Scam Me Once, Scam Me Twice!
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2009-07-16 06:20
by Karl Denninger
in Banking System
Ignore this thread
Scam Me Once, Scam Me Twice!
 

When will we see prosecutions?

July 15 (Bloomberg) -- Originally top-ranked securities created in repackagings of home-loan bonds last year by JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. had their ratings cut to below investment grade by Moody’s Investors Service.

The securities were among the 15 classes of five so-called Re-REMICs from 2006 or 2008 whose grades were lowered by Moody’s because of the “deterioration in performance and ratings” of the underlying bonds, the New York-based ratings firm said in a statement today. One class rated Aaa in the JPMorgan deal from December was cut to B2, or five steps below investment grade.

Re-packaged loans?

This so-called "resecuritizations" are just another turn at the same old scam - trying to convince people that a package of loans has more value than the original underwriting (or lack thereof.)

When these went bad the first time, the banks, desperate to find another way to skim off yet another set of fees, "restructured" the loans and then sold them again, shuffling the deck one more time and of course skimming off yet another set of fees from the inherent cashflow that originally existed.

This depleted the fundamental cash-flow and as a consequence the underlying credit quality compared to the reference benchmarks (remember, the true risk-adjusted return compared to the original benchmark can never go up once the original mortgage is made - it can only be subtracted from in the form of fees and costs), but voila - through the magic of arm-waving and paper, these were again rated "Aaa" just as recently as this last December!

JP Morgan and Goldman, of course, booked the profit from handling these things (again) and took that money from the investors (again), in that the underlying cash flow from these deals was (again) impaired.  And again, they have failed to perform anywhere near what their alleged "Aaa" rating would suggest, being cut to junk less than seven months later - a ratings move that is supposed, according to the definition of "Aaa", about as likely as getting hit by lightning.

Someone needs to go have a discussion with God about the odds here, because this is twice that the same deal has been struck by the very same bolt of fire from the sky!

If this isn't evidence that the entire scheme of "securitization" is fatally flawed and that "ratings" on securitized "products" are worthless I don't know what is.

How is it that a bank can pull this sort of thing not once but twice with the same bucket of loans and the same ratings agencies and not only will they not get sued or shut down by regulators but in addition they actually manage to find suckers who will buy this crap from them the second time around - after having already been proved to be garbage the first time!

Now you know how companies like Goldman and JP Morgan are producing their "earnings" - once again, they're producing securities they claim are "Aaa", yet just months later turn out to be garbage, yet they skim off their money and pocket it, screwing the investor (again.)

Discussion below (registration required to post)
 

Main Navigation
Full-Text Search & Archives
Archive Access
Get Adobe Flash player





Blogtalk 3:30 CT Mondays
Items To Look At


Discuss The Capital Markets along with daily technical analysis with our Gold Donor program.

Where We Are, Where We're Heading (2013) - The annual 2013 Ticker

Links and Blogroll
Our policy on reciprocal links: Send us an email with your information and why you think your blog or news site would make a good addition - in most cases reciprocal link requests will be granted.
Seeking Alpha Certified
Legal Disclaimer

The content on this site is provided without any warranty, express or implied. All opinions expressed on this site are those of the author and may contain errors or omissions.

NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, OPTIONS, BONDS OR FUTURES.

The author may have a position in any company or security mentioned herein. Actions you undertake as a consequence of any analysis, opinion or advertisement on this site are your sole responsibility.

Looking for "The Best of Market Ticker"? Check out
Ticker Classics.

Visit the forum to discuss this and other investing-related topics; see the FAQ on the forum for information about Gold Donor status including access to our technical analysis video server.

Market charts, when present, used with permission of TD Ameritrade/ThinkOrSwim Inc. Neither TD Ameritrade or ThinkOrSwim have reviewed, approved or disapproved any content herein.

Market Ticker content may be reproduced or excerpted online provided full attribution is given and the original article source is linked to. Please contact Karl Denninger for reprint permission in other media.

Submissions may be sent "over the transom" to The Editor at any time. To be considered for publication your submission must include full and correct contact information and be related to an economic or political matter of the day. All submissions become the property of The Market Ticker.

Leads on stories of current economic and political interest are always welcome. Our fax tip line is 850-897-9364; please include contact information with your transmission.

 
Comments.......
User: Not logged on
Login Register Top Blog Top Blog Topics FAQ
User Info Scam Me Once, Scam Me Twice! in forum [Market-Ticker]
Wearedoomed
Posts: 3584
Incept: 2009-01-14
Silver
slightly red state
Online
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Uh, won't get scammed again?

----------
And you, my father, there on the sad height,
Curse, bless me now with your fierce tears, I pray.
Do not go gentle into that good night.
Rage, rage against the dying of the light.
Jubber
Posts: 13938
Incept: 2007-07-05
Gold
UK
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List


"We'll be fighting in the streets
With our children at our feet
And the morals that they worship will be gone
And the men who spurred us on
Sit in judgement of all wrong
They decide and the shotgun sings the song"

----------

“The problem with socialism is that, sooner or later, you run out of other people’s money.” Thatcher
Pauperbear
Posts: 1676
Incept: 2008-01-22
Green
norwalk, ct
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
PT Barnum had it right...

----------
The truth is incontrovertible, malice may attack it, ignorance may deride it, but in the end; there it is.
Winston Churchill
Icecastle
Posts: 692
Incept: 2008-10-15
Green
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
If a mugging occurs in broad daylight in front of the police station, and nothing is done...perhaps the officers are busy somewhere else.

The second time...perhaps the officers were on shift change.

The third time...its policy. The muggers have paid off the cops.

So, will this happen a third time? Can the banks resist those juicy fees? Can the sheep resist those yields?

----------
Mala tempora currunt. smiley
Mangothebird
Posts: 383
Incept: 2009-04-01
Green
Smith & Wesson Country
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Genesis wrote:
Quote:
Someone needs to go have a discussion with God about the odds here, because this is twice that the same deal has been struck by the very same bolt of fire from the sky!


Perhaps these securities are like lightning rods. I suppose we'll find out soon how well grounded the entities that bought them and the institutions that created them are.

----------
"Light a fire for a man, and he shall be warm for a few hours. Light the man on fire, and he shall be warm for the rest of his life." - Chinese Proverb
Drjerry
Posts: 583
Incept: 2007-11-06
Green
Seattle
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Quote:
How is it that a bank can pull this sort of thing not once but twice with the same bucket of loans and the same ratings agencies and not only will they not get sued or shut down by regulators but in addition they actually manage to find suckers who will buy this crap from them the second time around - after having already been proved to be garbage the first time!
How is it that these guys are not in prison?
Crossthread
Posts: 4539
Incept: 2007-09-04
Green
Wilmington, NC
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
So Gen, what your saying is this, In *layman's* or so NASCAR joe 6 pack would understand..

JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. had these Securities that were worth *JUNK*, in effect, part of the problem that brought this crash in the economy about..
Let's say these Securities are a basket of Fruit,Stores, (Investors) bought it and went bankrupt because the Maters went bad real quick... ALOT goes bad, (rotten),JPMorgan Chase & Co. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc.then purchased baskets of Rotten Tomatoes from the Store(s) that went Bankrupt from Tomatoes they had sold Earlier to BK stores, then bought back for pennies on the dollar..
Aforementioned Crooks picked out the Fruit that still "looked good", piled them into another basket, repackaging & re-pricing it, (high grading) as #1 basket of Mater's.. Effectively Making Money/Profits TWICE from the same baskets of rotten, (or soon to be) Mater's.
(While the USDA bought the rotten junk and Made Mater Paste with that fruit, giving it away too needy foodbanks).
ONLY the Mater's goes rotten themselves in a SHORTER amount of time..Store buys Mater's, only when they put them on the Shelf, they are bad with-in days before they(the store/investors)have time to Make their money back+ profit..
Semi-correct? smiley
I ask this, so I can explain this to some *dense* people.. (NASCARJ6P)

smiley



----------
“Cognitive Co-Dependency” is when a normal rational person, internalizes irrational illogical presentations, and somehow reconciles them to fit their scripted indoctrination of logical analysis.
Quote:
Samuel L. Clemens:There is NO Native Criminal Class; EXCEPT for CONgress
Pabloescobar
Posts: 6146
Incept: 2008-04-23
Green
Pacific Northwest
Banned
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
It all boils down to the buyers an fiduciary responsibility...

Who are/were the purchasers of these products? Was it private individuals purchasing them for themselves?

Or was it funds managers, pension managers, and other folks, who, by structural design, are continually receiving fresh money through 401K deposits, pension deposits, etc. and the money HAS to be spent.

Since the money, by definition, has to be invested, the managers have to buy **** sandwiches over and over again, as long as they meet the "criteria".

You will not believe the legal pressure I had, as my companies 401K trustee, to "invest" in ****, because I chose NOT to put it into stocks, but into a CD.

It was all about protecting the Principal. Yet, the plan lawyers said that by not putting the money "in play", I was liable for lawsuits. When I explained about my market theories, they said I was not liable for principal loses, only for "missed opportunity" costs.

The same holds true here.

Until the law is changed, and fund managers are allowed to "change" their required investment paradigms, and worry about principal protection, they MUST be net purchasers of these pieces of ****.

And the band played on.

And the fleecing played on.


----------
Genesis
Posts: 130678
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Cross: Yep.

It was **** the first time you bit into it, and it still is - even if you dip it in chocolate first.

----------
I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Fortune
Posts: 1542
Incept: 2008-04-21

A deep dark place...scary
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Yet they continue to find suckers to buy them......unbelievable, some people.

----------
It's a toss up.
It is the Rule of Law that transforms assets into money: Martin Armstrong
Math IS: Karl Denninger
Jstanley01
Posts: 8176
Incept: 2008-07-30
Silver A True American Patriot!
San Antonio, Texas
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Pabloescobar wrote..
You will not believe the legal pressure I had, as my companies 401K trustee, to "invest" in ****, because I chose NOT to put it into stocks, but into a CD.

It was all about protecting the Principal. Yet, the plan lawyers said that by not putting the money "in play", I was liable for lawsuits. When I explained about my market theories, they said I was not liable for principal loses, only for "missed opportunity" costs.
This is un-be-f**kin'-lievable.

FORCING financial professionals de facto to violate their fiduciary responsibilities under the de jure color of the very law that is supposed to require them to uphold those responsibilities, it worse than criminal. It is EVIL. It makes THE LAW a LIE.
Pabloescobar wrote..
Until the law is changed, and fund managers are allowed to "change" their required investment paradigms, and worry about principal protection, they MUST be net purchasers of these pieces of ****.


inline

Meet the new boss. Same as the old boss...


----------
You can't cheat an honest man. ~P.T. Barnum

Jcwaliski
Posts: 2458
Incept: 2008-10-01
Green A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Oh how I wish I could try that at my business. The profit margins would be sky-high (for a little while). Let's suppose a customer only eats half of his food and cries about how bad it is. Then let's suppose I take the remaining half, throw a little good on top, and re-package it for another customer. Man, I wish I were a banker now. It must be nice...
Widgeon
Posts: 13481
Incept: 2007-08-30
Green
Region formerly known as the United States
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
"Law"

Ha Ha

No one cares what the Law says. The only way to combat this level of deceit is w/ rope.

Genesis
Posts: 130678
Incept: 2007-06-26
Admin A True American Patriot!
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Oh no Jc, they did better. They repackaged the used food.

----------
I don't care if it makes sense -- only if it makes money. -- Me
Bank (n): See scam, fraud and theft. Eat a bankster -- they're low-carb.
What part of "shall not be infringed" was unclear?
Scrood
Posts: 4097
Incept: 2008-05-17
Green
There's Gold in Them Thar Hills!
Online
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
spoiled food

----------
CTRL-GALT-DELETE
Widgeon
Posts: 13481
Incept: 2007-08-30
Green
Region formerly known as the United States
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Which end did it come out of?

Could make a difference whether it's rated AAA or AAa. Either way, it's obviously prime stuff.
Super_z
Posts: 419
Incept: 2008-01-19
Green A True American Patriot!
Philly
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
The "suckers" are no doubt pension fund and fixed income mutual fund managers of OPM who have nowhere to go for yield - so in order to justify their weekly paycheck, have to buy something. And so they take their slice as well out of the final sucker, J6P, who is at least enjoying some well earned time on the beach at the moment.

Another good dose of reality Karl.

----------
"Pay no attention to Caeser, Caeser doesn't have the slightest idea what's really going on." - Kurt Vonnegut RIP
Maddog
Posts: 267
Incept: 2008-04-13
Silver
Alabama
Report This As A Bad Post Add To Your Ignored User List
Someone needs to file a class action lawsuit on both of theses *******s.

----------
USA HELP I'VE FALLEN & CAN"T GET UP!!!!!!
Login Register Top Blog Top Blog Topics FAQ