FOMC Statement 11/3
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2010-11-03 14:33
by Karl Denninger
in Federal Reserve
Ignore this thread
FOMC Statement 11/3
 

Heh look at me, I got a syringe over here full of currency debasement for you!

For immediate release

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September confirms that the pace of recovery in output and employment continues to be slow. Household spending is increasing gradually, but remains constrained by high unemployment, modest income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Business spending on equipment and software is rising, though less rapidly than earlier in the year, while investment in nonresidential structures continues to be weak. Employers remain reluctant to add to payrolls. Housing starts continue to be depressed. Longer-term inflation expectations have remained stable, but measures of underlying inflation have trended lower in recent quarters.

In English: Other than construction, which The Fed overinflated, the rest of the economy looks ok.  Alright, so you're just trying to inflate housing.  Thanks Ben - we figured that out.   The problem with this premise is that while you might "help" real estate (of all sorts) you have done so at the expense of commodities, and guess what - 99% of Americans buy a payment, not a house.

Therefore, your operations are net-negative, because due to economic slippage you get screwed by this.

PS: It's not lost on us that the real problem is $400 billion in putbacks from fraudulent MBS and another $200+ billion of worthless second lines that are being held on bank balance sheets at 95 cents.  Yes, that's enough to blow every large bank to beyond the orbit of Mars, and what you're doing won't work.  When this gets into the public's consciousness - that you trashed their standard of living so the banksters can try to pretend for another six months - they're going to want to invite you to dinner - as the main course.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. Currently, the unemployment rate is elevated, and measures of underlying inflation are somewhat low, relative to levels that the Committee judges to be consistent, over the longer run, with its dual mandate. Although the Committee anticipates a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability, progress toward its objectives has been disappointingly slow.

Inflation is too low eh?  What's your mandate?  1-2%, right? 

Heh ****head, what's this then from the current GDP release?

Simply put: You are a lying sack of **** Bernanke - the GDP Deflator is 2.2%!

To promote a stronger pace of economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate, the Committee decided today to expand its holdings of securities. The Committee will maintain its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments from its securities holdings. In addition, the Committee intends to purchase a further $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter of 2011, a pace of about $75 billion per month. The Committee will regularly review the pace of its securities purchases and the overall size of the asset-purchase program in light of incoming information and will adjust the program as needed to best foster maximum employment and price stability.

In English: To attempt to force prices higher, which already has and will continue to reflect into commodities and thus screw you, the common man, The Fed is now monetizing essentially the entire net issue of Treasury Debt for the next six months

This is an effective 20% devaluation of the currency beyond that which has already been done.

I hope you like expensive gas, milk, bread, you know - everything you need to buy to live.

The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels for the federal funds rate for an extended period.

They're trapped.  Period.

The Committee will continue to monitor the economic outlook and financial developments and will employ its policy tools as necessary to support the economic recovery and to help ensure that inflation, over time, is at levels consistent with its mandate. 

Uh huh.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; James Bullard; Elizabeth A. Duke; Sandra Pianalto; Sarah Bloom Raskin; Eric S. Rosengren; Daniel K. Tarullo; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen.

Voting against the policy was Thomas M. Hoenig. Mr. Hoenig believed the risks of additional securities purchases outweighed the benefits. Mr. Hoenig also was concerned that this continued high level of monetary accommodation increased the risks of future financial imbalances and, over time, would cause an increase in long-term inflation expectations that could destabilize the economy.

Hoenig is right, and you're not only a douche Bernanke, you're a lying douche.

To the House and Senate: Impeach this lying jackass who not only perjured himself when he said, in sworn testimony, he would not monetize the federal debt, but who just got caught claiming that inflation is below his target when the GDP Deflator just printed 2.2% - which is ABOVE target, and is the second quarter running at or above the upper boundary!

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User Info FOMC Statement 11/3 in forum [Market-Ticker]
Sledge
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****.
Eaglewwit
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Wait for the big ramp in stocks around 3:30 ET
Mdporter
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So they are doing the $600 billion, AND the stuff in the previous ticket like buying $30 billion in MBS a month?
Drench
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I want Boehner on my TV denouncing this. Right now. Right the **** now.
Abn0rmal
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Genesis wrote..
To the House and Senate: Impeach this lying jackass who not only perjured himself when he said, in sworn testimony, he would not monetize the federal debt, but who just got caught claiming that inflation is below his target when the GDP Deflator just printed 2.2% - which is ABOVE target, and is the second quarter running at or above the upper boundary!
The instant they did that they'd have to deal honestly with the deficit.
Jwm_in_sb
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"The instant they did that they'd have to deal honestly with the deficit."

Then just blame it on the Democrats / Obama...even if they know it's not accurate (it's not entirely), they're gonna go that way eventually anyway and we all know it.
Bshj
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What a mess......SPX down 14 points then UP 10.....worse than a theme-park roller coaster----what does it all mean??!!
Zayla
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Utah
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Why is the USD Index positive now? Was the expectation already priced in?

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Tesla
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Ron Paul to Chair Monetary Policy Subcommittee
http://www.slate.com/blogs/blogs/weigel/....

smiley if true. Time to get to work, Paul; actions, not just words.

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Alexjones
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Lets see, Guaranteed POMO everyday.. Im doing the math now.. GOOG $8,000/ Share by next Thursday
Matt
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Quote:
if true. Time to get to work, Paul; actions, not just words.


Thats the problem subcommittees don't take actions they just make words.

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Karlmarxghost
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Its pretty clear Bernenke doesnt want anyone buying our debt. Whoever is sitting in treasuries are gonna end up paying the damn government to hold it.

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Genesis
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It appears the bond market read the GDP report and saw the deflator.... at least the 30 year holders did.

This is likely to get rather ugly.

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
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What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Leslie
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Quote:
When this gets into the public's consciousness - that you trashed their standard of living


The great majority of Americans incomes have been stagnant for thirty years. It's hard to believe that they'll wake up now.
Sleepycpa
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Thank God for the election and the FED to take our focus of the mortgage/foreclosure mess.


NEXT!

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Themortgagedude
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What happens when the price of printing commodities goes up and the newly printed money isn't worth enough to buy the ink and paper?

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I'm already visualizing you with duct tape over your mouth.
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So will the market start to price in future expectations of QE as well since that is the only way out of to much debt according to those in charge?

Jotapay
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PMs oscillating like a sine wave for the past hour.
Gizmodo
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Think about it this way. The Fed, in purchasing its 600 billion in six months, spends more than the entire GDP of almost any single nation on the planet. Pretty good for an unelected cartel (technically private-governmental partnership, but I think we all know who is the dominant partner). Good thing the "financial regulation" bill gave them even more power!

Karl, I notice you have largely let off on the deflation talk in recent weeks. I too was largely of the mind that deflation was the rule of the day, knowing that setting off inflation in an economic downturn takes some pretty ballsy moves and that the general trend, at least until fairly recently, seemed to be that Fed spending was not sufficient to cause inflation in an environment of debt destruction and tapped out borrowers. However, since the government/The Fed is essentially the MBS market, is now massively expanding its balance sheet yet again/backstopping government spending, refuses to resolve the TBTFs... would you say the general environment is now akin to stagflation, or is a Japanese situation the more likely outcome? You've even used the H-bomb (hyper-inflation) in regards to commodity prices spiking dramatically, but I get the impression you think those will come down eventually.

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Throxxofvron
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It will sure as Hell turn ugly by the May FOMC when the next $900B is shoved up Our asses and all doubt of the situation evaporates.

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DIONYSUS: " Thou hast no knowledge of the life thou art leading; thy very existence is now a mystery to thee. " -from 'The Bacchantes' By Euripides “During times of universal deceit, telling the truth becomes a revolutionary act.” -George Orwell
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30 year up over 4% :D
Tallystick
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Bloomberg radio comparing the FED to a gambling addict at a casino who is out of chips. lol
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LOL....

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I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
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This looks like a big nothing burger so far. Looks like this news was all baked in.

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