Hmmm.... Dubai (Again) - More?
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2009-12-13 19:09
by Karl Denninger
in Bonds
Ignore this thread
Hmmm.... Dubai (Again) - More?
 

There is never only one

It appears, in fact, there are a lot of cockroaches.... not only is there an official bond issue (with potential default) there appear to be a who scad of contractors who haven't been getting paid for their work over there....

"Some Japanese construction companies are facing very serious debt problems as Dubai can’t pay,” said Seiichi Otsuka, the Japanese consul general in Dubai. “Some companies engaged with the construction of the Metro are facing some payment issues.” He said companies were also owed money by Nakheel.

Oh oh.... And how big is this problem?  Nobody seems to be saying, exactly....

“It is inappropriate to reveal details about our arrangements with contractors as we respect the confidentiality of our business exchanges,” said a Nakheel spokesman. “We remain committed to working in partnership with our contractors over the long term.”

Is that especially true when you're not paying them on time... or at all?

Then there's this...

“Certain of the Nakheel Group’s financing arrangements may contain cross-default clauses whereby a default under one of the Nakheel Group’s financing arrangements may constitute an event of default under other” obligations, according to an offering circular for the Nakheel 2011 bonds on Bloomberg.

That could be fun.  How do you spell "cascading boom-booms"?

Finally, confirming what I had suspected, the WSJ points out:

But the prospectus notes that "trusts" and "beneficial interests" are alien to Dubai's laws and that Dubai's legal system has no track record of adjudicating complex international transactions. Some other disclaimers: Dubai World, the chief guarantor of the Nakheel bonds, doesn't issue audited financials; the issuer has no attachable foreign assets; the real estate assets under the trust that secure the debt are located in Dubai, which likely wouldn't enforce a judgment from an English court, the document matter-of-factly explains.

So you mean that banks bought - and own - this crap even though there are no audited financial statements and there are no foreign assets that can be seized (those assets INSIDE Dubai can't be seized as they're formally the property of the Emir, and you can't seize the King's land you see.)

This looks like a prospectus for MBS that were stuffed full of liar loans!

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User Info Hmmm.... Dubai (Again) - More? in forum [Market-Ticker]
Marginnayan
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Annihilate Goldman Sachs Bastards. Period.
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smiley

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"If the trend is your friend until it meets a bend, that trend is now the investor’s enemy." - SocGen’s Albert Edwards
Randy123
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Earth
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Could be a more than a bump in the road after all.

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China is the Enemy. Wake Up.

New Normal. Same As The Old Awful.
Frat
Posts: 1934
Incept: 2009-07-15
Silver
NKY
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Randy, is that something like "it's merely a flesh wound?"


This could start to get "good!" <<Sigh>> Bring it on; it's about time some people start to PAY for their transgressions - and I ain't talkin' in money.

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We're ****ed. Where's Henry Bowman when you need him?
Mo
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Pa.
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This story just gets better and better.

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Welcome to Pottersville
Willi_in_oz
Posts: 209
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Gold
adelaide
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via
http://www.7days.ae/storydetails.php?id=....

Japanese companies are owed $7.5 billion by the Dubai government and affiliated companies, according to a report from the Nikkei Business Daily.

According to Nikkei, an estimated $1 billion of these debts have gone unpaid past their due dates, with some of them more than a year overdue.

The total owed, which does not include loans from banks, was spent on 18 projects worth roughly $15 billion.

These projects involve general contractors, trading hou-ses and electric machinery manufacturers in Japan, the Nikkei said.

The debt is calculated as of October 31.

The Dubai Metro is one of the major projects for which the Dubai Government still owes money to Japanese construction firms.

Earlier this year the Roads and Transport Authority chairman Mattar Al Tayer admitted that the Dubai Metro costs had skyrocketed to over 75 per cent higher than its original dhs16 billion budget.

“We did not take any loans and the financing for this project is there and guaranteed,” Al Tayer said at the time.

The Nikkei Business Daily said that while the Japanese firms expect to recover some of the outstanding payments depending on how negotiations proceed, they may give up collecting others, which will force them to end up sustaining significant losses.

Dubai’s debts have come to the fore recently after government-owned Dubai World announced that it was seeking to delay payments on up to $26 billion worth of debt during a restructuring of its operations.

The announcement led to falls in global and local stock markets amid fears that Dubai could not pay its debts.
Randy123
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Earth
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Wow, just what Japan needed.

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China is the Enemy. Wake Up.

New Normal. Same As The Old Awful.
Bandler6
Posts: 382
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Green
Under a rock
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Contractor does work for me/on my house, and I don't pay him? He puts a lien on my property until he gets paid. Guess the Japanese can't put a lien on the Royal Dubai Clusterduches and their see me from outer-space bull****.

This should get interesting.

inline

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"Betray Your Bank Before Your Bank Betrays You"
Berkleyreindeer
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Minneapolis , MN
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Dubai just needs to stimulate retail demand and everything will be fine.

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It'll get worse. Just wait.
Statusquojoe
Posts: 2784
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Green A True American Patriot!
Land of the fees Home of the slaves.
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Keeping accurate accounts of your periodic billing is essential in construction. 2 months past due, no more work until payment of past billing is rendered, period. But how many construction firms continue with unapproved change orders and contracted work with past invoices outstanding?

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There are so many rules no one knows which rules to follow. The only sure rule is more rules will follow. SQJ.
Jazen
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****cago
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Relax Karl, they had a gentlemen's agreement, a good handshake.
Man's as good as word, no?

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I hate our Government, but I still love America.
Smartmoney
Posts: 226
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Banned
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I would be surprised if the banks did not already figure out the collateral was a farce. Within days of Citi bailout Billions were wired out to Dubai. Pure looting in my opinion. Has anyone seen looter guy lately.
Baldy
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Karl- I posted this in wrong Ticker thread-
Quote:
there appear to be a who scad of contractors
Johnny_crab
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Gold
Boonieland south Texas
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Kajima should have fun digesting this.
Watched them work and their legal teams work overtime.
http://news.businessweek.com/article.asp....

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If you want to know truth, start by turning off your television.

"They didn't just***** in the coffee, they took a **** on the hood of a '73 Eldo, let it bake in the DC sun, ground it up and sold it to us as coffee."--Duc888
Howie
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Wilmington, DE
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This is how Bear Stearns and Lehman started last year. At first, no big deal. After time, DOW 6000.

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"Banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. Already they have raised up a moneyed aristocracy that has set the government at defiance. The issuing power (of money) should be taken away from the banks and restored to the people to whom it properly belongs." - Thomas Jefferson
2banana
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Quote:
which likely wouldn't enforce a judgment from an English court, the document matter-of-factly explains.


Translation: No infidel court is going to tell a muslim company or muslim country what to do. Welcome to sharia law.
Trades50
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Land of Tax and Spend
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Expect the CNBS damage control team out in force force calling any downturn a buying opportunity.

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When the people fear the government, there is tyranny. When the government fears the people, there is liberty. - Thomas Jefferson
Kylafoon
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Zombie Portal Lookout
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I am no expert on Sharia law. But, isn't it a sin to borrow or lend money?
Also, isn't it considered a sin if a muslim does not work to destroy
a non-believer(infidel)?
Isn't the very definition of infidel a "Modern Western Bank with a 14:1 leverage ratio"?

If Dubai squats and ****s on any and/or all of it's loans from
western infidel banks. Rest assured, it's OK with their beliefs.

Sold to you.

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"...But whenever we see things done wildly, but taken tamely, then the State is growing insane..." - Gilbert Keith Chesterton 1910

"I found a flaw in the model that I perceived is the critical functioning structure that defines how the world works." - Alan Greenspan, October 2008
Little_eddie
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It's hard to have good cash-flow without any cash

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Quote:
If the math says one thing and the law says something different, it will be the law that ends up changing


Charles Calomiris
From an article in Foreign Affairs entitled “The End Of The Euro”
Howie
Posts: 4848
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Gold A True American Patriot!
Wilmington, DE
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Seems that it should be a sin to borrow from an infidel.

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"Banking institutions are more dangerous to our liberties than standing armies. Already they have raised up a moneyed aristocracy that has set the government at defiance. The issuing power (of money) should be taken away from the banks and restored to the people to whom it properly belongs." - Thomas Jefferson
Little_eddie
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Green
Delaware
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Quote:
Seems that it should be a sin to borrow from an infidel.


Only if you plan on paying it back

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Quote:
If the math says one thing and the law says something different, it will be the law that ends up changing


Charles Calomiris
From an article in Foreign Affairs entitled “The End Of The Euro”
2banana
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Incept: 2008-02-25

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Takeyya is the word in Islam for lying to the infidels to achieve your objective.

Takeyya

The fact is that Muslims feel no pang of conscience to lie if that lie is said for Allah’s sake and his religion. If the lie is said for a good cause it is okay.

Stealing money from infidels to build up muslim lands is an EXCELLENT cause.

I just hope the west learned its lesson.
If
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When a friend of mine didn't get paid for some construction work he would just go over to the home and start pulling his stuff out of the home-got results pretty quickly. I guess that is not possible here unless Japan wants to take its military over there-oh wait they can't really do that can they? Do you think everybody is starting to wake up to this huge mess?

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I finally took the red pill. I have a lot of catching up to do. Please excuse my ignorance.
Elliottwaver
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Well....with MBS crap, at least you can count on the U.S. Fed buying it up for 100 cents on the dollar. Don't think the UAE central bank, if there is even one, is going to be 'making whole' the defrauded parties with 'oil' notes. Nope....in this case the fraud actually results in deflation of values since there's no Helicopter Ben to perform miraculous healings with a printing press.

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"If we can't recognize losses in a capitalist system we have no future." - William Black

"We will never really understand important economic events unless we confront the fact that their causes are largely mental in nature." - Animal Spirits: How Human Psychology Drives The Economy
Rantocanada
Posts: 81
Incept: 2009-12-06

South of the North Pole
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Beautiful mirage
A Citi that is of sand
Liquidity melts

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The Truth is right here... err, wait. Well, it WAS there just moments ago!
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