John Gets Flushed - And What President Obama Must Do
The Market Ticker ® - Commentary on The Capital Markets
Posted 2008-11-04 22:04
by Karl Denninger
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John Gets Flushed - And What President Obama Must Do
 

It's over.

John McCain went down to defeat today in what was an obvious, predictable loss.

Claiming to be a "maverick" while in reality being anything but, Senator McCain came across instead as alternatively a petulant child and an apologist for bankers that have robbed America blind for the previous six years.  As one of the "Aye" voters both for the $700 billion robbery of taxpayer bill (an affront that Barack Obama shares) and the "bankruptcy reform" bill that put a noose around American's necks, he finally "got his" on the national political stage.

America spoke, and said not just "no", but "hell no." 

Unlike when we spoke to you Senator McCain when you were voting for the bailout, this time you're obligated to listen. 

This is coming from someone who bought a high-priced ticket to one of McCain's fundraisers in July, hoping to be able to have an open discussion and debate with Governors Ridge and Keating.

Unfortunately the McCain campaign turned out to be nothing more than apologists for the liars, cheats and frauds.

I called this back in July, and there are times I hate being right.

This is one of them.

In reality there is nothing to like here in this election season.  America's economy is headed for the hole in the center of the bowl no matter what we do, and the imperative now must be to guarantee that the bankers and fraudsters don't make off with any more of our money, to claw back what we can, and to protect the funding capacity of our government, not to protect bankers and attempt to do what is mathematically impossible.

I have only faint hope that President-elect Obama will accomplish any of that in his time as President, and even less faith that he will be able to interdict the present idiocy prior to his inauguration. 

It takes a strong man to stand up to the banking interests that bribe everyone up and down Washington DC, and until I see that strength I will not commit to being pleased with my vote for President Obama, which I did cast with full knowledge that while a President Obama is only 10% likely to do the right thing, a President McCain was 0% likely to do so.

I do see, however, two possibilities and no middle ground, which gives me some hope.  One possibility is that President Obama will proceed to play "pigman handout-a-thon", in which case our nation is headed for an economic collapse that will make The Depression look like a cakewalk. 

Should President Obama listen to such idiots as Ben Bernanke and Henry Paulson, this outcome is assured.  Two years from now the Democratic Party will suffer the worst defeat in the history of the Republic, being mortally wounded and forever removed from American Politics.  Four years from now President Obama will depart with his tail between his legs and head home to Chicago with a new middle name - "Hoover".

The depths to which American could sink under such a series of mistakes cannot be underestimated.  It is entirely possible that a worst-case scenario could come to pass, including a political failure in our nation. 

Barack Obama understands what this could mean, since he has ancestors who dealt with not being free men - and one hopes he is conscious of the risk that continuing down the "bailout path" brings in this regard.  This risk cannot be overstated; it is REAL.  Political and monetary failure, if it occurs, has an extremely high risk of leading to a form of government that is very different than our founding fathers intended, and none of us want to see.

The second possibility is that President Obama actually thinks on his own and comes to recognize that he's not a figurehead, nor is he a puppet of the bankers and fraudsters - that he was sent to Washington DC for a reason.

To imprison all the fraudsters both on Wall Street and Main Street, and recover every nickel possible from their ill-gotten gains for ordinary Americans.

To clean up American Finance and implement The Genesis Plan or something akin to it, forcing full transparency and limits on leverage throughout the financial system.

To tell The American People that no, you cannot have houses appreciate faster than incomes, that the maximum sustainable home price is 3.5x income, and that spending more than 36% of your pretax income on all your debt, housing included, is both unreasonable and unsafe, leaving you one minor household disaster away from bankruptcy. 

This pronouncement, along with policies that encourage same, will lead to a rapid revaluation of home prices downward, and clear the market.

To tell The American People that "free trade" sounds fine in theory, but that as practiced over the last 20 years it has led to tremendous distortions in foreign exchange and interest rates, not to mention millions of Americans losing their jobs to overseas workers who aren't better at what they do - they are just cheaper, mostly because they are either coming from or still living in slave-like conditions.  Perhaps President Obama will do something to correct that imbalance, although you can bet the "masters of American Capitalism" will scream loud and long about any such attempt.

To tell The American People that the age of bubblenomics is over - that one must earn enough money to buy what one wishes to purchase, and if you can't, then you're unable to afford it - and that this applies to government as well. 

To tell The American People that an Obama Administation will not permit The Fed to print money, nor to monetize bad assets - whether they be fraudulent mortgages, bad credit card debt, upside down auto loans or anything else.  That such bad debt must instead be forced to default, and those who wrote that paper must eat their loss, no matter how painful and whether or not it results in business failure.

Tough but necessary words - words that are exactly opposite that which President Bush uttered after 9/11.

This is the change that America voted for Senator, now President-Elect Obama.

Is this the change that we truly can believe in, or were those mere words in a Presidential campaign?

We shall soon find out.

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User Info John Gets Flushed - And What President Obama Must Do in forum [Market-Ticker]
Christiangustafson
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BHO's ancestors were slaves? Really?

I'd like to see him take the lead on 1) ending affirmative action, 2) ending all racial set-asides, and 3) encouraging inner-city youth to care about school instead of hip-hop.

We'll see about the financial stuff; Volcker our best hope.

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It is therefore, on opinion only that government is founded... -- Hume
Eternalblue
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the thing is obama voted for the bailout also, and the financials were big donors to his senate office or whatever
Themortgagedude
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Gen,

I'm afraid chances of Obama doing the right thing is rather slim. Hope I'm wrong.

TMD

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I'm already visualizing you with duct tape over your mouth.
Noodleman
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McCain was leading in the polls 6 weeks ago coming down the home stretch. Then it was one blunder after another on part of McCain starting with the Palin VP pick. It's hard for me to believe that these ridiculous blunders were not intentional. McCain wanted to be president since he was a junior senator. He has years to plan his campaign strategy. He had the best campaign managers that money could buy. How could he make such stupid mistakes?
Inline

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"Ammunition beats persuasion when you are looking for freedom." Will Rogers, 4 Nov 1879 - 15 Aug 1935

Aja
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Free at last, free at last, thank God I'm free at last
Mateo_nj
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Christian, I was going to ask the same questions... does Barack have direct ancestors that were slaves? My guess is that KD is using the term 'ancestors' loosely here... as in meaning anyone from Africa is his ancestor?

Also, #1 and #2 will be easy for him to do, but #3... how the heck would any president go about doing that? I don't see that getting done.
Darknight
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The popular vote is a lot closer than I thought it would be.

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The price of apathy towards public affairs is to be ruled by evil men. - Plato
Immoral_hazard
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Nice post Gen. We continue our year long mind-meld.

I just want to add my two cents and say that McCain camp ran a terrible campaign. A politician has to seize on the issue of the day or they get killed at the polls. Not only did McCain not seize on a issue, he ran from it as fast as he could.

People instinctively know there was criminality that took place over the last 8 years. However, instead of seizing on it, McCain cowered from it.

So instead of tapping into the natural wrath that people feel about the corruption in the FIRE economy, he became the object of how people feel about the overall economy.

McCain you made excuses for the pigmen. Now you pay the price.

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Loyalty to the country always. Loyalty to the government when it deserves it.
- Mark Twain
Beerisgoodfood
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McCain was a dead horse out of the gate. We need to quit looking at the two party system like most do. Two wolves deciding what sheep to eat but in fact it is ONE big corporate military industrial banking world wolf that feeds on media directed emotion driven zombies.

You can watch it and predict it like a script from Hollywood because thats what it is.

The only chance McCain had was Romney and that showed it was nothing more than an American Idol campaign.

It's disgusting to even watch.

People need to realize both parties are heavily comprimised and the only way forward is to stop the divide and conquer and shift to a unite and take back our country mode.

Jazumah
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C-SPAN2 shows a large crowd edging towards the White House saying "Bush out, Obama in". Thanks to the Canadian Broadcasting Corporation for their reporting that is as neutral as they can muster.

I voted for Obama. I am happy that he won. He will not be the Messiah. As long as he makes the right decisions, he will be Mr. Fix It. At this point, this is what we need and I hope he is allowed and decides to do what is right. If he doesn't, he (and us) will have the most difficult period in our history.
Lowbeyond
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Jazumah wrote..
I hope he is allowed


What the heck does that mean, allowed ?

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Maybe it was a birdy bread-bomber from the future?!
Clock
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McCain lost this election because of the supreme, arrogant, mismanagement of this country and this economy by George W Bush.

(note; I am a registered republican)

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Thrustvectoring
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Quote:
People instinctively know there was criminality that took place over the last 8 years.


This. Studies have shown that people shy away from risk even while their conscious mind hasn't committed to concluding that there is the risk. Specifically, there was some game (with dollar rewards) involving two differently colored decks, and one deck was stacked much worse than the other. People could choose which deck to take a card from, and people shied away from picking cards from the deck stacked against them, well before they realized that the deck was stacked.
Thrustvectoring
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Quote:
BHO's ancestors were slaves? Really?


Obama's African ancestors weren't slaves, IIRC. But it is possible that his ancestors dealt with the threat of losing their freedom, which would make Karl's statement technically correct.
Laura
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TV,
I disagree. It was Russian roulette with 6 bullets loaded.

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www.................

Meatpuddle
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John had exactly one shot to really make himself the maverick that he kept claiming he was, but in the end he demonstrated that he was bought and paid for like the rest of the spineless politicians.

Had he came on around the time of the first house vote and become the new Teddy Roosevelt and said unequivocally that we needed to try and prosecute all fraudulent bankster activity and that he would be sending numerous bankster rats to the big house for an extended date with Bubba, the country would have rallied around him and he would be making a victory speech tonight instead of a conciliatory speech. He should have named names and spelled out specifically how these rats were going to pay for all of this corruption and fraud and he would have kicked Obama's ass. People are real tired of this **** and want an actual leader that can lead. Obama had no details, no real plan, just a bunch of nonspecific platitudes, and Obama also voted for the $800B fraud bill so left himself open for an easy attack. McCain didn't have the balls or the intestinal fortitude to really be that maverick and lead the nation through this terrible crisis.

I don't have a lot of hope for Obama. Personally, I think the bankster rats planted Biden in the administration and Obama will be facing a Kennedy or Lincoln "event" very soon. I'm sure the banksters will blame the shooting on some racist delusional hillbilly nut Like an Oswald or a McVay that just "had it in for a black president", but in the end they will be the ones to order the hit and we will have president Biden for most of the next four years, just as that rat LBJ was a plant. Sorry for the tinfoil theories here Gen, just a little*****ed off right now.

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"the idea that you're "entitled" to a 5 or 6 percent 30 year mortgage is horse****, and so is the housing prices that it has created." - Genesis

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Fidgit
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Yeah, Meatpuddle, you could feel when that moment of decision had arrived for McCain. It was palpable.

And so freekin unbelievable when he passed it by.
Themortgagedude
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Truly an unforgettable moment in time. What a dynamic atmosphere.

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I'm already visualizing you with duct tape over your mouth.
Paintedtape
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Popular vote count comparisons from WikiPedia

1996 Clinton:47,402,357(49.24%) Dole:39,198,755(40.71%)
2000 Bush:50,456,002(47.9%) Gore:50,999,897(48.4%)
2004 Bush:62,040,610(50.7%) Kerry:59,028,444(48.3%)
2008 Obama:46,842,635(51%) McCain(43,518,063(48%)

Obama's popular-vote victory is much narrower than expected, and the turn out is much lighter than either of the last two elections, especially compared to Bush vs. Kerry. (Either that or 10% of voters picked 3rd-party candidates that the media isn't reporting.)

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Mtgspy
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"as that rat LBJ was a plant."

smiley

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I'll stay away from this one, I'll instead grab my smiley and watch the pretty fireworks. - Karl
Safety is the greatest risk of all, because safety leaves no room for miracles and miracles are the only sure thing in life. - A random black supporting actor.
We iz all gonna diiiiiieeeeeeee. - Raingod
Fidgit
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Painted, it'll be interesting to see what the 3rd-party vote tallies to -
Deejunk
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Can we expect very heavy push against what exists without losing the pusher?



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http://www.myvideo.de/watch/2451556/The_.... - I'm seriously ready for inflation, deflation & TOTAL collapse of the US & Global economic & market systems..
Musicmax
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"President Obama actually thinks on his own and comes to recognize that he's not a figurehead, nor is he a puppet of the bankers and fraudsters"

He went from State Senate back-bencher to the Oval Office in 6 years by being something else?
Immoral_hazard
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Meat -

You were rolling along nicely for two paragraphs. What happened in the third?

By the way, Biden scares me more than anyone who's ever ran for Vice President. Crazy(squared).

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Loyalty to the country always. Loyalty to the government when it deserves it.
- Mark Twain
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