
Tdray
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This guy will do my talking:
Warning:Salty language

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=koY6kXhQD....
Yaldor
Posts: 2687
Incept: 2008-05-17

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They are not idiots. They KNOW what they are doing to food prices all over the world. Stupidity is not an excuse.

Quote:
We're idiots. So says Einstein. We've done the same thing over and over and think we'll get a different result.


They are not aiming for results but for more time.

This is what they did in 2006, 2007 failed miserably in 2008 and worked again in 2009 2010. When will it break again ? they hope it will be at least 2013.

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For every crash the probability of someone showing that he predicted it is near 1 .

For every prediction of an imminent crash the probability of it being correct is almost zero

Genesis
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****, there wasn't much to say this time Howie...

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Mj71
Posts: 118
Incept: 2009-03-14
Silver
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I'm just going to accept that I'm in my own personal groundhog day. It would explain so much.
Margincalltime
Posts: 1025
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Green
NJ
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Where are their stats on people that are living mortgage, property tax free for years? How much is that contributing to "spending"?
Rickyd
Posts: 585
Incept: 2009-07-07
Gold
Ontario, Canada
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Why 2013 Yaldor?

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"We have a crisis of values that is extremely deep"
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Howie
Posts: 4848
Incept: 2007-11-02
Gold A True American Patriot!
Wilmington, DE
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Yeah, I guess...

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"Banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. Already they have raised up a moneyed aristocracy that has set the government at defiance. The issuing power (of money) should be taken away from the banks and restored to the people to whom it properly belongs." - Thomas Jefferson
Margin
Posts: 48
Incept: 2010-10-25

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I don't think you can call an economy that without deficit spending would be severely contracting is growing. It is no more meaningful than my replacing a 2000 cavalier with a 2010 BMW can calling my income growing if I had to buy the BMW on credit.
Gloomboomdoom
Posts: 236
Incept: 2010-06-25
Green
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What should the FED be doing instead? I don't understand. Nobody is saying a word other than the internet blogs!

I believe the FED purchasing MBS is illegal. But Treasury securities represent the "FULL FAITH AND CREDIT" of the United States!

They need to keep their foot on the gas purchasing long-term paper! What else should they be doing? Inflation is low. This would be totally different if the CPI was above 2%.

Allowing a Collapse is not necessary. The market doesn't mind what the FED is currently doing. So why stop?

I know everyone wants to see the drama starved over from 2008, but that is not what is in best interest of the country.

The FED is not the issue, it is the government and the stupid ass politicians that don't give a **** about anyone other than the deepest pocket book.

Fraud needs to stop. the looting needs to stop.

How is the FED going to lead us to a Depression by buying long-term paper? How exactly? (IMO what they have been doing is working, why stop?)

Murf
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As I read this the 10-year hit a new low - bond market unsatisfied with Bennie.

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The money has already been lost. Someone has to book it.
Aynrandfan
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BORN BLONDE, BABY
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Mr. Bernanke... bond market calling on line 1:

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"To be wronged is nothing unless you continue to remember it."
-- Confucius
Joh123
Posts: 58
Incept: 2009-09-07

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Where is the critical level for 10 year, you think? Remember Greenspan mentioned something about over 4%.
Asimov
Posts: 103847
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Gold
East Tennessee Eastern Time
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Everybody is sick and ****ing tired of them firing up the copier and releasing the exact same statement they did last time.

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Genesis
Posts: 130658
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Uh, this definitely ain't good.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Eighty6thebs
Posts: 4180
Incept: 2007-06-26
Green
It's contained to sub-prime!
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Time to crash stocks. We didn't build this equity bubble for no reason.

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"Sounds to me like you guys a couple of bookies" - Billy Ray Valentine

"No I am not scared, and neither should you be!" - Iraqi Information Minister
Asimov
Posts: 103847
Incept: 2007-08-26
Gold
East Tennessee Eastern Time
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We are ****ed. Evidence:
Inline

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It's justifiably immoral to deal morally with an immoral entity.
If you trade based on what other people say, you will lose money. Especially what I say. I won't be held responsible. Festina lente.
Asdqwe
Posts: 132
Incept: 2010-06-18


Banned
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Bond rates surging on this release. Must be all that strong growth the Fed cited in their release.......
Corn1945
Posts: 4167
Incept: 2009-04-30
Green
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Quote:
Time to crash stocks. We didn't build this equity bubble for no reason.


Or Europe could detonate. That would buy Bernanke time.
Eleua
Posts: 14018
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N 47.72/ W 122.55
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@86,

I Think you are correct.

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"My object in life is to dethrone God and destroy capitalism." - Karl Marx
"Destroy the family, you destroy the country." - Lenin
"Education is a weapon whose effects depend on who holds it in his hands and at whom it is aimed." - Stalin
Zenthunder
Posts: 6826
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yeah they're gonna have to start saying we are in a big D to jawbone rates the other way.....
oops.


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*** FRAUD is NOT a business model.
HOPE is not a business plan!
Gloomboomdoom
Posts: 236
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@Corn

"Buy time", for what? What should he be doing?
Blackswan
Posts: 5559
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Gold
Just outside of Philly
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KD - I would also add:

We were criminal, we are criminal, we will continue to be criminal.

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“It’s checkmate. Everywhere it’s checkmate.”
Hugh Hendry
Jeffrey_thomason
Posts: 7079
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Watching the bond market.

inline

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When they turn the pages of history, when these days have passed long ago. Will they read of us with sadness for the seeds that we let grow?
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